Posted:
#1
OKLAHOMA STATE OVER 7.5 (priced from -110 to -165)
Again, I saw this on 5dimes at -165 but on my local bookies site at -110, I grabbed it immediately. Another mistake. If the oddsmakers were really THAT good they would be betting their own money instead of making book for some corporation.
Ever remember a freshman quarterback being named the starter in the spring, two months after he enrolled? It's highly uncommon -- and that's because of the knowledge and aptitude required to play the position at a high level in a major conference. Wes Lunt was simply that impressive after his arrival in January. Don't underestimate, too, the fact that the Illinois native was handpicked by Monken. It's very difficult, sitting here in June, to project how Lunt will fare as a freshman starting quarterback in the Big 12. If he can run the offense anywhere near as efficiently as Weeden did, the Cowboys could catch the league off guard and even compete for the Big 12 title. We figure that might be asking a bit much, but 8 wins isn't.
The defense on this team is really good and was often overlooked by the offense last season. The Cowboys still allowed only 26.8 points a game, which certainly doesn't correlate to that yardage figure. Aiding that, in particular, was its nation-leading 44 takeaways that created a lot of short fields for Weeden and the offense. The Pokes were eighth in the country in average starting field position, their own 36-yard line. Lunt assuredly would appreciate that sort of help in his first season. So long as the turnover trend continues, the Cowboys will be fine. There's reason to believe it will since the defense returns eight starters, including outstanding corners.
The most likely result for this Oklahoma City team is 10-2, worst case 8-4 still covering our wager.
The schedule unfolds nicely, with three of the four swing game opponents having to make the trip to Stillwater. And Gundy has had his team prepared away from home, losing only two Big 12 road games in the last three seasons.
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....of course Holgorsen system was also key to the '10 turnaround
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