CFB YTD 18-15 +6.3 units
4* GOY 1-0 +4.0 units
2* 2-0 +4.0 units
1* 15-15 -1.7 units
Bowls 4-0 +8.0 units
I improved to 4-0 in the bowls with a 2* win on UConn Saturday and am +8.0 units in bowls. Three on Monday and Tuesday, all at lines posted originally in last week's thread. Again, I feel strongly the non-playoff bowl games are very beatable with some really weak lines.
Monday:
1* Iowa +3
While Iowa QB McNamara entered the portal, he wasn't that good and the strength of Iowa is its offensive line. Missouri drew a rather soft SEC slate and got pummeled when they faced Alabama. Iowa is a veteran teams whose players remember their drubbing in last year's bowl game. The offense is better this year and they are catching points against a somewhat overrated team.
Tuesday:
1* Illinois +9 1/2
The line has moved up even more since I posted the play. Illinois held its own in a pretty deep Big 10 this year. South Carolina is a better team but Illinois' defense is pretty good. The line is just too high.
1* Baylor ML -125
In this one the line keeps moving to Baylor and the ML is now closer to-170 from my original post. Baylor is going to win. The Bears were outstanding down the stretch after a slow start. They won their last six SU in the Big 12 and the offense put up a lot of points. Baylor has almost no opt-puts and the QB, who was outstanding down the stretch, is playing. LSU was overrated all year and was only 4-8 ATS. Kelly was able to keep most of the skill players in the bowl game but they lost BOTH starting offensive tackles. This game could be something of a shootout and I'm going with the hot offense
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