We will see if I end up playing all bowl games. I
will try to delve in a good amount of them....but I'll make it clear
which ones I actually like a lot & which ones I dont.
Nevada/ULL OVER 60.5
I see each team getting 30pts in this game. 2 teams with average at
best defenses & above average offenses playing in the dome.....&
this bowl game has a history of putting up points (aside from last
year). Nevada's defense isn't great, & ULL should be able to run
the ball at will here. ULL has a history of playing very well in this
bowl game, & even though they can be run heavy, they have big plays
& score quickly. ULL's defense was trash to start the year, but got
much better as the year went on.....I'll attribute this to A.) players
finding their groove, & B.) Them playing a softer schedule once Sun
Belt came into play. Nevada & Fajaro will be the best offense they
have faced since probably Boise St, & I like Fajaro's chances in his
last game at the college level.
SDSU Aztecs -2 ----- HAMMERED
I'll continue to be repetitive about Rocky Long's success against option
teams. His defenses are great against them, & he has a killer ATS
& SU record since he has been at SDSU (10-1 now I believe). They
have already played 2 option teams this year, one traditional & one
modern. I could be concerned about them having possibly a couple DL
injured, but as I stated in my pre-season write up of the Aztecs, D-Line
is their deepest position on the team probably. SDSU played in this
bowl on their home field 2 years ago & got whipped by a BYU team
that was much better than them all across the board....& I don't see
motivation being a problem for them here. Navy's defense is the reason
why they are a disappointing 7-5 this year, & they are giving up
over 5ypc.....D Pumphrey should be able to have a field day (as long as
Bob Toledo doesn't try to get cute & throw the ball the whole damn
game).
I'll be back with more later! & continue to update the thread.
Good luck this bowl season....it doesn't ever last long enough, &
it's sad to think football is almost over (off-season is waaaaaaaaaaay
too long).
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Regular Season Record: 70-66-2
We will see if I end up playing all bowl games. I
will try to delve in a good amount of them....but I'll make it clear
which ones I actually like a lot & which ones I dont.
Nevada/ULL OVER 60.5
I see each team getting 30pts in this game. 2 teams with average at
best defenses & above average offenses playing in the dome.....&
this bowl game has a history of putting up points (aside from last
year). Nevada's defense isn't great, & ULL should be able to run
the ball at will here. ULL has a history of playing very well in this
bowl game, & even though they can be run heavy, they have big plays
& score quickly. ULL's defense was trash to start the year, but got
much better as the year went on.....I'll attribute this to A.) players
finding their groove, & B.) Them playing a softer schedule once Sun
Belt came into play. Nevada & Fajaro will be the best offense they
have faced since probably Boise St, & I like Fajaro's chances in his
last game at the college level.
SDSU Aztecs -2 ----- HAMMERED
I'll continue to be repetitive about Rocky Long's success against option
teams. His defenses are great against them, & he has a killer ATS
& SU record since he has been at SDSU (10-1 now I believe). They
have already played 2 option teams this year, one traditional & one
modern. I could be concerned about them having possibly a couple DL
injured, but as I stated in my pre-season write up of the Aztecs, D-Line
is their deepest position on the team probably. SDSU played in this
bowl on their home field 2 years ago & got whipped by a BYU team
that was much better than them all across the board....& I don't see
motivation being a problem for them here. Navy's defense is the reason
why they are a disappointing 7-5 this year, & they are giving up
over 5ypc.....D Pumphrey should be able to have a field day (as long as
Bob Toledo doesn't try to get cute & throw the ball the whole damn
game).
I'll be back with more later! & continue to update the thread.
Good luck this bowl season....it doesn't ever last long enough, &
it's sad to think football is almost over (off-season is waaaaaaaaaaay
too long).
i do not recall betting against navy in bowls panning out. and i seen the sd st tm in vegas a few times and their discipline and committment falls way short of navy, who by the way have a little Navy base in S.D. and it is like a home gm for navy as i predict their fans will fill the stands just a memo.
bigFnPOO
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i do not recall betting against navy in bowls panning out. and i seen the sd st tm in vegas a few times and their discipline and committment falls way short of navy, who by the way have a little Navy base in S.D. and it is like a home gm for navy as i predict their fans will fill the stands just a memo.
Home field advantage is not something I really care about with this game, so I don't care if the stands are 100% navy people, which it won't be bc this is played at SDSU's home field. So to call it a "home game" for navy couldn't really be more wrong.
I care mainly about the fact that SDSU is one of the best teams at stopping option offenses. Rocky Long's defense has proven this successful for many years now. He is 10-1 SU and ATS since he has been at SDSU, with the only loss coming 4 years ago (his 1st year on campus). So as far as discipline goes, they have plenty of it when it comes to option teams. They have already faced 2 this year and held them in check the whole game. This is also the most athletic team Long has had.
I also like the big size advantage they have on the LOS. The Aztecs should be able to run the ball well here, thanks to a big OL that has been clearing holes all year long and D Pumphrey who has been running wild all year long.
OC Bob Toledo just announced he is retiring after this game (which is good for SDSU bc I'm not a Toledo fan). So that could add some emotion/motivation for SDSU.
