I really like this spot for Washington. Here are the main factors behind taking Washington -17.
1) You have a classic "fade the popular underdog" scenario. The public has piled onto BYU, between 75-80% of the wagers are coming in on BYU. Backing home favorites where the public is on the road underdog has been a profitable scenario for me.
2) There is reverse line movement -- and it's through a "key number." The line opened at Wash -16.5 and depsite BYU getting 75-80% of the wagers, the line moved to -17 and has just recently moved to -17.5 at certain books.
Washington has quietly gotten off to a 3-1 start, only losing a close one in their season opener. The public just saw BYU make some history by upsetting Wisconsin in Wisconsin as 23.5 underdogs. The public is overreacting here, expecting BYU to hang in there with Washington. Looking for Browning to have a big game... and for BYU to really struggle to throw the ball at all.
Washington should roll in this one -- take Wash -17 as my play for the day!
0
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
I really like this spot for Washington. Here are the main factors behind taking Washington -17.
1) You have a classic "fade the popular underdog" scenario. The public has piled onto BYU, between 75-80% of the wagers are coming in on BYU. Backing home favorites where the public is on the road underdog has been a profitable scenario for me.
2) There is reverse line movement -- and it's through a "key number." The line opened at Wash -16.5 and depsite BYU getting 75-80% of the wagers, the line moved to -17 and has just recently moved to -17.5 at certain books.
Washington has quietly gotten off to a 3-1 start, only losing a close one in their season opener. The public just saw BYU make some history by upsetting Wisconsin in Wisconsin as 23.5 underdogs. The public is overreacting here, expecting BYU to hang in there with Washington. Looking for Browning to have a big game... and for BYU to really struggle to throw the ball at all.
Washington should roll in this one -- take Wash -17 as my play for the day!
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on
this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide
any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in
your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner
of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.
Hot Forum Topics
