Hope I'm not wrong here but I feel there might be some value in betting against WV tonight ...the hottest team in CBB ....
Texas Tech does not turn the ball over and has a nice
advantage in getting to the Free Throw Line much more than WV .... also
...very experienced club only lost by 4 points to WV last year at home
..... who knows ???
Thoughts ???
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Hope I'm not wrong here but I feel there might be some value in betting against WV tonight ...the hottest team in CBB ....
Texas Tech does not turn the ball over and has a nice
advantage in getting to the Free Throw Line much more than WV .... also
...very experienced club only lost by 4 points to WV last year at home
..... who knows ???
TT has had a cupcake schedule, lets not over think this
There's a lot to like about the schematic matchup for Texas Tech. Their style of play is largely akin to Temple, who led WVU from wire-to-wire a few weeks ago.
Like Temple, Tech takes good care of the ball (at least relatively speaking). They won't get beat on the offensive glass (#1 def rebounding % in the country), which takes away one of WVU's paths to offense ('Eers are 6th in the country in offensive rebound percentage). WVU's offense often involves taking a contested jump shot and slamming the offensive glass to put back their misses. Tech also excels at not allowing baskets at the rim (10th fewest in the country), which, combined with not allowing offensive rebounds, will force WVU to win this game via jump shots.
At the other end, WVU is having major issues clearing its own defensive glass (#314 def reb %). They haven't been able to replace Devin Williams and Jonathan Holton, both of whom were outstanding defensive rebounders. They'll have their hands full tonight with Zach Smith and Justin Gray, the former of whom dominated last year's game in Lubbock.
Both teams have played abysmal schedules (Tech #350, WVU #346), but it's worth noting that the entire Tech rotation - without exception - is comprised of juniors and seniors. These guys have seen Press Virginia a whole bunch of times, and familiarity with this scheme is a major advantage in both preparation and execution.
Should be a great game.
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Quote Originally Posted by Rmac11:
TT has had a cupcake schedule, lets not over think this
There's a lot to like about the schematic matchup for Texas Tech. Their style of play is largely akin to Temple, who led WVU from wire-to-wire a few weeks ago.
Like Temple, Tech takes good care of the ball (at least relatively speaking). They won't get beat on the offensive glass (#1 def rebounding % in the country), which takes away one of WVU's paths to offense ('Eers are 6th in the country in offensive rebound percentage). WVU's offense often involves taking a contested jump shot and slamming the offensive glass to put back their misses. Tech also excels at not allowing baskets at the rim (10th fewest in the country), which, combined with not allowing offensive rebounds, will force WVU to win this game via jump shots.
At the other end, WVU is having major issues clearing its own defensive glass (#314 def reb %). They haven't been able to replace Devin Williams and Jonathan Holton, both of whom were outstanding defensive rebounders. They'll have their hands full tonight with Zach Smith and Justin Gray, the former of whom dominated last year's game in Lubbock.
Both teams have played abysmal schedules (Tech #350, WVU #346), but it's worth noting that the entire Tech rotation - without exception - is comprised of juniors and seniors. These guys have seen Press Virginia a whole bunch of times, and familiarity with this scheme is a major advantage in both preparation and execution.
TT has had a cupcake schedule, lets not over think this
There's a lot to like about the schematic matchup for Texas Tech. Their style of play is largely akin to Temple, who led WVU from wire-to-wire a few weeks ago. Like Temple, Tech takes good care of the ball (at least relatively speaking). They won't get beat on the offensive glass (#1 def rebounding % in the country), which takes away one of WVU's paths to offense ('Eers are 6th in the country in offensive rebound percentage). WVU's offense often involves taking a contested jump shot and slamming the offensive glass to put back their misses. Tech also excels at not allowing baskets at the rim (10th fewest in the country), which, combined with not allowing offensive rebounds, will force WVU to win this game via jump shots. At the other end, WVU is having major issues clearing its own defensive glass (#314 def reb %). They haven't been able to replace Devin Williams and Jonathan Holton, both of whom were outstanding defensive rebounders. They'll have their hands full tonight with Zach Smith and Justin Gray, the former of whom dominated last year's game in Lubbock.Both teams have played abysmal schedules (Tech #350, WVU #346), but it's worth noting that the entire Tech rotation - without exception - is comprised of juniors and seniors. These guys have seen Press Virginia a whole bunch of times, and familiarity with this scheme is a major advantage in both preparation and execution.Should be a great game.
Thanks for posting this, it's very helpful but what do you think are the bad things about tech? Like what did they fail at against Iowa state and auburn and Rice?
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Quote Originally Posted by JFen31:
Quote Originally Posted by Rmac11:
TT has had a cupcake schedule, lets not over think this
There's a lot to like about the schematic matchup for Texas Tech. Their style of play is largely akin to Temple, who led WVU from wire-to-wire a few weeks ago. Like Temple, Tech takes good care of the ball (at least relatively speaking). They won't get beat on the offensive glass (#1 def rebounding % in the country), which takes away one of WVU's paths to offense ('Eers are 6th in the country in offensive rebound percentage). WVU's offense often involves taking a contested jump shot and slamming the offensive glass to put back their misses. Tech also excels at not allowing baskets at the rim (10th fewest in the country), which, combined with not allowing offensive rebounds, will force WVU to win this game via jump shots. At the other end, WVU is having major issues clearing its own defensive glass (#314 def reb %). They haven't been able to replace Devin Williams and Jonathan Holton, both of whom were outstanding defensive rebounders. They'll have their hands full tonight with Zach Smith and Justin Gray, the former of whom dominated last year's game in Lubbock.Both teams have played abysmal schedules (Tech #350, WVU #346), but it's worth noting that the entire Tech rotation - without exception - is comprised of juniors and seniors. These guys have seen Press Virginia a whole bunch of times, and familiarity with this scheme is a major advantage in both preparation and execution.Should be a great game.
