Thursday's Action (23-8 YTD)

Colorado -2
This is probably my strongest play of the year to date. In my opinion, this is an atrocious match-up for CSU. While the Rams have been pretty solid early on, injuries and suspensions have started to take a toll on the team's depth. I think that is going to be a problem tonight when the Rams take on an athletic Colorado squad that likes to get up and down the court.

Now Colorado hasn't won a true road game against a Division I opponent since Dec. 22 2007 but that win came on this court over CSU. I'm looking for history to repeat itself tonight.

Where I think the Buffs have a big advantage is with the way they pressure the ball. CSU really only has one ball handler in freshman Dorian Green. Colorado's pressure and up-tempo style should be able to wear down Green and the Rams as the game goes along.

Also two things to remember. The Rams aren't very deep to begin with and they have had trouble with players fouling out early in the year. Plus, CSU is one of the worst free throw shooting teams in the country, which could be a factor if the game is close down the stretch.

I expected this line to be -3, so it's right where I wanted it. However, I have the Buffs taking this one by 15 on the road. Like I said, I think it's just a bad match-up all the way around for CSU. I'll take a shot with the Buffs covering the short number here.

I put this in last night at The Greek when it was -2. I saw it was up to three at some places now but that shouldn't be a problem in my opinion. Good luck to all.

Record: 23-8

TThanks guys. Second night on I'm on a big public play so hopefully I won't get burned again. Typically I prefer the lower profile games but I couldn't come up with anything in that Montana game and this play really stood out strong in my capping. Hopefully we will cash it.

CutRansom,
I would lean over personally but I probably won't play a CSU over this year because of how poorly they shoot free throws. That is big for me when I take an over. If a team is only going to go 12 of 24 from the line, that's a killer. Good luck to you.