SDSU problems aren't from discipline, so I'll respectfully disagree. Good luck with whatever you play
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Home field advantage is not something I really care about with this game, so I don't care if the stands are 100% navy people, which it won't be bc this is played at SDSU's home field. So to call it a "home game" for navy couldn't really be more wrong.
I care mainly about the fact that SDSU is one of the best teams at stopping option offenses. Rocky Long's defense has proven this successful for many years now. He is 10-1 SU and ATS since he has been at SDSU, with the only loss coming 4 years ago (his 1st year on campus). So as far as discipline goes, they have plenty of it when it comes to option teams. They have already faced 2 this year and held them in check the whole game. This is also the most athletic team Long has had.
I also like the big size advantage they have on the LOS. The Aztecs should be able to run the ball well here, thanks to a big OL that has been clearing holes all year long and D Pumphrey who has been running wild all year long.
OC Bob Toledo just announced he is retiring after this game (which is good for SDSU bc I'm not a Toledo fan). So that could add some emotion/motivation for SDSU.
SDSU problems aren't from discipline, so I'll respectfully disagree. Good luck with whatever you play
I'll make plays on all games. Some will be small and I'll classify them differently. I'll clean up the thread later.
1st day looks tough, here we go:
ULL/Nevada OVER 60.5 love this play. Only concern is the early kick, but with both Nevada being In town for a week, I don't worry as much. Yes, I still like it at the 63 it's at currently too.
The rest will be smaller for Saturday:
Utah St -10 UTEP hasn't beaten a bowl eligible team. They have the 109 ranked defense in terms of ypp. Extra practices for Utah st and freshman Kent Myers. If Utah St is interested in this game then they should cover IMO. If they aren't then I may have a problem.
Utah -2.5 just can't get over the coaching issues at CSU. I also can't get past the fact this is the best defense CSU has prob faced, and especially on the DL. Most importantly I can't get over the near flawless bowl record for Whittingham, and I don't think they will be flat bc they haven't been to a bowl in 2 years. Also think Booker will run fairly easily against a somewhat soft CSU run d.
Air Force ML (+115) i love what PJ Fleck is doing, and the train will keep running next year. But I can't get over the fact that I can't find much knowledge of this coaching staff having experience against option teams. And this young team has no experience against option teams the last couple years. There is a difference between seeing it on tape and practicing with your scout team than it is seeing it in game action from a team that runs it perfectly.
South Bama -2.5 taking the better defense in their 1st bowl game ever in a near home game
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I'll make plays on all games. Some will be small and I'll classify them differently. I'll clean up the thread later.
1st day looks tough, here we go:
ULL/Nevada OVER 60.5 love this play. Only concern is the early kick, but with both Nevada being In town for a week, I don't worry as much. Yes, I still like it at the 63 it's at currently too.
The rest will be smaller for Saturday:
Utah St -10 UTEP hasn't beaten a bowl eligible team. They have the 109 ranked defense in terms of ypp. Extra practices for Utah st and freshman Kent Myers. If Utah St is interested in this game then they should cover IMO. If they aren't then I may have a problem.
Utah -2.5 just can't get over the coaching issues at CSU. I also can't get past the fact this is the best defense CSU has prob faced, and especially on the DL. Most importantly I can't get over the near flawless bowl record for Whittingham, and I don't think they will be flat bc they haven't been to a bowl in 2 years. Also think Booker will run fairly easily against a somewhat soft CSU run d.
Air Force ML (+115) i love what PJ Fleck is doing, and the train will keep running next year. But I can't get over the fact that I can't find much knowledge of this coaching staff having experience against option teams. And this young team has no experience against option teams the last couple years. There is a difference between seeing it on tape and practicing with your scout team than it is seeing it in game action from a team that runs it perfectly.
South Bama -2.5 taking the better defense in their 1st bowl game ever in a near home game
BYU ML (+115) 2 teams that are near identical in terms of offensive and defensive yards/play. Memphis has the edge in the Red Zone, and that is probably where they gather their fantastic defensive points/game. But, I'll back the team that has had to go through a tougher schedule, along with a ridiculous rash of injuries and attrition. Giving an extra few weeks to practice and prepare should only help these young players that got thrown into the fire. I think Memphis' defensive stats are somewhat misleading as during their 6 game win streak they havent faced a team ranked higher than #94 in terms of offensive scoring. Being from Oklahoma, I love Justin Fuente and his confidence....and I love the trash talk thats been going on between both teams prior to this game facing off. I'm going w/ the veteran coach Mendenhall who has won 4 out of his last 5 bowl games. I'll take a coach that has proven to win bowl games over a team/coach going to their first bowl in years (I find it an overblown angle to use, i.e. Western Michigan & South Bama so far this year) when both the teams are fairly equal in my eyes.
