6-4-1 yesterday. Home teams went like 7-30 ATS yesterday.
Youngstown St -3
Really tough spot for the Colonials. 4th game in 10 days, third straight on the road in 6 days, and coming off a win at Milwaukee. I think the train probably runs out of steam here.
South Florida/Charlotte Under 144
Neither game last year between these two got to this number, and both teams have gotten significantly worse on the offensive end since then. The 49ers haven't scored more than 68 in a game since Xmas, and USF coming off a game in which they held Tulsa to 56.
TCU +7
Hiccup spot here for the Jayhawks. Coming off the Sunflower Showdown win, and they host Houston on Saturday. TCUs got the 6th best home court advantage according to KenPom, and KU has lost 8 of their last 12 road games SU.
Xavier/St. Johns Over 149
This one is at the Garden, so it should add a little pep to the step of everyone on the floor, and both teams have no issues with going up and down. It's certainly preferred for the Red Storm, but Xavier is no stranger to that game flow. The Musketeers should be able to take advantage of the aggressive defensive style of STJ, and get to the foul line, where they excel. They played on 1/7/25 to a total of 154.
IU-Fort Wayne +1
I can't figure out why this line is the what it is, and it's likely its a trap, but I know I'll kick myself in the ass if I pass on this and they do what I think they will.
Radford -3
Radford comes home after a very disappointing loss to Charleston Southern, and Longwood is coming off a huge win vs High Point, and this is a rivalry game. Real bad spot for Longwood.
Syracuse +15.5
Clemson is coming off a huge OT win @ Pitt, come home for this snoozer, and then hit the road again. I think its a sleepy spot for the Tigers and the Orange do enough with Starling and Lampkin to keep this one within the big number.
Temple/North Texas Over 130
UNTs defense is always gonna be a real strength, and threaten to keep any game under, but I think the Owls try and speed up the Green, shoot a lot of FTs, and UNT makes enough 3s to get this in the mid 130s.
USC/Nebraska Over 143
Nebraskas offense at home is very good, and while they don't run like we used to seeing them do under Hoiberg, they are still very potent. USC is open to that style of play too, and when I looked at teams that I'd say play a similar style to Nebraska, USC has gotten their fair share. Kinda scary that this number isn't in the 150 range.
Georgia -1
This line opened at Arkansas -3 but with no Fland, I'm not sure where they turn for offense. Georgia is going to need these kind of wins to stay in the at-large talk, so I'd expect a pretty focused effort from the Dawgs as they hit the road into a really tough place to play.
Utah St -6
The Aggies are coming off a game they should have won at UNLV, so I think coming back home and getting a test, is what they need. Nevada is coming in winners of 3 straight, but against much inferior opponents. This is a big jump up in competition from Fresno, Air Force and San Jose St. Utah St offense at home is a machine.
Gl Everyone