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#1
Hey everyone -- another of my fade the public picks... and this one fits the bill to be a great bet.
Pick: Washington -10.5 over Washington St
Couple factors to keep in mind:
1) Fits the system of betting the home favorite when the public is backing the road underdog
2) Washington is seeded worse than Washington St; yet Washington is significantly favored
3) Public sees Washington have a "struggle win" versus Utah last week, and sees them as emotionally vulnerable since they cannot make it to the PAC-12 Championship match
4) Public playing the narrative that WSU has much more to play for (PAC-12) and will give superior effort
5) Favorable matchups for Washington in their pass defense and pass rush vs WSU.
6) Line movement from Wash -10 to Wash -10.5 despite the public heavily betting WSU... showing Vegas wants all the WSU money it can get.
Should be a solid Washington win! Good luck everyone!
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