It’s been fun this year in CFB. The teams that deserve to be here are here. This game will be much closer than the odds makers set this line at though. Both these teams rank in the top 3 defensively, and they both can score. OSU on offense EPA ( run ) is @ + 0.09 , OSU EPA ( pass ) is @ + 0.29. ND’s pass EPA is @ + 0.10 , their run EPA is @ +0.21. So you see, ND scores most of their pts in the run game and OSU in the passing game. ND’s secondary LB’s are a top 1 to 3 units overall defensively so , OSU’s explosive plays tonight will be few and far between. OSU’s defense is very stout up front ( again top 1 to 3 nationally) so ND’s rushing offense won’t gain as many yards as they have been gaining all season long. But, when you dissect this game, like I have. You find out that ND’s D line grades a lot better that OSU’s O line. OSU’s O line grades @ LT 70.9 , LG 56.4 , C 57.1 , RG 57.2 and RT 64.4. All of ND’s front line grade over a 70.1 rating, that’s going to be the difference here tonight. Al Golden is a genius on the defensive side of the ball, and I don’t use that term lightly or often. My numbers have OSU winning but , by no more than- 5.25625 pts. ND and OSU played last year. The score was 17 / 13. ND is 14 - 0 - 1 in a revenge game. Found this out: Favs in the national title game of 5 pts or more are 5 - 11 ATS since 1999. Also bettors are 4-1 ATS L5 title games when the line went the opposite direction of opening lines. This line opened @ - 9.5 with the majority of bets & money are on OSU ( public both ways ) line went all the way down to- 8. SOS favors OSU but, not by much. OSU is probably around 1st or 2nd nationally. ND is around anywhere from 6th to 9th. ND is also 10-0 ATS L10 games. Vegas is off on this line . I’m on ND 3,750/3,000 ( buy - 125 ) GL as usual.
on your play mah man 
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