Thanks for posting this, it's very helpful but what do you think are the bad things about tech? Like what did they fail at against Iowa state and auburn and Rice?
Thanks for posting this, it's very helpful but what do you think are the bad things about tech? Like what did they fail at against Iowa state and auburn and Rice? [/Quote]
Three issues with Tech (in general):
(1) Don't get to the free throw line consistently. Same issue with Beard's team last year at Little Rock. That said, they'll get there plenty tonight against the hacking WVU defense.
(2) Susceptible to hot jump-shooting teams. This isn't even a "bad" thing, per se, as Beard's modified pack-line opts to shut down the paint and allow jump shots. TTU has allowed the 11st highest % of three point shots in the country (45.5% of opponents shots come from behind the line). Rice knocked down 15/31 from deep in that game a few weeks ago. That'll happen. Kulechov and Evans can get hot against anyone (they hit 11 combined threes). Will WVU do the same? Could happen, but it's not the 'Eers game. At all.
(3) Pace. TTU, as with Beard's UALR team last season, is very deliberate (#328 tempo). Even if they're not turning the ball over against the WVU press, they could be operating in some shortened shot clock situations. You could see some unsightly jumpers late in the clock.
Wouldn't read a whole lot into the Auburn loss. Weird coin-flip game at some hotel in Cancun inside of a bizarrely converted ballroom.
As for the Iowa State loss, they led most of the way @ Hilton until a late spurt from the Clones sealed it (TTU led 52-43 with around 9:00 left in the second half). FWIW, ISU's packed-in, defend-the-paint-at-all-costs defense is precisely the opposite of what TTU will see tonight against WVU.
Good luck if you play it.
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Thanks for posting this, it's very helpful but what do you think are the bad things about tech? Like what did they fail at against Iowa state and auburn and Rice? [/Quote]
Three issues with Tech (in general):
(1) Don't get to the free throw line consistently. Same issue with Beard's team last year at Little Rock. That said, they'll get there plenty tonight against the hacking WVU defense.
(2) Susceptible to hot jump-shooting teams. This isn't even a "bad" thing, per se, as Beard's modified pack-line opts to shut down the paint and allow jump shots. TTU has allowed the 11st highest % of three point shots in the country (45.5% of opponents shots come from behind the line). Rice knocked down 15/31 from deep in that game a few weeks ago. That'll happen. Kulechov and Evans can get hot against anyone (they hit 11 combined threes). Will WVU do the same? Could happen, but it's not the 'Eers game. At all.
(3) Pace. TTU, as with Beard's UALR team last season, is very deliberate (#328 tempo). Even if they're not turning the ball over against the WVU press, they could be operating in some shortened shot clock situations. You could see some unsightly jumpers late in the clock.
Wouldn't read a whole lot into the Auburn loss. Weird coin-flip game at some hotel in Cancun inside of a bizarrely converted ballroom.
As for the Iowa State loss, they led most of the way @ Hilton until a late spurt from the Clones sealed it (TTU led 52-43 with around 9:00 left in the second half). FWIW, ISU's packed-in, defend-the-paint-at-all-costs defense is precisely the opposite of what TTU will see tonight against WVU.
Also if I'm not mistaken I believe Iowa state made every lay up they attempted against tech. And the real reason I'm on WVU is because they try to get to the rim on 90 % of their possessions. But the question for me is that I have WVU -4.5 so I'm debating on doubling up on the -2. Thoughts?
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Also if I'm not mistaken I believe Iowa state made every lay up they attempted against tech. And the real reason I'm on WVU is because they try to get to the rim on 90 % of their possessions. But the question for me is that I have WVU -4.5 so I'm debating on doubling up on the -2. Thoughts?
West Virginia isn't the hacking team of years past, only averaging 19.5 pg. Middle of the road wise compared to the rest of the league and much less than they were know for.
One thing that sticks out w/ this mountaineer team is that they lead the nation in both effective possession ratio and opponent effective possession ratio, and by a considerable margin.
Can't wait to see how this game plays out
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Great stuff JFen. Always appreciate your take.
West Virginia isn't the hacking team of years past, only averaging 19.5 pg. Middle of the road wise compared to the rest of the league and much less than they were know for.
One thing that sticks out w/ this mountaineer team is that they lead the nation in both effective possession ratio and opponent effective possession ratio, and by a considerable margin.
Another thing I'm looking at though is WVU game against Virginia. WVU scored the most points on virginia out of the teams virginia has played. They also gave up the 2nd lowest number of points virginia has scored all year only one point more than cal gave up.
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Another thing I'm looking at though is WVU game against Virginia. WVU scored the most points on virginia out of the teams virginia has played. They also gave up the 2nd lowest number of points virginia has scored all year only one point more than cal gave up.
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