THURSDAY HOOPS 151

got early games today    11 am  and I am on one of them with full explanation 

and we have early games tomorrow too starting at 11am in Daytona Beach, and I was just going through this game and then seen it started at 11....lol James Madison vs Ill Chicago , tuff game. James Madison is -3 145.5 looking at this game both teams do not defend well , and both shoot ok, but Ill Chicago is the better shooting team here....
JM is avg 73 pts a game and giving up 76, while UIC is avg 82.5 pts a game and giving up 80 pts.... both teams avg 38 rebounds a game and both about 9-10 offensive boards a game but JM is #3 in the nation allowing just 3 offensive boards a game right now, JM is avg 13 assist a game and UIC is avg 17 a game, I like teams with a lot of assist, JM is shooting 43.5% and 35.6% from 3...UIC is shooting 46% and from 3 40% #31 in the nation, on defense JM defends at 50.9% #339 in the nation NOT GOOD, and they defend the 3 at 42.6% #353....UIC is defending at 47.3 #267 and they defend the 3 worse than JM does at 46.2% #360 NOT GOOD ....just looking at the defense with this total being 145 you would think the OVER is a good possibility, ...JM is making 25.5 shots a game and taking 59 a game, UIC is making 28 a game and taking 61 a game, and out of those both teams are avg 11 made 3's a game, JM takes about 30 a game and UIC takes about 27 a game, both are avg 14 to's a game.....Both teams have 4 guys averaging over 10 pts a game... both away games for JM this year they have not scored over 70 pts and lost both, UIC had one away game at Northwestern and lost 83-74, in the loss at NW UIC shot the 3 well 10/23, and they shot well for the game too 25/54 46.3% and NW shot 27/54 50% and 7/15 from 3 but NW took 11 more ft's in the game and made 8 more and won by 9 pts crazy huh??? lol both teams last played on the 16th I am going to take UIC here +3 in Daytona, should be a decent game, I am really thinking this game goes over, they both are making 3's UIC is making more shots and shooting better I am thinking this total might go up the spread I do not think it will, but a lot of times people might just bet JM because of the name, but I am on UIC here +3 lean to the OVER 145

UIC+3

Got a bunch of neutral court games tomorrow night ,
Nevada plays in S Carolina taking on Vanderbilt, both teams come in 4-0 this year, Both teams have been scoring a lot of points too, and both are shooting well, Nevada has a big edge on 3 points shooting
VANDY is avg 91 pts a game and giving up 72, and Nevada comes in avg 82 pts a game, But are only giving up 61 pts a game..... that is pretty good and they have played the better teams also I think, both teams are shooting about 68% from the ft line, Nevad is shooting 51.7% #19 in the nation, and they have an effective shooting % of 60% #14 in the nation, and Vandy comes in shooting 48.3% and their effective % is 54.3%... and Vandy is shooting the 3 at 27.9% and Nevada is defending the 3 at 26.2% which is #35 in the nation , Nevada is shooting the 3 at 48.6% which is #2 in the nation and Vandy is defending the 3 at 39.8%.....good shooting and good defense will win this game, its a long travel, but what do they say DEFENSE travels with both teams scoring like they do this total is 147 I would not be surprised to see an UNDER is this game, also Nevada's opponents have been averaging 24 fouls a game, I do not think Vandy gets to 70, I think Nevada wins this game by 7-9 pts I'll lay the 3 here

Nevada-3 1.5 units going to bet a little more on this one...also Nevada is 4-0 ats so far

gl 151

one mistake  UIC is +4 -120    very sorry 

oklahoma state vs FAU in S Carolina another neutral court game, with 2 teams that can score, line right now Is Okla st-1 161 Okla st is 3-0 FAU 3-2 but so close to being 5-0, as they lost a double OT game to COC and lost at UCF 100-94 , FAU one of the better shooting teams in the country, as they are avg 96 pts a game and giving up 89, they are shooting 51.9% #18 in the nation, and they are shooting the 3 at 45.8% #5, they defend at 45.5% and defend the 3 at 39.6% and their effective shooting % is 61.1 #8 in the nation ....Okla st is avg 84.7 pts a game and giving up 75 pts a game, they shoot at 44.8% and shoot the 3 at 37.5%, and they defend at 46.6% and defend the 3 at 42.1% #352 NOT GOOD...should be an up and down game with a lot of shots, as OKla st is making about 29 shots a game and taking 65 a game, FAU is making almost 34 shots a game #8 in the nation, and they are taking 65 a game, so they are making 5 more shots a game than OKla st , same amount of attempts....OKla st is making 8 of 21 3's a game and FAU is making 12 of 27 a game ...Okla st is avg 11 steals a game #7 and FAU is avg 9, but Okla st only gives up about 5 steals a game and FAU 9 so little edge there, very tough game here, no wonder the line is 1 1.5 not sure how you do not like the OVER 161 here, can Okla st keep FAU under 90 pts??? same for FAU will there be defense???