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BYU ML (+115) 2 teams that are near identical in terms of offensive and defensive yards/play. Memphis has the edge in the Red Zone, and that is probably where they gather their fantastic defensive points/game. But, I'll back the team that has had to go through a tougher schedule, along with a ridiculous rash of injuries and attrition. Giving an extra few weeks to practice and prepare should only help these young players that got thrown into the fire. I think Memphis' defensive stats are somewhat misleading as during their 6 game win streak they havent faced a team ranked higher than #94 in terms of offensive scoring. Being from Oklahoma, I love Justin Fuente and his confidence....and I love the trash talk thats been going on between both teams prior to this game facing off. I'm going w/ the veteran coach Mendenhall who has won 4 out of his last 5 bowl games. I'll take a coach that has proven to win bowl games over a team/coach going to their first bowl in years (I find it an overblown angle to use, i.e. Western Michigan & South Bama so far this year) when both the teams are fairly equal in my eyes.
NIU Huskies +10 (-120) Marshall is better in nearly every statistical category, and there is very little reason to back NIU on that alone. But it's clearly a play on Marshall's season going into the Sh*tter and think NIU will be the much more motivated team than Marshall, and I'll take 10pts in this scenerio all day....even if it does mean I have to back a MAC team in a bowl (barf).
Also have the Aztecs pending for tonight as well, obviously.
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Bowls: 3-3
NIU Huskies +10 (-120) Marshall is better in nearly every statistical category, and there is very little reason to back NIU on that alone. But it's clearly a play on Marshall's season going into the Sh*tter and think NIU will be the much more motivated team than Marshall, and I'll take 10pts in this scenerio all day....even if it does mean I have to back a MAC team in a bowl (barf).
Also have the Aztecs pending for tonight as well, obviously.
Ah a winning Saturday....I almost forgot what those feel like. On to today, where I really like all games:
West Virginia -1.5 Backing the better defense, surprise. I think Skylar Howard will do fine, as he has done fine toward the end of the year and now has had an extra month to practice/prepare. But WVU has a good enough defense to cause Kyle Allen problems IMO, as their DC is not afraid to bring confusing looks & blitzes, which cause some high powered offenses problems (i.e. Baylor). Basically, I think WVU gets 2-3 more stops than A&M will. Although I am slightly restless about taking Holgo instead of Sumlin.
OU -4 ----- HAMMERED Under looks good also IMO. OU is a stressful team to put money on, as most of the time it is coaching that leaves your pockets empty it seems. But this wager is on the hope that OU has a good gameplan put forth. Last year I was on OU against Bama, & a large reason was b/c I knew OU would play that game like it was the biggest they had played in a decade. Well, that leaves to concern here b/c I have no idea how this team will come out & play....could be flat & ugly. But I'm hoping with a bunch of young players, and a team that isnt full of pre-madonna's, that the Sooners will play well. OU defense has been a disappointment, but w/ extra practices I'm hopeful the young secondary will be better. Also hopeful Mike Stoops will simplify things a bit & just let the players play. Stoudt is a QB that could make OU's defense look good again, as he is probably the 2nd worst QB they have faced this year. Offensively, I think OU can weard down Clemson (as long as the Sooners defense does their job).
Texas +7 ----- HAMMERED Under looks obvious here too. Basically backing Charlie Strong, & a very young & green team to get better this last month of practice. Both teams play right into their wheelhouse, & i think both teams will come to play football. If Tyrone Swoopes turns the ball over a lot then I can probably kiss this wager goodbye. But if Swoopes doesn't give the ball to the other team, then I think Texas has a better than expected shot to win the ball game.
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Ah a winning Saturday....I almost forgot what those feel like. On to today, where I really like all games:
West Virginia -1.5 Backing the better defense, surprise. I think Skylar Howard will do fine, as he has done fine toward the end of the year and now has had an extra month to practice/prepare. But WVU has a good enough defense to cause Kyle Allen problems IMO, as their DC is not afraid to bring confusing looks & blitzes, which cause some high powered offenses problems (i.e. Baylor). Basically, I think WVU gets 2-3 more stops than A&M will. Although I am slightly restless about taking Holgo instead of Sumlin.
OU -4 ----- HAMMERED Under looks good also IMO. OU is a stressful team to put money on, as most of the time it is coaching that leaves your pockets empty it seems. But this wager is on the hope that OU has a good gameplan put forth. Last year I was on OU against Bama, & a large reason was b/c I knew OU would play that game like it was the biggest they had played in a decade. Well, that leaves to concern here b/c I have no idea how this team will come out & play....could be flat & ugly. But I'm hoping with a bunch of young players, and a team that isnt full of pre-madonna's, that the Sooners will play well. OU defense has been a disappointment, but w/ extra practices I'm hopeful the young secondary will be better. Also hopeful Mike Stoops will simplify things a bit & just let the players play. Stoudt is a QB that could make OU's defense look good again, as he is probably the 2nd worst QB they have faced this year. Offensively, I think OU can weard down Clemson (as long as the Sooners defense does their job).
Texas +7 ----- HAMMERED Under looks obvious here too. Basically backing Charlie Strong, & a very young & green team to get better this last month of practice. Both teams play right into their wheelhouse, & i think both teams will come to play football. If Tyrone Swoopes turns the ball over a lot then I can probably kiss this wager goodbye. But if Swoopes doesn't give the ball to the other team, then I think Texas has a better than expected shot to win the ball game.
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