Louisville's D was stifling. I was correct that they get off to slow starts (should have played UConn +3.5 1st half), they're definitely fade material in the 1st half it looks like, but man, their pressure was something else.
Today I'm rolling with Notre Dame, Bradley, and Indiana. Notre Dame has played so consistently the entire year, with a little hiccup vs. UConn last time out. St. John's has been more sporadic, and I expect a full effort from ND tonight. Wisky's 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games and 1-2 on the road this year. Wisky just doesn't have the offensive firepower to keep up with the Hoosier's 87ppg, not to mention a staunch 36% def. FG %. Bradley beat Southern Ill. earlier this year and now have the luxury of playing them on their own home court. The Brave's have skidded as of late with losses to Wichita State, Indiana State, and Iowa State, all decent teams. I know Bradley's a better team then their record indicates, and I just can't say the same for Southern Ill. While Bradley's biggest flaw is in the rebounding department, Southern Ill. is even worse. There will be few second chance efforts on both sides of the ball so I expect a low scoring affair with Bradley squeaking it out by single digits.
1 large play today
Risk
3t Teaser
Notre Dame +2
Bradley +1.53.30 units to win 3 units
Indiana -2.5
Let's get back on track tonight.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Record: 61-62, +20.53 units
a profitable day yesterday was denied by a hook.
Louisville's D was stifling. I was correct that they get off to slow starts (should have played UConn +3.5 1st half), they're definitely fade material in the 1st half it looks like, but man, their pressure was something else.
Today I'm rolling with Notre Dame, Bradley, and Indiana. Notre Dame has played so consistently the entire year, with a little hiccup vs. UConn last time out. St. John's has been more sporadic, and I expect a full effort from ND tonight. Wisky's 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games and 1-2 on the road this year. Wisky just doesn't have the offensive firepower to keep up with the Hoosier's 87ppg, not to mention a staunch 36% def. FG %. Bradley beat Southern Ill. earlier this year and now have the luxury of playing them on their own home court. The Brave's have skidded as of late with losses to Wichita State, Indiana State, and Iowa State, all decent teams. I know Bradley's a better team then their record indicates, and I just can't say the same for Southern Ill. While Bradley's biggest flaw is in the rebounding department, Southern Ill. is even worse. There will be few second chance efforts on both sides of the ball so I expect a low scoring affair with Bradley squeaking it out by single digits.
Boise's tough, they played well @ Wyoming, that could be a no play. Does NC State lay a stinker after that big win vs Duke, or do they gain momentum and take care of business on the road? Temple looks like a good play to me, I think they handle GW, but after looking at GW at home, it's not a sure bet. Would ML be better in this case? BYU has been on a tear recently, and they're home, but St. Mary's getting 7, that's just a gift. If you tease that to +15 it looks so beautiful. Iowa State will demolish a down West Virginia team this year @ home. I want to ML parlay it but I cannot unless it gets to -9.5 or lower, which it may or may not. I'd probably ML parlay it with San Diego State. They impressed me so much. They're 8-0 at home, UNLV is 2-14 ATS on the road in their last 16 games, insane. the Aztecs shoot much better at home with the 3 ball, and avg. 10 more points than the Runnin' Rebels compared to them at home and Rebels on the road. I'm still in love with the Buffaloes. They can go into Wash. and come out with a victory. Wyoming should beat Fresno State, not sure by how much, but another ML is in order.
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Boise's tough, they played well @ Wyoming, that could be a no play. Does NC State lay a stinker after that big win vs Duke, or do they gain momentum and take care of business on the road? Temple looks like a good play to me, I think they handle GW, but after looking at GW at home, it's not a sure bet. Would ML be better in this case? BYU has been on a tear recently, and they're home, but St. Mary's getting 7, that's just a gift. If you tease that to +15 it looks so beautiful. Iowa State will demolish a down West Virginia team this year @ home. I want to ML parlay it but I cannot unless it gets to -9.5 or lower, which it may or may not. I'd probably ML parlay it with San Diego State. They impressed me so much. They're 8-0 at home, UNLV is 2-14 ATS on the road in their last 16 games, insane. the Aztecs shoot much better at home with the 3 ball, and avg. 10 more points than the Runnin' Rebels compared to them at home and Rebels on the road. I'm still in love with the Buffaloes. They can go into Wash. and come out with a victory. Wyoming should beat Fresno State, not sure by how much, but another ML is in order.
awful day last night. On the wrong end of ND and Indiana, both losing outright. I decided to take the rest of the week off to just watch games and re-assess my positions.
Updated Record: 61-63, +17.23 units
Still up overall so I can't complain, but I think a few days break will be good. If I had to pick two games today it'd be San Diego State -4.5 and Temple -4.
Best of luck to everyone for the rest of the week, we'll pick it back up in a few days.
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awful day last night. On the wrong end of ND and Indiana, both losing outright. I decided to take the rest of the week off to just watch games and re-assess my positions.
Updated Record: 61-63, +17.23 units
Still up overall so I can't complain, but I think a few days break will be good. If I had to pick two games today it'd be San Diego State -4.5 and Temple -4.
Best of luck to everyone for the rest of the week, we'll pick it back up in a few days.
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