Today the spread went form 3.5 to 4 in Vegas. UNless there is significant news, it means the chances of the spread going to 3 is practically 0. And 3 is obviously the biggest key number in football, especially in colege where there's no 2-pointers and the extra point is short and a given.
Likely done for wekeend warriors and the public arriving on Friday. And yet it's significant becuase it says those in the know are sure Georgia isn't a mega sharp play, because it won't go to 3. No question it's positive for Alabama.
It's very possible this game is a roll of the dice, turnovers and luck could determine the ATS and ML winner.NO
That said there should be huge money on this game coming up, given most of the cash will come this weekend and Monday.
If I'm wrong, or you see it another way, let me know. GL Fellas.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Today the spread went form 3.5 to 4 in Vegas. UNless there is significant news, it means the chances of the spread going to 3 is practically 0. And 3 is obviously the biggest key number in football, especially in colege where there's no 2-pointers and the extra point is short and a given.
Likely done for wekeend warriors and the public arriving on Friday. And yet it's significant becuase it says those in the know are sure Georgia isn't a mega sharp play, because it won't go to 3. No question it's positive for Alabama.
It's very possible this game is a roll of the dice, turnovers and luck could determine the ATS and ML winner.NO
That said there should be huge money on this game coming up, given most of the cash will come this weekend and Monday.
If I'm wrong, or you see it another way, let me know. GL Fellas.
If you are looking for bama why not play it "safe" and go -175 ML? I mean the books are begging for more Bama backers. The spread still baffles me here. It screams books asking for more and more bama money. This Georgia team is nowhere close to the last two Clemson teams where Clemson was 7 point dogs yet they are only 3.5 dogs?! Last team the better team lost and I called it and I feel that might happen again here. Be careful amigo.
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If you are looking for bama why not play it "safe" and go -175 ML? I mean the books are begging for more Bama backers. The spread still baffles me here. It screams books asking for more and more bama money. This Georgia team is nowhere close to the last two Clemson teams where Clemson was 7 point dogs yet they are only 3.5 dogs?! Last team the better team lost and I called it and I feel that might happen again here. Be careful amigo.
If you are looking for bama why not play it "safe" and go -175 ML? I mean the books are begging for more Bama backers. The spread still baffles me here. It screams books asking for more and more bama money. This Georgia team is nowhere close to the last two Clemson teams where Clemson was 7 point dogs yet they are only 3.5 dogs?! Last team the better team lost and I called it and I feel that might happen again here. Be careful amigo.
Personally I can't do anything. I had Bama against Clemson ATS and Bama to win it all. So I'm just riding out the ML. I wish I would have just put it all on the Clemson game, I'm sweating this Bama-Georgia final. I can't be careful, it's already baked in. But I can't lose with the Bama cover against Clemson.
Yeah it makes sense to go the ML route instead of the spread. Especially because this is expected to be defensive, points at a premium, 2 similar teams/rivalries from the same conference.
I'm glad it didn't go to 3 that would have made me sweat even more.
I don't think the spread is so bad. You look at the Sagarin ratings that -3.75ish so it's right where it should be if you use that ratings system.
Yeah if I remember right 2016 Bama was 6 or 6.5 point favorites. Everybody expected it to go to 7, right? And it didn't, and that told you a lot. 6.5 is a dead number. Turns out Clemson beat ATS fairly easily, and won the ML too. Vegas hated the Clemson ML win. I'm hoping the same applies here, where Georgia was NOT able to get to that key number of 3, like Bama was NOT able to get to that key number of 7. That said, I'm sure more expected Bama to go to 7 than Georgia to go to 3.
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Quote Originally Posted by Achilles1629:
If you are looking for bama why not play it "safe" and go -175 ML? I mean the books are begging for more Bama backers. The spread still baffles me here. It screams books asking for more and more bama money. This Georgia team is nowhere close to the last two Clemson teams where Clemson was 7 point dogs yet they are only 3.5 dogs?! Last team the better team lost and I called it and I feel that might happen again here. Be careful amigo.
Personally I can't do anything. I had Bama against Clemson ATS and Bama to win it all. So I'm just riding out the ML. I wish I would have just put it all on the Clemson game, I'm sweating this Bama-Georgia final. I can't be careful, it's already baked in. But I can't lose with the Bama cover against Clemson.
