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thursday money

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Posted: #1

386-304 (+26.4)

4-5 last night....time to get right again....err who the hell knows really in the short term....best of luck tonight all

Belmont -7 (-115)
Murray St -12
Northeastern -5 (0.75)
BYU -16.5 (0.75)
No Dakota St -1 (0.75)
Weber St -10 (0.5)
USC +4 (-115) (0.5)
William & Mary +7 (0.5)
No Texas +10 (0.5)
Fort Wayne +8.5 (0.5)
So Ill-Ill St u144 (0.5)
Tenn Tech-J-ville St u139 (0.5)
Albany-Vermont u137 (0.5)
Rice +20.5 (0.3)

 
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Posted: #2
Nos - just an observation...do these lines seem a bit inflated (not just your picks, but across the board)...I play faves, and I don't see a lot of value.  Its seems the poor teams in each of the major conferences are playing really hard to try to win at least of few of their last few games, or the bubble teams are going nuts to get these key wins.  The faves seem to be coasting (see Purdue and Vill Wed night).   Even though I see 2-4 inflation, its hard for me to switch and play dogs.     Would appreciate your thoughts...GL
LonghornHoosier
 
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Posted: #3

Quote Originally Posted by LonghornHoosier:

Nos - just an observation...do these lines seem a bit inflated (not just your picks, but across the board)...I play faves, and I don't see a lot of value.  Its seems the poor teams in each of the major conferences are playing really hard to try to win at least of few of their last few games, or the bubble teams are going nuts to get these key wins.  The faves seem to be coasting (see Purdue and Vill Wed night).   Even though I see 2-4 inflation, its hard for me to switch and play dogs.     Would appreciate your thoughts...GL
I know that I am not the one you were addressing her but wanted to say that I find your comment very interesting and food for thought. Definitely going to think about this going forward. Thanks for sharing and best of luck.

 
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Posted: #4

Nos, you are having a very good season so wanted to give props to you. Great work and continued success...

 
Legend
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Posted: #5
GL NOS
 
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Posted: #6
 
Legend
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Posted: #7
Quote Originally Posted by LonghornHoosier:

Nos - just an observation...do these lines seem a bit inflated (not just your picks, but across the board)...I play faves, and I don't see a lot of value.  Its seems the poor teams in each of the major conferences are playing really hard to try to win at least of few of their last few games, or the bubble teams are going nuts to get these key wins.  The faves seem to be coasting (see Purdue and Vill Wed night).   Even though I see 2-4 inflation, its hard for me to switch and play dogs.     Would appreciate your thoughts...GL



LH , I think you can compare it somwhat to late
season lines in CFB , Teams are tired , banged up
a bit  while the Books are asking you to lay a few
more points if you want to back the fave. When I
see this , I tend to pass on teams laying double
digits , and seek value in mid tier matchups that
carry less pointspread risk.

LH , 


Helping Kama'aina to beat their " Local " since 1994.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #8

Been matching you for the last week, tough last few days but tonight we bounce back! 

 

BOL! Lets cash!

 
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Posted: #9

Quote Originally Posted by LonghornHoosier:

Nos - just an observation...do these lines seem a bit inflated (not just your picks, but across the board)...I play faves, and I don't see a lot of value.  Its seems the poor teams in each of the major conferences are playing really hard to try to win at least of few of their last few games, or the bubble teams are going nuts to get these key wins.  The faves seem to be coasting (see Purdue and Vill Wed night).   Even though I see 2-4 inflation, its hard for me to switch and play dogs.     Would appreciate your thoughts...GL
   this is why I like to play more dogs than favs in college basketball...I think dogs bark even louder on Saturdays because Vegas knows the "weekend gamblers" are more likely to take favs, thus the lines are inflated...in saying that, check out teams like Middle Tennessee ...I am playing them tonight as heavy fav because they tend to put foot on throat when they can...this play goes against my normal wager but I just think they can name their score tonight against Rice...plus teams like MTSU know they have to really impress come tournament time...they dont have luxury like Nova etc to lose a game here and there and still be sitting  perfect

 
MVP
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Posted: #10
Bol Nos........
 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #11

NOS is in the house. Thanks for posting. BOL tonight. an_cheers

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