BRIDGE PLAYS WEEK 13

BP WK12 .. 1-0 .. 22-16 YTD
SM WK12 .. 2-0 .. 47-52 YTD

WK12 RECAP:

BRIDGE PLAYS
NORTHWESTERN +30.5 

SMALLER
NEW MEXICO +13.5 
WISCONSIN +14 

FAN DUEL PRE OPEN .. 

SMALLER

UMASS +45.5

UGA off such a brutal battle and w a pretty scrappy GT on deck this just doesn't seem like the lock down murder spot its expected to be .. Umass lost their good QB Tysooon Phooomemmamchaoon for the season and the backup stepped in and the team played Liberty into overtime last week .. Doubt it was Lib's best game either .. Kirby is well known for pulling punches in these spots like vs UT Martin last year and just every other big monster line spot and nothing looks like a slower yawn game than this one, get the backups in early, won't have any impact on the conf standings or any other standings type game .. would play for a decent amount but FAN has me on a bit of a leash so smaller it is ..  good luck!

WEST VIRGINIA +2.5

Still chasing that elusive bowl game and at home off a big loss to baylor feels like the spot to find it .. most importantly WV hasn't quit on itself and they should give a best effort here vs a UCF D that is not only in bad shape but many 2-deep backups have hit the portal and the coordinator has been fired, etc .. .. UCF is not dead yet but it doesn't feel like this is their best spot either they've cycled thru a few QB's and might actually have found a good one and the offense should be not bad .. that side also had a chance w HC giving up playcalling duties .. UCF surprisingly hasn't quit yet but I don't see this as a great spot for them .. The situation we hope for is to land this one and play it back at UCF for their finale vs UTAH in DA BOUNZE HOOOUZE which could be a big fun home win for them a week from this one .. but yeah don't think they should be layin pts on the road in what at best feels like a big back/forth shootout vs a motivated team lookin to lock up a bowl .. I could also see just kindof a dud performance outta the Knights too .. 

good luck!

BRIDGE PLAY

NEBRASKA +1.5

Hit this spread and ML -102 for just enough I can call it a BP but again I'm limited at FAN so smaller side BP and will probably pad my bet further if possible .. We took Wisco +14 feeling they'd throw their best punch of the season and it sure felt like it .. start of H2 with a quick stop and best drive of the season just punishing Oregon's D right down the field only to be stopped short of a TD and settled for 3 totally put OREGON on the ropes and if Bucky had anything left on offense late in that game they'd have won it .. alas multiple late drives produced ZILCH for them except a few more guys had to leave with injuries .. very VERY physical game and I think that weights these guys down this week going on the road to Lincoln .. Nebraska is another team that played real tough last week @USC and seemingly got their QB back .. no quit in them and going for their bowl game at home .. this is MUST WIN territory because next week @IOWA will be a much tougher ask than lockin up the bowl this week .

Just seeing Dylan Raiola come back from injury and play really well is a signals that this team will rally and unlike so many other QB's who are probably thinking about their portal prospects right now, Raiola's connection to the school and family legacy, etc is something worth relying on that should keep this team playing hard down the stretch .. on the flip side Wisco with injuries PILING up now and the offense is just so putrid that if the D isin't quite right in this game I could see Neb win easy .. Rarely say it but getting points in this big home spot?... yeah .. GO HUSKERS!!

SMALLER

SOUTH BAMA -21.5

So Miss has been such an EPIC fade this year they've basically been on the mat since week 2 after their FCS win and never got up again .. we spotted this team as a total disaster early and there's only one way to play this one .. So Bama at 5 wins obvi lookin to make a bowl game but overriding that is they have a shot at the division still .. not in the driver seat but the odds are not unsubstantial for them to make it .. yeah I think they put these guys thru the floor once again .. So Miss really is just that bad .. I'd play for more if FD didn't limit me .. fading so miss been easily my most profitable team this year and maybe in all years so yeah if Jags pitch a dud here fine we can live with that .. LET'S GOOOO!!

BRIDGE PLAY

OKLAHOMA +14.5

It really is just win and yer in for Alabama right now and yer on the road in Norman with Auburn lingering on deck .. OU has 5 wins going for a bowl game .. This looked like a very likely shock surprise spot when checking the schedule pre-ssn and while the perception of Oklahoma has changed this spot actually does remain quite strong .. OU does have a few guys to play defense and has gotten somewhat healthier on offense and just BAMA IN NORMAN alone is enough to wake some of those guys out of their comas and jump out their hospital beds .. its SUCH a massive game I can't see it being a dud of any kind very much like what we just did w Wisco albeit not the nasty ugly lead in for bama true .. but again they just need to survive an advance and Deboer has not done a great job covering the bigger spreads .. think this one he won't get close to .. Gotta call it a BP even if FD doesn't let me MAX it how I want to I hit it 14 at DK also .. wager amount is still on the smaller side for now but I'll be hunting for 14 or better all morning .. good luck!

