Well another season coming down to the end! Bowl games were pretty much a joke and I only bet the playoff games for the most part. (6-2 bowl/playoffs) I’ve been riding the Irish and have been trying to convince everyone that they are legit contenders. However I believe this is where it ends. I absolutely can’t stand Ohio St, Ryan Day, and CK but I am hard pressed to think they will screw this game up. Notre Dames injuries will show in this game. Their inability to produce any big plays in the passing game will be their demise. 9.5 points may be too much as the Irish could make this a sloppy game. So my best play will be Irish Team total under 17.5.
Ohio St 26-17
Good luck everyone!!
6
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Well another season coming down to the end! Bowl games were pretty much a joke and I only bet the playoff games for the most part. (6-2 bowl/playoffs) I’ve been riding the Irish and have been trying to convince everyone that they are legit contenders. However I believe this is where it ends. I absolutely can’t stand Ohio St, Ryan Day, and CK but I am hard pressed to think they will screw this game up. Notre Dames injuries will show in this game. Their inability to produce any big plays in the passing game will be their demise. 9.5 points may be too much as the Irish could make this a sloppy game. So my best play will be Irish Team total under 17.5.
Sorry gotta chime in I see this all the time. You think that the score will be 26-17...yet you are betting Notre Dame TT Under 17.5?? Always get a kick out of these nonsensical posts. You are giving. yourself a whole .5 point of wiggle room?
Not saying don't bet it, but if you think they can score 17, then how is this not a stay away?
2
Sorry gotta chime in I see this all the time. You think that the score will be 26-17...yet you are betting Notre Dame TT Under 17.5?? Always get a kick out of these nonsensical posts. You are giving. yourself a whole .5 point of wiggle room?
Not saying don't bet it, but if you think they can score 17, then how is this not a stay away?
I would hit that for all that you can afford!! Thanks for the heads up as my bookie hasn't put up props just yet!
Good luck with your plays!
My Irish tt under is just a "normal" play. I almost hope I lose because I detest Ohio St. that much and I killed it here lately. If the Irish can get a big turnover or 2 and some great special teams play then maybe they score more. I just can't see any way that Riley throws for over 180 yards unless the Buckeyes sell out on the run and play a very soft zone all night.
2
@monkeebooger
I would hit that for all that you can afford!! Thanks for the heads up as my bookie hasn't put up props just yet!
Good luck with your plays!
My Irish tt under is just a "normal" play. I almost hope I lose because I detest Ohio St. that much and I killed it here lately. If the Irish can get a big turnover or 2 and some great special teams play then maybe they score more. I just can't see any way that Riley throws for over 180 yards unless the Buckeyes sell out on the run and play a very soft zone all night.
Nonsensical post? What is your play? How much money have you made people on these forums over the years? None I bet. You want a dumbed down explanation since you seem to need one....... Oregon is the only team this year to score more than 17.5 on Ohio St. I don't think the Irish can either. However, if they make the game ugly and get a turnover and a special teams play then maybe they could possibly get another touchdown. (I betting they do not). Or Ohio St. could open the flood gates in the 2nd half, build up a lead and play some sloppy defense allowing a cheap score or 2. Again, I am betting that this is a close, well played, conservative game played by both sides resulting in a low scoring contest. I've been wrong before, but the only thing nonsensical is your opinion.
5
@CaridadDelCobre
Nonsensical post? What is your play? How much money have you made people on these forums over the years? None I bet. You want a dumbed down explanation since you seem to need one....... Oregon is the only team this year to score more than 17.5 on Ohio St. I don't think the Irish can either. However, if they make the game ugly and get a turnover and a special teams play then maybe they could possibly get another touchdown. (I betting they do not). Or Ohio St. could open the flood gates in the 2nd half, build up a lead and play some sloppy defense allowing a cheap score or 2. Again, I am betting that this is a close, well played, conservative game played by both sides resulting in a low scoring contest. I've been wrong before, but the only thing nonsensical is your opinion.
Riley also had below 180 yds in 9 of their games this year. Seems almost too good to be true but I might just make a play on it. I'll be doing some more research into this one. Thanks again for the heads up!
1
@blowoutgm
Riley also had below 180 yds in 9 of their games this year. Seems almost too good to be true but I might just make a play on it. I'll be doing some more research into this one. Thanks again for the heads up!
