BRIDGE PLAYS WEEK 16

BRIDGE PLAYS 

84-69 55%

2-4 .. UCLA with the last second burn this week... 

WYOMING +9.5 
G.SOUTHERN +9.5 
UNLV TT UNDER 19.5 
LSU TT UNDER 22 
UCLA+3.5 
COASTAL -12.5 

@Bridge1

 Definitely know the feeling. On the bright side, your win total doubled mine from yesterday! Outstanding season record you have going and look forward to your thoughts for this Saturday. BOL my friend!

BRIDGE PLAYS

Pretty much in order of like... don't think I'll be picking too much outside the champ games ...  Good luck!

1. NORTHWESTERN +20.5
2. IOWA STATE +6
3. COASTAL / ULL UNDER 55
4. TULSA +16
5. BAMA -15

@KeyLimeCapper

 Thx brother! last real week here let's finish up this year with a good week huh?!! 

BRIDGE PLAYS - BOWLS 

Guess I'm stepping into bowl season too here in this thread ... Important to make the distinction on Bowl plays since these are insanely difficult to handicap and I'll probably end up posting some of these which I wouldn't normally reg ssn just for smaller bucks ... whole risk profile is just different, for instance by my count we could have eek'd out a profit just playing ML dogs in most years and obvi that's not normally the case... also just a huge number of games turn into blowouts one way or another .. not many close ones .. not saying that trend continues but you get the idea even bookies have trouble lining these games in normal years and trying to handicap can be a frustrating mess not worth perusing .. anyway... tailers beware .. 

1. BYU -3.5 

All that said above, Coogs feel like maybe one of the teams we can count on showing up and playing hard in the 'non-mattering much' class of bowl games... even with the absolutely demoralizing loss to Coastal that booted them from the NY6 there's no reason to think these guys flame out for the bowl, if they were gunna flame out then think they'd have done that last week vs a pretty tough SDSU team, woulda been very easy to pack it in .. lotta Coogs coulda gone pro last year but came back and have an opponent worth showing up for / season worth closing out right .. just no way do they pull a no show .. flip side I think UCF might be top of my list of teams with disappointing season syndrome... NFL dropouts... other opt outs.. I'd like BYU at -3 and little worried obvi after the Cincy -3 fiasco (FU Fickle) .. I have no news on UCF or BYU but just going with expectations here and playing now since odds at -105 and feel like the line might go up before kickoff... 

Couple others looking at ..  

FAU +10 - maybe wait and see if dog line goes up a little bit .. Memphis obvi better team but numerous teams proved they can play a little defense vs them and FAU should be able to do that... 10+++ maybe just laying too many .. wondering what the total might be here also .. think maybe we can go under on mid / high 50's?... 

Nevada / Tulane .. Think this total gets way up there, Nevada passing should be a strong advantage vs Tulane secondary and if Wave shows up they should be able to score also .. think maybe we can go over 58 or better?.. 

Houston -10 .. will wait to see whose showing up but if Hawaii can't run the ball on this team then it gets messy .. Wyoming, SJSU, SDSU able to stop Cordiero from running around and all 10 point wins .. Houston shouldn't get rolled on and just question more about the temperature in the houston locker room .. (as usual).. 

Take all those hours of hardwork to the pay window my friend! 

RIP sun belt championship.. coviet union wins again... 

Notes on the games today .. 

UAB @ Marsh .. I like Herd here and think real line prob closer to a TD.. recent rice game pushing down on this a little.. still 4.5 or 5.5 or wherever is just not real sexy the way these teams play especially with max efforts coming on both sides and both rosters (appear) healthy...   def count on either coach just murdering the clock with any kinda H2 lead .. not sure how Marsh can put up their TT of 24 and we then expect UAB to win this one so UAB wins and feels like almost assured under 44, maybe parlay ML/Under if looking for some value on UAB... Would also note..  UAB's ST is real solid near automatic FG guy, strong punter and Punt returner.. make sure Marshall punter is in (out vs rice) .. backup hit 33 yds punts 8 yds less than starter .. eek .. depth chart says he's in, don't see him on injury reports but cant just overlook losing 8 yds per punt of FP in this game .. Note too if yer just looking at RICE as common oppp matchup .. Marsh -4 in TO's (5 total!)... (UAB +1.. only TO of game)... clearly Herd w worst offensive game, still did well on D though only giving up ~200 yds .. TO's handing Rice points there prob should be zero w out TOs huh? .. was a close one vs UAB .. also maybe look in game if UAB is unable to grind it out on the ground then it might be check mate for them, I don't think Johnson (back from inj) or Lucero do much of anything in the air this game.. G.Wells more likely to find success (duh) .. if UAB not able to run then game goes similar to Marsh/Appy .. 17-7 or better ... would jump quick before in-game line jumps to a TD and kills the value ..  also look at H2 under if we get a few shock points in H1 especially outta UAB I don't think it'll continue .. 

Good luck!