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    All Forums | College Football

    Baylor Writeup

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    DanCarcillo
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    ReconPicks
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    Posted: Sep. 16, 2016 - 4:10 PM ET #1

    Baylor will continue to put up the points in 2016. Despite all of the negative attention on the team, Baylor will have an offense that can explode at any moment. Back at the helm is quarterback Seth Russell who is the clear-cut starter on this Bear’s team. There are a lot of teams juggling between quarterbacks, but Russell is the main guy at Baylor. He has thrown for 6 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on the year, with another touchdown on the ground. Russell was one of the better quarterbacks in college football a year ago, passing for 29 touchdowns and only 6 interceptions. Baylor has a run game to complement him, so they are not a one-dimensional unit.

    Rice on the other hand would like to find a component quarterback. The play from under center has been horrid at best, along with the entire offense. Starter Tyler Stehling has passed for 3 interceptions and only 1 touchdown. This wasn’t against elite competition either, this being Western Kentucky and Army. Over the first two weeks, they scored 14 points in each, while allowing 38.5 points per game.

    The Owls should find issues moving the ball on Baylor. If SMU, who actually have a pretty nice offense, couldn’t manage to do anything, Rice is going to be in for a world of hurt. Also I don’t think Baylor was too happy with how they started last week. They didn’t wake up until the second-half opened. I expect Baylor to come out guns a blazing, jumping out to a quick 14-0 lead and pretty well sealing the fate for Rice on Friday night. Baylor should be able to control the line of scrimmage and game throughout. This is a lot of points, but I think the odds makers are 4 or 5 points too short of what the correct line should be. Baylor rolls Rice tonight in a big way.

    Baylor-30.5

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    Baylor will continue to put up the points in 2016. Despite all of the negative attention on the team, Baylor will have an offense that can explode at any moment. Back at the helm is quarterback Seth Russell who is the clear-cut starter on this Bear’s team. There are a lot of teams juggling between quarterbacks, but Russell is the main guy at Baylor. He has thrown for 6 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on the year, with another touchdown on the ground. Russell was one of the better quarterbacks in college football a year ago, passing for 29 touchdowns and only 6 interceptions. Baylor has a run game to complement him, so they are not a one-dimensional unit.

    Rice on the other hand would like to find a component quarterback. The play from under center has been horrid at best, along with the entire offense. Starter Tyler Stehling has passed for 3 interceptions and only 1 touchdown. This wasn’t against elite competition either, this being Western Kentucky and Army. Over the first two weeks, they scored 14 points in each, while allowing 38.5 points per game.

    The Owls should find issues moving the ball on Baylor. If SMU, who actually have a pretty nice offense, couldn’t manage to do anything, Rice is going to be in for a world of hurt. Also I don’t think Baylor was too happy with how they started last week. They didn’t wake up until the second-half opened. I expect Baylor to come out guns a blazing, jumping out to a quick 14-0 lead and pretty well sealing the fate for Rice on Friday night. Baylor should be able to control the line of scrimmage and game throughout. This is a lot of points, but I think the odds makers are 4 or 5 points too short of what the correct line should be. Baylor rolls Rice tonight in a big way.

    Baylor-30.5

     
    DanCarcillo
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    Posted: Sep. 16, 2016 - 4:15 PM ET #2

    Does vegas take this big of a hit? 84% of public money on Baylor as per VegasInsider
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    Does vegas take this big of a hit? 84% of public money on Baylor as per VegasInsider
     
    Damaged99
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    Posted: Sep. 16, 2016 - 4:19 PM ET #3

    so you think that Vegas tells the truth?
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    so you think that Vegas tells the truth?
     
    DanCarcillo
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    Posted: Sep. 16, 2016 - 4:26 PM ET #4

    Not necessarily, skepticism is important but from that, looking on a few other sites and reading here, I could see it being remotely close
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    Not necessarily, skepticism is important but from that, looking on a few other sites and reading here, I could see it being remotely close
     
    DanCarcillo
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    Posted: Sep. 16, 2016 - 4:33 PM ET #5

    Line now at 33
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    Line now at 33
     
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    Posted: Sep. 16, 2016 - 6:21 PM ET #6

    Steaming
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    Steaming
     
    Eddy_Winslow
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    Posted: Sep. 16, 2016 - 6:35 PM ET #7

    Bears rush for 300 tonight.
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    Bears rush for 300 tonight.
     
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    Posted: Sep. 16, 2016 - 7:32 PM ET #8

    Now at 34
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    Now at 34
     
    FryingPanShoal
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    Posted: Sep. 16, 2016 - 7:36 PM ET #9

    Lmao at this line you are using. Give me a break. It's a minimum of 34 everywhere. Hilarious.

    Use the real lines at time of post if you're going to cap. It hasn't been anywhere near 30 for days, buddy.

    BOL.

    - The Pan

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    Lmao at this line you are using. Give me a break. It's a minimum of 34 everywhere. Hilarious.

    Use the real lines at time of post if you're going to cap. It hasn't been anywhere near 30 for days, buddy.

    BOL.

