weekend

29-29-1 -3.19

1.13 / 1

Buttger -4.5 vs. princeton (betrivers)

neutral

1.1 / 1

UNC +2 vs. ucla (caesars)

neutral

Buttger- pikiell should have them up for the game since princecton won this matchup last year.  This princeton team seems closer to mediocre than very good compared to recent editions.  Thinkin the 2 buttger pros will be too much and the mediocre supporting cast should be better against princeton defense.  Buttger's faced multiple teams better than princeton, opposite is true for princeton

then these 2 more gut plays I'm giving a shot.  Risky

UNC- Risky because this could be insanity expecting different results against a top 20 team.  Coach Davis may just suck too much?  This game is massively important for unc.  Far less opportunities for big wins in the acc, one final chance to salvage the tough non-conf and get a scalp.  It's encouraging to me that unc had shot to beat florida despite going 5-28 from 3.  They're not a strong 3 pt shooting team, but that is extreme.  They also keep coming out poor out the gates and fallign into holes in these games.  Thinking that with so much at stake, they will come out with more urgency out the gate, avoid a hole, and better positioned to finish the job.  UCLA obviously solid, but who knows how good, played so many bad teams, they looked pretty beatable against zona  

1.1 / 1

Miss St -1.5 @ memph (fanatics)

interesting game and line.  Risky going against tourney caliber team at home.  I can buy into miss st winning this matchup, memphis is pretty turnover prone and are below avg with D rebounding, on paper that's a tough combo against miss st.  If shooting %'s aren't extreme either way, the extra possessions off TO disparity and O boards could be tough to overcome.  Of course, miss state hasnt been consistent, but could see them playing with a chip on shoulder since outside the rankings currently.  I like Memph more next week home against ole miss, who will enter that game having not played anyone with a pulse in weeks.  

gl

Nice input as always. GL CAP 

Buttgers lol clownshow.  there were definitely red flags this could happen.  That is a poorly coached team, with a really lame supporting cast.  what a waste of 2 lotto picks

sunday

1.1 / 1

Oregon St -6.5 vs. charelston (fanatics)

neutral

Cap......

thanks IA

I think there's pullaway upside, as both of charleston's losses the game really badly got away from them .  The uri game may have been a flukey extra bad road performance, but the liberty game is what stands out to me.  I remember it well as I took these dudes that game and it was awful lol.  Liberty was the only other high level defense charleston has seen and they absolutely hated that matchup.  Oregon St on paper so far at least, has higher rated D than Liberty, and also prefers a slower tempo almost like liberty.  So I think there's decent chance charleston won't enjoy themselves again here. 

Also worth noting, oregon state is 9-0 ATS.  I actually ended up with a crappier line because of that fact, I was hesitant to lock in -6, wanted to to make sure the line didnt drop, setting up potential that they go to 10-0 ATS but I could lose lol.  But then saw -7.5's out there outta nowhere so had to move on it.  Whatever.  Thinking they either pull away, or the streak just comes crashing down ending with a thud, but thinking its the former.  

gl on the action