I dont start my capping til midway through the season after I have better values, analysis, stats, and sharper lines to look at...and that time has come!
Handicapping is a success if you know how to manage your money and bet smart with smart portions of your winnings!
Started this week with 2 wins already... (Tulsa/Boise UNDER(+2 units) & Cinci -2(+3 units))
2-0 YTD +5.0 units = +$500
Fridays Game
Pitt @ Rutgers 8:00pm ET
At first glance, I like Rutgers+5.5 (against the "Friday Favorite")...but need a little more research and analysis for this game to finalize a wager on this game...
I am always open to EVERYBODYs thoughts/wagers and especially their analysis'... so please, more the marrier.
In the end, I am only here to express my thoughts, and to help everyone earn their money. With proper money management, in the end we will all be winners.
GL to ALL
Be back with a write-up/analysis on Fridays game...
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Like I said,
I dont start my capping til midway through the season after I have better values, analysis, stats, and sharper lines to look at...and that time has come!
Handicapping is a success if you know how to manage your money and bet smart with smart portions of your winnings!
Started this week with 2 wins already... (Tulsa/Boise UNDER(+2 units) & Cinci -2(+3 units))
2-0 YTD +5.0 units = +$500
Fridays Game
Pitt @ Rutgers 8:00pm ET
At first glance, I like Rutgers+5.5 (against the "Friday Favorite")...but need a little more research and analysis for this game to finalize a wager on this game...
I am always open to EVERYBODYs thoughts/wagers and especially their analysis'... so please, more the marrier.
In the end, I am only here to express my thoughts, and to help everyone earn their money. With proper money management, in the end we will all be winners.
GL to ALL
Be back with a write-up/analysis on Fridays game...
I really like the RUTGERS here. Both these teams are very similar. They both have a pretty balanced offense, and they both play decent defense. Rutgers have won the last 4 games SU, and three of those were covered ATS.
This is Pitts second game on the road, and I foresee it to be a tough one. They just got done playing a tough game with UCONN and they have one less day of rest. Rutgers should be pretty well rested since they had their second and third string play last week for majority of the second half against a weak TEX Southern.
One of the more impressing stats lately for the Rutgers, is their Rush Defense. Over the last three games(Maryland, FLINT, and TexSouthern) they have only given up 15 yards on avg. I understand these teams are pretty weak. But that is still pretty impressive.
A big factor that might scare you in this matchup is the fact that Pitt just has played much better teams. But sometimes, I dont like to dwell on that. It is more about matchups.
A key to a Rutgers victory tonight: Keep Natale off the field. Stick with ONE QB. Im not a big fan of the two-QB offense. It disrupts the speed and flow of the offense, you can easily get off rhythym this way.
That being said, I like Pitt's chances of winning, but I think Rutgers keeps it close.
PITT 27
RUTG 23
Risking only 1 unit on RUTG +6
GL to ALL
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Fridays Selection:
I really like the RUTGERS here. Both these teams are very similar. They both have a pretty balanced offense, and they both play decent defense. Rutgers have won the last 4 games SU, and three of those were covered ATS.
This is Pitts second game on the road, and I foresee it to be a tough one. They just got done playing a tough game with UCONN and they have one less day of rest. Rutgers should be pretty well rested since they had their second and third string play last week for majority of the second half against a weak TEX Southern.
One of the more impressing stats lately for the Rutgers, is their Rush Defense. Over the last three games(Maryland, FLINT, and TexSouthern) they have only given up 15 yards on avg. I understand these teams are pretty weak. But that is still pretty impressive.
A big factor that might scare you in this matchup is the fact that Pitt just has played much better teams. But sometimes, I dont like to dwell on that. It is more about matchups.
A key to a Rutgers victory tonight: Keep Natale off the field. Stick with ONE QB. Im not a big fan of the two-QB offense. It disrupts the speed and flow of the offense, you can easily get off rhythym this way.
That being said, I like Pitt's chances of winning, but I think Rutgers keeps it close.
GL REdZone, I am of course on PITT, just wanted to say that this is PITT's 4th road game tonight. They played and won at UL & BUFF; lost a hearbreaker on the road at NC State.
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GL REdZone, I am of course on PITT, just wanted to say that this is PITT's 4th road game tonight. They played and won at UL & BUFF; lost a hearbreaker on the road at NC State.
You sure taking a freshman QB is the way to go over a 5th year senior QB ?