    - The Pan

     
    thorpe
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    Posted: Sep. 16, 2016 - 7:36 PM ET #10

    Quote Originally Posted by DanCarcillo:

    Does vegas take this big of a hit? 84% of public money on Baylor as per VegasInsider

    People generally bet the favorite early and the dog late, because that is how the line normally moves, so even if VegasInsider is being accurate, the percent will be skewed toward the favorite.
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    Quote Originally Posted by DanCarcillo:

    Does vegas take this big of a hit? 84% of public money on Baylor as per VegasInsider

    People generally bet the favorite early and the dog late, because that is how the line normally moves, so even if VegasInsider is being accurate, the percent will be skewed toward the favorite.
     
    Eddy_Winslow
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    Posted: Sep. 16, 2016 - 8:09 PM ET #11

    FryingPan needs a hug or something, wow. I had 30.5 at my book last night.
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    FryingPan needs a hug or something, wow. I had 30.5 at my book last night.
     
    MBDAN
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    Posted: Sep. 16, 2016 - 8:31 PM ET #12

    Wow! This Baylor team is not the same. This QB has even regressed. It's early, but Baylor seems uninterested....no fire at all.
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    Wow! This Baylor team is not the same. This QB has even regressed. It's early, but Baylor seems uninterested....no fire at all.
     
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    Posted: Sep. 16, 2016 - 8:46 PM ET #13

    I had 34 at kickoff and 30.5 at lunch when I bet this trash -anymore stupid questions ? Can u read? Fry pan let me know and I'll get ya my picks by 11am CST 
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    I had 34 at kickoff and 30.5 at lunch when I bet this trash -anymore stupid questions ? Can u read? Fry pan let me know and I'll get ya my picks by 11am CST 
     
    lucky808
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    Posted: Sep. 16, 2016 - 8:51 PM ET #14

    Baylor smh 
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    Baylor smh 
     
    jrgumpert
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    Posted: Sep. 16, 2016 - 8:55 PM ET #15

    Big lines leave way too much room for funny business along with the motivation factor, do they need to win by 35 or maybe just 10-15?

    Never, ever, ever, bet those kinds of lines. Good luck to those of you who do.
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    Big lines leave way too much room for funny business along with the motivation factor, do they need to win by 35 or maybe just 10-15?

    Never, ever, ever, bet those kinds of lines. Good luck to those of you who do.
     
    Eddy_Winslow
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    Posted: Sep. 16, 2016 - 9:05 PM ET #16

    Ok, as bad as its been 7 here and you never kno, that punt is basically a turnover 
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    Ok, as bad as its been 7 here and you never kno, that punt is basically a turnover 
     
    lucky808
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    Posted: Sep. 16, 2016 - 9:22 PM ET #17

    How is Baylor even ranked smfh lol wow 
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    How is Baylor even ranked smfh lol wow 
     
    lucky808
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    Posted: Sep. 16, 2016 - 9:26 PM ET #18

    Shiit maybe rice second half ML 
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    Shiit maybe rice second half ML 
     
    Eddy_Winslow
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    Posted: Sep. 16, 2016 - 9:39 PM ET #19

    Im wondering why that KD Cannon completion which was down at the 25, was spotted at the 30.
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    Im wondering why that KD Cannon completion which was down at the 25, was spotted at the 30.
     
    ReconPicks
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    Posted: Sep. 16, 2016 - 9:54 PM ET #20

    Baylor has had a no score quarter in all of their games this year -

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    Baylor has had a no score quarter in all of their games this year -

     
    Eddy_Winslow
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    Posted: Sep. 16, 2016 - 11:21 PM ET #21

    And that folks is how you purposely dont cover. Did u guy see the RB Baylor brought in once they got inside 20, i dont kno how ppl bet big $$$ on this.
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    And that folks is how you purposely dont cover. Did u guy see the RB Baylor brought in once they got inside 20, i dont kno how ppl bet big $$$ on this.
     
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    Posted: Sep. 16, 2016 - 11:55 PM ET #22

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    LonghornHoosier
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2016 - 1:40 AM ET #23

    we all learned a lesson, season to date,...we can not back baylor until vegas incorporates the grobe effect by lowering the lines by a factor...even though it is an over reaction (that Vegas likes) I will not back Baylor anymore this season.   thus, they are now on the same list as Georgia Tech in my book...(unpredictable)...
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    we all learned a lesson, season to date,...we can not back baylor until vegas incorporates the grobe effect by lowering the lines by a factor...even though it is an over reaction (that Vegas likes) I will not back Baylor anymore this season.   thus, they are now on the same list as Georgia Tech in my book...(unpredictable)...
     
     
    LonghornHoosier
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2016 - 1:41 AM ET #24

    we all learned a lesson, season to date,...we can not back baylor until vegas incorporates the grobe effect by lowering the lines by a factor...even though it is an over reaction (that Vegas likes) I will not back Baylor anymore this season.   thus, they are now on the same list as Georgia Tech in my book...(unpredictable)...If Art Briles was still coach, Baylor would have won this game by 50...Not saying that's right, but at least you could reasonably predict it, most of the time...The Baylor players seem to be playing uninspired...they seem to be ashamed and heartbroken...
    LonghornHoosier
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    we all learned a lesson, season to date,...we can not back baylor until vegas incorporates the grobe effect by lowering the lines by a factor...even though it is an over reaction (that Vegas likes) I will not back Baylor anymore this season.   thus, they are now on the same list as Georgia Tech in my book...(unpredictable)...If Art Briles was still coach, Baylor would have won this game by 50...Not saying that's right, but at least you could reasonably predict it, most of the time...The Baylor players seem to be playing uninspired...they seem to be ashamed and heartbroken...
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