Arid Week Seven

Question

Last week was one of those that makes you want to give up. 3-6 on official plays. 2-0 on posted leans that I didn't play. And those six losses included a six-point underdog that lost in overtime (by seven) and Northwestern. And, well, you know about Northwestern.

27-28 overall. I'm finally losing to the coin toss. I've not been putting in the time and it shows. I'm posting my picks for tracking purposes, and I certainly appreciate input, but do not tail me.

Locked in:

*BYU -7. These teams aren't that different from last year's dominant BYU performance, and the Cougars are at home this time. I think they know how to stop the option and will have little trouble doing so.

*Boston College +24. They've actually been showing some pulse, and I don't think Clemson lays on the steam the week before FSU. Love this game.

*Wisconsin -10. I think Northwestern gave everything they had last week and they're going to get rolled by a more rested team.

Others on the consideration list, with reasons I'm considering them and reasons I haven't played them yet. I'll reevaluate things in the morning. Thoughts, as always, appreciated.

*Buffalo. Buffalo is way better. But I'd kinda like to see them do it on the road before I back them on the road.

*UAB. Because FIU is awful. Way awfuler than UAB. But we saw last week that blindly fading awful teams is not always a great idea.

*Wyoming. Because their offense should destroy the UNM defense. But they have been vulnerable in the run defense, and UNM has a run offense.

*UNLV. Because they're quite a bit better than Hawai'i. But. . . actually I'm not sure why I haven't played this already. Nerves about betting on bad teams I guess.

*Utah. A rough spot for Stanford after Washington, looking ahead to UCLA, and playing at elevation. On the other hand, they are a much better team.

*OSU/WSU over. Because Oregon State's defense is made for overs. That said, they still may be more competent than any of the folks WSU has scored on this year.

*Navy/Duke over. Same with Navy's and Duke's. But a team with a bye to prepare for the option always makes me nervous.

*Oklahoma. Because Texas brings out the best in Oklahoma. That said, Oklahoma has not shown much good against anyone this year.

Arid_Torpor · Answer