Tuesday 12/13 CBB Plays

2010-2011: 164-127
2011-2012: 85-59-3 (59.0%, +21.2 units)
Sunday: 2-1 (+1.9 units)
Yesterday: 0-0

Done with finals, so more available time after a hectic weekend.

Wisconsin @ Milwaukee +10 (1 unit)
First time since '07-08 that Bo and Co. are traveling to Milwaukee to face their in-state brethren. The Panthers are still somewhat banged up, but are continuing to get healthier and have managed to surge out of the gates to an 8-2 start despite missing some key cogs. It'll be a helluva atmosphere tonight in Milwaukee and will mark just Wisconsin's second road game of the year. Overall, I really like the spot for Rob Jeter's club after a sloppy performance on Saturday @ UNI. Wisconsin secured a major home win over UNLV and continues to play some outstanding defense. Given how good UWM's defense is as well, though, 10 points is a whole lot to give either side. The Badgers almost never go to the free throw line and rely quite heavily on jump shots. If those aren't falling, and I suspect they may not given UWM's perimeter-pressure defense, Wisky might be in some trouble. On bad-shooting nights, Jordan Taylor is the only Badger capable of consistently creating offense, but UWM has some guys more than able to limit his looks. This is easily the biggest non-conference game of the year for UWM and both coaching staffs are intimately familiar with one another. Should be a great ballgame.

Current Leans:

Florida Atlantic +14, Drexel 1H -3.5, CMU/Minnesota Under 127.5

Drexel -6 @ Niagara
Drexel 1H -3.5 @ Niagara

Anyone who has read my stuff over the past two years knows I HATE road chalk, especially of more than a few points. But there are exceptions to everything, and for me, this game is one of them. There is a whole lot of love for Niagara on this board and I'm really not quite sure why that is the case. Joe Mihahlic's Niagara team is young, brutally young. One of the 5 most inexperienced teams in the country, Niagara is essentially starting over and at times it has shown in the results. Tonight's game is a particularly bad matchup, especially considering this EXACT Drexel team (minus Gerald Colds) thumped Niagara last year in Philly by 45 points. Granted, Drexel isn't quite the same animal on the road, but Bruiser Flint's teams always bring a tremendous level of intensity and rugged play.

With Chris Fouch back in the fold, Drexel is beginning to look like the team many predicted to win the CAA. A lot of people around here consider Fouch to be the best shooter in the city, and his presence on a team light on scorers and heavy on bulk is required for Drexel to have any sustained success. On the interior, Drexel boasts 3 physically-imposing frontline players. The best of the trio is Sammie Givens, who, at just 6'5, is a double-double machine and prolific offensive rebounder. Darryl McCoy (6'9, 270) and Dartaye Ruffin (6'8, 250) give Drexel one of the nation's beefiest frontlines. The Dragons give up virtually no offensive rebounds and defend the hell out of the 3-point line, meaning a dearth of second chance points and momentum-building long balls. Niagara is going to have to be awfully efficient in its shot selection and offensive execution, a tall order against a defense this sound. Overall, the Drexel style is an animal Niagara has yet to encounter this season.

Sure, Drexel has stumbled out of the gate, but having Fouch back and finally healthy is going to make a world of difference for Brusier's crew.

1 unit each on the Drexel plays.

, lets go Drexel , I like Miss St -14

Love drexel. Too many dawgs have been covering lately. Chalk is king tonight

I really want to back the Dragons tonight, I just don't think I can until they show me anything impressive on the road. I'm not really sure how they're "beginning to look like the team predicted to win the CAA?" By beating Princeton by 4 in their first true home game after losing SU at Delaware?

Fouch dropped 23 last game but was 0-9 3pts in a loss at Delaware and 2-10 5pts at St. Joes playing limited minutes

This team has been so jekyll and hyde. I just can't justify laying 6pts on a team who's only wins by 6+ were vs. Rider and Winthrop. I do hope they show up for you tonight and would certainly rather put my money on a dragon than a purple eagle

Love the 1st play...+11 here...Milwaukee is holding down its opposition to 38.9 percent shooting overall and 25 percent from 3-point range is what I love most about them facing a team that loves the 3 ball...leaning Florida Atl...both are leans...I just don't pull the trigg so easy.gL

Hey goodluck tonight jfen......whats your thoughts on wyoming-15 over uc irvine..irvine is just terrible..wyoming is a great shooting team and plays mad defense I think 15 is way low cowboys get this by 20+....just wondering what ya thought

jfen g/l 2day

good luck tonight JFen,,hate being on opp. sides with you,,but I got Niag +3 1/2 1st H    

JFen - Dont really like the game but just posted on the total. BOL to you, sir ...

JFen

Thanks guys. Good luck tonight

Did drexel let Tebow suit up for the second half? 26-4 run or something? Nice call on the game, sorry bout the first half. Any philly ncaab bet you make i'm on it. Thanks for your excellent writeups and picks bud. crossin my fingers for you on the wisconsin game.

Drexel -6 @ Niagara (1 unit)
Drexel 1H -3.5 @ Niagara (1 unit)

Strange split. Story of two halves, obviously. Niagara's second half showing was more reflective of its actual ability. First half shooting displays like that against Drexel are few and far between and Bruiser obviously got into them at halftime.

Any thoughts on late game,seems like alot of points for Ore.St to be giving??

i know that you didn't ask for my advice but this is just one tidbit i've noticed since i've been reading your threads: it seems that most of the early lines you are locking in, tend to move in favor of your picks closer to gametime. my two cents, think about it, or forget about it. no big deal. just keep postin brutha!

Still haven't had a chance to see UIC this year but felt during the preseason they were far and away the worst team in the Horizon. Howard Moore is going to turn the program around, but this year is going to be rough. Oregon State has had some time to stew on that Idaho clunker and the 1-3-1 matchup can be difficult to prepare for. Passing, but wouldn't be surprised to see a runaway OSU win.

Spread looks accurate to me and I won't be touching it.

I think I see what you're saying. My approach to college basketball is different than that of the average bettor, so "public" money does in fact drive lines up in my favor. Anticipating line movement is an inexact science, but yeah, I could often do better waiting some games out.

Wisconsin @ Milwaukee +10 (1 unit)
Drexel -6 @ Niagara (1 unit)
Drexel 1H -3.5 @ Niagara (1 unit)

2-1, added a little over a unit. Decent card tomorrow. Good luck to you fellas on the late night degen game.

Iona or Richmond?!

Thanks JFen, I used your Drexel and W Mil plays in a teaser along with Miss St. last night and had success.