I broke it down I am leaning to FAU here and the points, and the OVER Hell with it

FAU+2 -120

coming off a decent night tonight  1st 4 write ups for WED all covered   2-1 in FB    damn totals are killing me this year  spreads I am ok    it will get better

coming off a decent night tonight  1st 4 write ups for WED all covered   2-1 in FB    damn totals are killing me this year  spreads I am ok    it will get better

Love the write ups

@RUM151

Good luck Rum.  

GL

Gl 

Ohio vs MTSU Ohio-1.5 149 maybe found the worth defenders of the 3 points shooting in this game, Ohio is averaging 76 pts a game and giving up 86 pts, MTSU is avg 75pts and giving up 69 pts a game, Ohio is shooting at 44.7% and they shoot the 3 at 37.8%, and MTSU shoots at 46.7% but only shoot the 3 at 21.6% #359 in the nation, But Ohio defends the 3 at 53.7% yes 53.7% #364 in nation NOT GOOD, and Ohio defends shooting at 53.1% #360 Ohio is maybe the worst defense against shooting, ...Ohio is making 26 of 58 shots a game and making 9 of 25 3's a game...MTSU is making 28 of 60 shots and only 4 of 18 3's a game near the bottom for fewest 3's a game made ...both are avg 12 turnovers a game
Ohio is 0-4 ats this year and 0-3 away....MTSU is 2-1 ats this year....Ohio is 3-0-1 OVER this year and MTSU is 1-2 under Ohio has 6 playuers avg 9pts or more this year per game, and MTSU has 5 players avg 11 + pts a game this year , both if these teams played last year on a neutral court where Ohio won as a 4 pt favorite 80-68 total was 133

C Conn @ Sacred heart these 2 play at Sacred heart but its only 44 miles for C.Conn to travel so maybe they will have some fans there, SH is giving up 81 pts a game and only scoring 71 a game, C Conn is avg 63 pts and giving up 68 C Conn is shooting at 43% and 35% from 3 and they only avg 4 3's a game, SH is shooting 42% and 38% from 3 and they are making 9 3's a game, ...C Conn making 23 of 55 shots and SH is making 25.7 of 60 shots ....one big thing is that SH is committing 20 fouls a game to just 12 for C Conn...SH defends the 3 at 40% not good, while C Conn defends it at 27,6%

line is C Conn-3 142 pass for now

on the Ohio/MTSU game I almost want to try and OVER with the way both teams seem to be so bad at covering people , I mean both are terrible against regular shooting and the 3, Ohio is 0-4 ats this year, but OHIO is 3-0-1 OVER also   

Bradley vs Texas st Neutral court s.carolina 530pm

Bradley is avg 80 pts a game giving up 70, and they are shooting 52.1% #16 and they shoot the 3 very well also at 43.7% #12, Texas st averages 65 pts a game and give up 64, they shoot 41.5% and the 3 at 37%, ...Bradley is holding teams to 26% from 3 which I like, they are making 8 more shots a game then Texas st and 4.5 more 3's Bradley should also have an advantage on the boards and on the offensive boards also which is enough for me to give them a try here at -6 like that the line has dropped a little.......

Bradley-6

Baylor vs St Johns in the Bahamas 2 teams here who can shoot, both are making 30 shots a game, both are taking 62, both are taking 21-22 ft's a game making 16 , Baylor making 9.8 3's a game and St Johns is making 7.9 a game I am going to go a diff way on this game, I do like the OVER in this game at 152 but I am going to go a diff route here and go OVER 76.5 TT Baylor I think they get into the 80's for sure

OVER 76.5 TT Baylor 7pm

UIC+4

Nevada-3 

FAU+2 

Bradley-6 

OVER 76.5 TT Baylor  

I am doing really bad on totals so far, but these 2 Ohio/MTSU are the worst at defending shooting  so I am going to try a small play on the OVER 146 Ohio game 

OVER 146 Ohio game  small 

gl  will post more  but all write ups and plays post at THE RX 1st 

151

@RUM151

 Great info,ty much! I banged the over at the 11am game.

Game over for uic, it’s a blownout they can’t protect the basket for 1 sec.  Jame Madison is far more athletic and performance 

well hit over 81.5 TT FAU   hit Jacksonville st +4 outright win 

VCU-6  1.5  

Presbyterian +8.5   just a much better shooting team by far than SFA   shooting 50% and 42% from 3      think 8.5 way too much   

also looking at EWU +13.5 vs Wash st   neutral court game in Spokane  these 2 have beaten each other in 23   seems like a lot