Yeah it makes sense to go the ML route instead of the spread. Especially because this is expected to be defensive, points at a premium, 2 similar teams/rivalries from the same conference.
I'm glad it didn't go to 3 that would have made me sweat even more.
I don't think the spread is so bad. You look at the Sagarin ratings that -3.75ish so it's right where it should be if you use that ratings system.
Yeah if I remember right 2016 Bama was 6 or 6.5 point favorites. Everybody expected it to go to 7, right? And it didn't, and that told you a lot. 6.5 is a dead number. Turns out Clemson beat ATS fairly easily, and won the ML too. Vegas hated the Clemson ML win. I'm hoping the same applies here, where Georgia was NOT able to get to that key number of 3, like Bama was NOT able to get to that key number of 7. That said, I'm sure more expected Bama to go to 7 than Georgia to go to 3.
Bottom line is Bama is going to have to get some luck and maybe turnovers to win the game. Bama doesn't turn the ball over but Georgia can turn the ball over, so if there are no turnovers that plays to Georgia's advantage.
ANd to win the game Georgia is going to need some luck also.
That's what this line is telling me-shading Georgia but could be anybody's game.
We'll see where theis spread goes, as we know millions is going to be wagered and it's going to create crazy differences in the lines across books. If you do go to Vegas you have to shop around because of this.
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Bottom line is Bama is going to have to get some luck and maybe turnovers to win the game. Bama doesn't turn the ball over but Georgia can turn the ball over, so if there are no turnovers that plays to Georgia's advantage.
ANd to win the game Georgia is going to need some luck also.
That's what this line is telling me-shading Georgia but could be anybody's game.
We'll see where theis spread goes, as we know millions is going to be wagered and it's going to create crazy differences in the lines across books. If you do go to Vegas you have to shop around because of this.
I think Bama is the play on this one, had a chance to take -3.5 -104 @ Pinny, but I believe there might be some late action on UGA considering they're a soft local team and taking the points looks like the sharp play, I don't see the line going back to -4½ either so should close -4,-3.5 at worst. So i will hold on this one and see...
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I think Bama is the play on this one, had a chance to take -3.5 -104 @ Pinny, but I believe there might be some late action on UGA considering they're a soft local team and taking the points looks like the sharp play, I don't see the line going back to -4½ either so should close -4,-3.5 at worst. So i will hold on this one and see...
I think Bama is the play on this one, had a chance to take -3.5 -104 @ Pinny, but I believe there might be some late action on UGA considering they're a soft local team and taking the points looks like the sharp play, I don't see the line going back to -4½ either so should close -4,-3.5 at worst. So i will hold on this one and see...
Looks like it. Back to 4 in Vegas fellas, minus a few places.
Had its shot to hit 3 but never made it.
I know most people don't care, but yes this can be a big deal that it does not hit the major number of 3.
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Quote Originally Posted by gentruchi:
I think Bama is the play on this one, had a chance to take -3.5 -104 @ Pinny, but I believe there might be some late action on UGA considering they're a soft local team and taking the points looks like the sharp play, I don't see the line going back to -4½ either so should close -4,-3.5 at worst. So i will hold on this one and see...
Looks like it. Back to 4 in Vegas fellas, minus a few places.
Had its shot to hit 3 but never made it.
I know most people don't care, but yes this can be a big deal that it does not hit the major number of 3.
Who comes up with these lines that tells the story as a fg win by bama to pay all Georgia bettors?
Line can be off as well.
Defense still wins championship and where was the bulldogs defense against Oklahoma?
The committee added bama instead of Ohio State for a reason. It is scripted and written in the stars. If Clemson vs Georgia, I had Georgia but now the sneaky bama is at it again, i am sorry to say but bama is just on another level. Oklahoma got no defense which then makes Georgia looks good out there.
Trump will be at the game. He is the mother of all jinx. He will be rooting for the bulldogs and that's fake news if Georgia wins the championship game. Ha
I'm all in on bama. If lose, you will not hear or see me talking about college football till next year.
Bama by 7 as they will bless the clock out and take a kneel in victory formation.
We shall see.
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Who comes up with these lines that tells the story as a fg win by bama to pay all Georgia bettors?
Line can be off as well.
Defense still wins championship and where was the bulldogs defense against Oklahoma?
