CFB YTD 14-15 -1.7 units
2* 1-0 +2.0 units
1* 13-15 -3.7 units
I love the lesser bowls as there is often great value with big differences in motivations because of transfer portal, coach firings, etc. Fist one here:
Tuesday December 17:
1* Memphis -3
West Virginia fired its coach and there are reports of lots of portal departures. They're going to phone this one in after a disappointing 6-6 season. Memphis, on the other hand, has stability and is coming off a 10-2 SU season and has a big time offense. Huge QB edge for Memphis with Henigan who had a 23-6 ratio. Memphis is 3-0 SU and ATS in bowl games since Silverfield became coach. Line has already moved several points for all the reasons already stated but in this case I believe the line movement has been correct.
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