Posted:
#1
Record: 62-68, +13.23 units
It's been a tough ride the last week or two. I have a few plays today, mainly focusing around Duke. I'm not losing sight into this. Duke is the better team, even without Kelly. I think they come out with a W. With NC State's loss to Wake last night, the top of the ACC is for the taking here. Miami's big man Reggie Johnson is still out, and he's just an integral part of the team as Kelly is for Duke. Having said that, Miami's been winning without him, mainly because of his replacement being more than serviceable and that the team is filled with seniority. I still think Duke wins this game outright, it'll be a close one, and if it comes down to FT's, which it might, Duke is ranked about 130 spots higher nationally in FT%. (70th to 207th I believe).
The Zips are at the top of the conference again, and should win the MAC. Toledo's been hovering around .500 the last few games, and although they're decent at home, they're too sporadic to back. Akron should win this game, and the spread's been trending more and more in their favor.
Some see a letdown spot for Wright State, but I think they're just coming into form. I've said this before and I'll say it again, they're such a sound, solid team. They don't get blown out, as evidenced by last game, play well on the road, and again, Youngstown St. is too inconsistent. Wright State's the right play here.
A couple of tough losses for C. Michigan, but they're still a decent team in the MAC. They're solid at home 5-2, and No. Illinois is not only awful in general, but just 1-8 on the road. They avg. a dozen less points a game than C. Mich., can't shoot the 3-ball, shoot about 35% from the floor, and are subpar in FT% too. Take Central Michigan here.
3t Teaser
C. Michigan PK
Duke +6 3.30 units to win 3 units
Butler +10.5
Duke ML 5 units to win 3.57 units
Akron -3/Duke -1/Wright St. +6 .31 units to win 1.07 units
That last bet I bought a few points, 3 for Akron, 1 for Duke, 3 for Wright St. Just playing around and saw the payout of 3:1 and liked those lines and odds.
Good luck to everyone, let's make some 
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