I did very well this college season. 56% including 10-2 on bowls and playoffs. I hit my largest bet of the weekend 10 weekends in a row.
(Not that it is relevant to my post, or that I'd expect people to believe it becaue no, I don't religiously post all my bets.)
All I was saying is if you think the score is Notre Dame scoring 17 points, then why bet under 17.5. My bet is on Ohio St and I agree that Notre Dame scores less than 17 points without freaky variance like fumbles or a KO return...
However betting for me has a lot to do with floors and ceilings. I'm on Ohio St because I think they shut down ND (with a score range somewhere 13 - 20) AND i think Ohio St's scoring ceiling is pretty high (which leaves a lot of potential outcomes including a blowout. I'm just saying its funny to predict a team to score 17 points and then bet the under 17.5. Its the same as the geniuses that would say Ohio St 30 Notre Dame 20...SLAM Ohio St! when the line is 9.
If your "model" (also find it funny that people have their own power rankings like they are sagarin or something) has a team or bet winning by one point or less, you probably shouldn'tr bet it, no?
1
@blowoutgm
I did very well this college season. 56% including 10-2 on bowls and playoffs. I hit my largest bet of the weekend 10 weekends in a row.
(Not that it is relevant to my post, or that I'd expect people to believe it becaue no, I don't religiously post all my bets.)
All I was saying is if you think the score is Notre Dame scoring 17 points, then why bet under 17.5. My bet is on Ohio St and I agree that Notre Dame scores less than 17 points without freaky variance like fumbles or a KO return...
However betting for me has a lot to do with floors and ceilings. I'm on Ohio St because I think they shut down ND (with a score range somewhere 13 - 20) AND i think Ohio St's scoring ceiling is pretty high (which leaves a lot of potential outcomes including a blowout. I'm just saying its funny to predict a team to score 17 points and then bet the under 17.5. Its the same as the geniuses that would say Ohio St 30 Notre Dame 20...SLAM Ohio St! when the line is 9.
If your "model" (also find it funny that people have their own power rankings like they are sagarin or something) has a team or bet winning by one point or less, you probably shouldn'tr bet it, no?
I don't have one. What's your point? Too funny it took less than 5 minutes for the record tracking police to scour my posts lmao. Are nerds like you incapable of debating a topic on their merits or do you need everyone to spend their entire life's waking moments on this site posting bets? My post isn't even an argument about who wins or loses...it is relating to betting philosophy.
1
@Turkduffin
I don't have one. What's your point? Too funny it took less than 5 minutes for the record tracking police to scour my posts lmao. Are nerds like you incapable of debating a topic on their merits or do you need everyone to spend their entire life's waking moments on this site posting bets? My post isn't even an argument about who wins or loses...it is relating to betting philosophy.
It’s all a matter of perspective I guess. I think N Dame “shouldn’t” score more than 10-13 on this defense. However I think their defense and special teams can possibly give them another 3-7 points. So I don’t see them scoring over 17 thus my under 17.5 bet. Pretty simple in my eyes. I bet based on my judgement- not any kind of point differential. Hope this makes sense. A half point win is always a winner!
3
@CaridadDelCobre
It’s all a matter of perspective I guess. I think N Dame “shouldn’t” score more than 10-13 on this defense. However I think their defense and special teams can possibly give them another 3-7 points. So I don’t see them scoring over 17 thus my under 17.5 bet. Pretty simple in my eyes. I bet based on my judgement- not any kind of point differential. Hope this makes sense. A half point win is always a winner!
Boys relax I think Caridad was saying posting a pick with 1 point of variance is usually a no play or pizza money bet for most posters.. it’s no shame in saying even pass
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Boys relax I think Caridad was saying posting a pick with 1 point of variance is usually a no play or pizza money bet for most posters.. it’s no shame in saying even pass
Yeah, it's one of those bets I would never even look at but he brought it up and like you said he went under that almost every game so I bit for a unit.
0
Yeah, it's one of those bets I would never even look at but he brought it up and like you said he went under that almost every game so I bit for a unit.
I went 1-1. Should have rode the Irish one last game as I’ve been singing their praises for awhile now. Once again Ryan Day screwed the pooch! The Irish fought until the end and ultimately covered!
0
@OneADayJ
I went 1-1. Should have rode the Irish one last game as I’ve been singing their praises for awhile now. Once again Ryan Day screwed the pooch! The Irish fought until the end and ultimately covered!
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