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Why is Florida line dropping?

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Posted: #1
It looks like it's gone from -2 to a pick'em.  Any reason why money might be coming in on Arkansas?
 
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Posted: #2
Because they are home
 
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Posted: #3

Ark is a much better team with Fortson and have been playing good ball the last four games.  Played Texas tough at home and could've snuck out a nice road win at Miss State. Florida truly hasn't been road tested yet (not that Ark is a premier team) but the hogs should played inspired ball again tonight and win a close one.

 
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Posted: #4

These teams are evenly matched talent wise, lines tell it all

 
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Posted: #5
Line seems low, i was thinkin gators around -6 before itcame out
 
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Posted: #6
Quote Originally Posted by battles:

Line seems low, i was thinkin gators around -6 before it came out


My database has it capped at Florida -5.  It's never spot on with it's estimated spread, but it is around 60-65% with picking winners.
 
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Posted: #7
Quote Originally Posted by Kingcovers:

Ark is a much better team with Fortson and have been playing good ball the last four games.  Played Texas tough at home and could've snuck out a nice road win at Miss State. Florida truly hasn't been road tested yet (not that Ark is a premier team) but the hogs should played inspired ball again tonight and win a close one.



So, was Fortson not playing for the first 14 games or something?  How come he's a factor now?
 
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Posted: #8
I see his name is Courtney Fortson.
 
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Posted: #9
vs. Score Line O/U Min Pts Ast Reb Blk T/S
1/16/10 ALAB W 71-59 W -1.5 U 146.5 35:00 12 10 3 0 7/2
1/14/10 @ MISST L 80-82 W 13.5 O 143.5 36:00 20 5 6 1 3/2
1/5/10 TEX L 85-96 W 14 O 147 33:00 19 7 3 0 6/2
 
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Posted: #10
Damn, the guy has made a pretty big contribution... why was he out?
 
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Posted: #11

Quote Originally Posted by WendysRox:

Damn, the guy has made a pretty big contribution... why was he out?

Fortson has had a couple disciplinary issues, like alot of Arkansas players the past couple of years.  I believe this latest suspension had to do with an alleged "gang bang" of a freshman girl by 3 of the players.  He tweeted about the incident the next day.  Not the smartest of ideas.

 
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Posted: #12
WendysRox - I love this Arkansas pick em.  Fading Florida for the same reason they have started 15-1 the past 2 years and ended in the NIT!!!!!  Plus Ark has been playing tough in close losses...hoping they get that W tonight!  BOL
 
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Posted: #13
Prob cause UNC picked em, you know how he manipulates the lines these days.
 
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Posted: #14

ARK WILL RULE...BUT BOL TO UR PICK

 
 
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Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by WendysRox:



My database has it capped at Florida -5.  It's never spot on with it's estimated spread, but it is around 60-65% with picking winners.


BOOM!

I thought I was wrong, but I was mistaken.
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