The committee added bama instead of Ohio State for a reason. It is scripted and written in the stars. If Clemson vs Georgia, I had Georgia but now the sneaky bama is at it again, i am sorry to say but bama is just on another level. Oklahoma got no defense which then makes Georgia looks good out there.
Trump will be at the game. He is the mother of all jinx. He will be rooting for the bulldogs and that's fake news if Georgia wins the championship game. Ha
I'm all in on bama. If lose, you will not hear or see me talking about college football till next year.
Bama by 7 as they will bless the clock out and take a kneel in victory formation.
"Defense still wins championship and where was the bulldogs defense against Oklahoma?"
Funny you say that, as Georgia's poor defensive 1st half last week is one reason I like them to win the game tonight.
They had a bad 1st half (against a potent offense), but a pretty good 2nd half. They won't lay an egg like that 2 weeks in a row. I expect the defense to play well for 60 minutes tonight. And Alabama isn't nearly as explosive as OK.
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"Defense still wins championship and where was the bulldogs defense against Oklahoma?"
Funny you say that, as Georgia's poor defensive 1st half last week is one reason I like them to win the game tonight.
They had a bad 1st half (against a potent offense), but a pretty good 2nd half. They won't lay an egg like that 2 weeks in a row. I expect the defense to play well for 60 minutes tonight. And Alabama isn't nearly as explosive as OK.
"Defense still wins championship and where was the bulldogs defense against Oklahoma?" Funny you say that, as Georgia's poor defensive 1st half last week is one reason I like them to win the game tonight. They had a bad 1st half (against a potent offense), but a pretty good 2nd half. They won't lay an egg like that 2 weeks in a row. I expect the defense to play well for 60 minutes tonight. And Alabama isn't nearly as explosive as OK.
What you saw is a bad defensive team making Georgia looks good.
Bama is a dynasty. The committee putting bama in to play spoiler. Now they are in, they will beat anybody on any given soil.
Georgia is one dimensional with just their running game for strength. Bama will contain that as they are still top in passing Dee and and rushing Dee.
And it will be a blood bath as all the smart guys are taking that half a point like the game is going down to the wire.
Bama by 14 to send Georgia home and so they can try again in another 30 years.
I'm fading the trend actually. It shows that Georgia us good against the spread n bama is poor at it. This is the final game as everything we know all year is out the door. They will play differently as strategy changes to occupy the elements of surprises.
Plus what happened in 2015? Bama rolled tides all over the Dawgs.
Bama will play as though no one gave them respect. Sure they got a sleeping game where they lost but not by a blowout. They just ran out of time. Ha
Bulldogs wants this more. It is this thirst that will be their pitfalls. Experience will win this. How do I know?
Well saban took culpepper over the shorty drew Brees n Narleans won. Saban will win to keep Brees from hating. Then vikqueens will beat Brees n saban will still be on top.
Ha
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Quote Originally Posted by Monkeybongos:
"Defense still wins championship and where was the bulldogs defense against Oklahoma?" Funny you say that, as Georgia's poor defensive 1st half last week is one reason I like them to win the game tonight. They had a bad 1st half (against a potent offense), but a pretty good 2nd half. They won't lay an egg like that 2 weeks in a row. I expect the defense to play well for 60 minutes tonight. And Alabama isn't nearly as explosive as OK.
What you saw is a bad defensive team making Georgia looks good.
Bama is a dynasty. The committee putting bama in to play spoiler. Now they are in, they will beat anybody on any given soil.
Georgia is one dimensional with just their running game for strength. Bama will contain that as they are still top in passing Dee and and rushing Dee.
And it will be a blood bath as all the smart guys are taking that half a point like the game is going down to the wire.
Bama by 14 to send Georgia home and so they can try again in another 30 years.
I'm fading the trend actually. It shows that Georgia us good against the spread n bama is poor at it. This is the final game as everything we know all year is out the door. They will play differently as strategy changes to occupy the elements of surprises.
Plus what happened in 2015? Bama rolled tides all over the Dawgs.
Bama will play as though no one gave them respect. Sure they got a sleeping game where they lost but not by a blowout. They just ran out of time. Ha
Bulldogs wants this more. It is this thirst that will be their pitfalls. Experience will win this. How do I know?
Well saban took culpepper over the shorty drew Brees n Narleans won. Saban will win to keep Brees from hating. Then vikqueens will beat Brees n saban will still be on top.
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