Well, this is a bit of a hard game to cap. I like Rutgers defense lately more than the freshman QB, even though he still is pretty talented. Like I said, as long as they dont send Natale out there, Rutgers will be fine. Natale is a turnover mess! Now, Stull is a pretty impressive and an effecient QB. I like the way he plays the game. But tonight, I think Rutgers Rush defense will hold up making Pitt a one-dimensional offense with the pass, to make it even easier for Rutgers on defense... This is going to be a big test for Rutgers, and I think theyll keep it close.
And I definitely loved the line movement which was in my favor, especially since I was going to take Rutgers at +4.
Thanks for your thoughts and best of luck!
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Quote Originally Posted by Raidernator76:
the line moved a whole 2 points!
You sure taking a freshman QB is the way to go over a 5th year senior QB ?
Well, this is a bit of a hard game to cap. I like Rutgers defense lately more than the freshman QB, even though he still is pretty talented. Like I said, as long as they dont send Natale out there, Rutgers will be fine. Natale is a turnover mess! Now, Stull is a pretty impressive and an effecient QB. I like the way he plays the game. But tonight, I think Rutgers Rush defense will hold up making Pitt a one-dimensional offense with the pass, to make it even easier for Rutgers on defense... This is going to be a big test for Rutgers, and I think theyll keep it close.
And I definitely loved the line movement which was in my favor, especially since I was going to take Rutgers at +4.
SF's defense couldn't stop Cincy. And they are considerd a good D and athletic
They played decent defense last night. One or two plays dont go cinci's way, and its a whole different ball game. Anyways, if you had read my write up for last nights game, you would know that it was Cinci's defense that was the story.
Anyways, last nights game has nothing to do with tonight's game. You can compare all you want. But, the only comparisions you should make are the matchups between the two teams that are playing.
I believe Pitt has the better balanced offense, but I think Rutgers defense will be tough tonight.
GL Sir
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Quote Originally Posted by Raidernator76:
SF's defense couldn't stop Cincy. And they are considerd a good D and athletic
They played decent defense last night. One or two plays dont go cinci's way, and its a whole different ball game. Anyways, if you had read my write up for last nights game, you would know that it was Cinci's defense that was the story.
Anyways, last nights game has nothing to do with tonight's game. You can compare all you want. But, the only comparisions you should make are the matchups between the two teams that are playing.
I believe Pitt has the better balanced offense, but I think Rutgers defense will be tough tonight.
I like the pick...i c this being a low scoring game with pitt winning by 3 at most... i don't live far from the school and the weather is going to be shitty all night with rain on and off GL
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I like the pick...i c this being a low scoring game with pitt winning by 3 at most... i don't live far from the school and the weather is going to be shitty all night with rain on and off GL
I like the pick...i c this being a low scoring game with pitt winning by 3 at most... i don't live far from the school and the weather is going to be shitty all night with rain on and off GL
Thanks for the info, that makes me a little more confident, because I do like that the weather might make Pitt run the ball more tonight, which I am pleased with the way Rutgers is defending the run lately...
Thank you and best of Luck Yanks!
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Quote Originally Posted by yanks128:
I like the pick...i c this being a low scoring game with pitt winning by 3 at most... i don't live far from the school and the weather is going to be shitty all night with rain on and off GL
Thanks for the info, that makes me a little more confident, because I do like that the weather might make Pitt run the ball more tonight, which I am pleased with the way Rutgers is defending the run lately...
Checked out the weather, and it says it shouldnt start raining til around midnight tonight. So, weather should not be a factor.
Line movement still going towards 7. Vegas knows something, I just dont know what...
These two teams usually have a pretty good battle, but I am liking the line movement, if it goes above 7, I just might put another unit on it.
as for an over/under... I think these two offenses can push it to mid-high 20's each tonight. That being said, lean is on the OVER. But I will not be making a play on the over. GL TO ALL, be back late tonight to make final wagers on tomorrows games. I gotta couple games that I am very confident about. Might make a 5 unit wager tomorrow on ONE game.
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Checked out the weather, and it says it shouldnt start raining til around midnight tonight. So, weather should not be a factor.
Line movement still going towards 7. Vegas knows something, I just dont know what...
These two teams usually have a pretty good battle, but I am liking the line movement, if it goes above 7, I just might put another unit on it.
as for an over/under... I think these two offenses can push it to mid-high 20's each tonight. That being said, lean is on the OVER. But I will not be making a play on the over. GL TO ALL, be back late tonight to make final wagers on tomorrows games. I gotta couple games that I am very confident about. Might make a 5 unit wager tomorrow on ONE game.
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