SMALLER

BOSTON COLLEGE +2.5

Supposed to get murdered last game w BIG PAUL CASTALLANOS whacked from the team .. alas they do have a QB who can step in that isin't terrible and a team that's still playing hard .. UNC is off a bowl clinching win up the tobacco road at wake last week and now a real road game in a pretty obvious down spot if not maybe a legit dead spot for the HEELS .. this isint a rivalry and here they are on the road 11am game in boston cold n maybe a bit windy maybe.. I could def see the home team show up to clinch their bowl and UNC kinda rationalize sleeping in on this one with their BIIIIG RIVAL NC State on deck .. Gotta keep it smaller as I don't know the status of the BC roster and def a team that could be falling apart late ssn .. but new QB Grayson James played pretty well to date in limited action and just a spot where if the team shows up they can absolutely will their way to a win here .. very huuuge diff in quality of these teams from one that shows up and one that doesn't so its a game to throw out power ratings and the angles and such and just ask who showing up I think .. GO EAGLES!

BRIDGE PLAY

INDIANA +11

Will it shoot to 14.5?... Will it dip to 7??? .. idk honestly I've been hitting this look ahead line at FD for a few weeks now think we got it 13.5, 10.5 and DK has it for 11 this AM so I got wayyy more than enuff to call it a BP and yeah for the record let's call it that at the +11 spot .. 

We spotted this INDY team up early in the pre-ssn and big RSW play on the over 5.5 .. I recall all of you thinking I'd truly gone mad but what we knew is GENERAL PATTON .. I mean Curt Cignetti wasn't F'in around and soon we'd all find out .. in fairness I didn't predict anything like the ssn they'd have of course but we knew they could put a big fun one together after a couple weeks with strong depth of experienced players and a team that plays at all 3 levels .. very strong special teams is so often the diff .. I think we see a great performance one they've been gearing toward knowing this spot was coming and we'll see .. takin our dudes .. OSU with a hate filled revenge spot in THE GAME for week 14 and appears to have Oregon rematch locked in as potential CCG opponent .. and now we got Cignetti sitting in what is very often a Terrible spot for the buckeyes every year .. thats basically why we took NU last week and we saw OSU get knocked down by them very early .. but for NU making some LEVEL-10000 BONEHEAD plays this woulda been maybe a 7-10 point game .. alas we ultimately did have to sweat out a cover .. but yeah we can maybe still rely on OSU as a program and Ryan Day as a HC (and maybe as a Man too lol) absolutely needing 3 big wins in a row and entirely possible CIGGY shows up with a game plan he's not totally ready for .. 

We hit Indy 80-1 conf and posted that back in week 4 and I subsequently grabbed them again at 50-1 .. so we have quite a MASSIVE incentive to hedge that OSU wins this game .. I certainly will hoping the line dips and we get better ML odds and I think the line will def dip here maybe not by the sharpies but the masses have proven effective in moving lines around .. think we see that here and maybe see it back under 10 late in the week maybe sooner than that .. either way if yer tailin on the MASSIVE CONF odds yeah we gotta get something for taking the risk on Indy should OSU do what's expected of them this week .. - GOOD LUCK!

BRIDGE PLAY

MINNESOTA +13.5

I hit this 14.5 last night when it came out at FD and very quickly folks quickly thought better and moved it down .. still too high it feels like the decision vector for where this should be is like 9.5 to 10.5 and frankly with a clearly down motivation and easy blowout wins recently I'd think this could adjust to like 8 or 8.5 before I'd call it a no play even for fun bucks

This is such a massive game for Minny once again and PSU just sitting there sulking out of the driver seat right now .. hard to find the motivation for Nitneys to do anything but show up and get a win here they need OSU to lose 2 to make the champ game which looks really unlikely but simply a win would do the job to jump OSU if buckeyes lose all control and tank their final two .. PSU might want a big win for their playoff resume but it only effects the seeding at this point and would need a reallly big win to have a chance to change that I'd imagine .. 7 pt win on the road vs decently scrappy minny team is as good as a 14 pt win or more .. maybe revenge in mind for the big loss they had back in '19 lol .. But that said this is such a big home spot for Minny and maybe easy Purdue and Wash win keeping this line higher than it should be .. think 9 ..