Can someone pls explain to me why the O/U for the Aub-Oregon game is at 74, while the O/U for the Wisconsin-TCU game is at 58.5. That makes absolutely no sense to me. I think the Over on the National Championship game is a big sucker-bet. All Oregon does is run the ball....although they do it well it will chew up enough clock against an Auburn defense that is decent at run defense. I have already locked Under 74.5 in for 2 Units....can someone give me reason why im wrong
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Can someone pls explain to me why the O/U for the Aub-Oregon game is at 74, while the O/U for the Wisconsin-TCU game is at 58.5. That makes absolutely no sense to me. I think the Over on the National Championship game is a big sucker-bet. All Oregon does is run the ball....although they do it well it will chew up enough clock against an Auburn defense that is decent at run defense. I have already locked Under 74.5 in for 2 Units....can someone give me reason why im wrong
this is just my opinion, and i assure you 90% of the people here will disagree, and about half of those will call me an idiot...
Wisconsin is not going to have a lot of success on offense in this game... people are being suckered by the late season numbers Wisky put up against shitty teams... they are too vanilla to do all that much against that TCU defense...
not saying the game will go under, but the Badgers will have to be on their A game to hit 30 in that game... much more likely that they settle around 21-27...
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this is just my opinion, and i assure you 90% of the people here will disagree, and about half of those will call me an idiot...
Wisconsin is not going to have a lot of success on offense in this game... people are being suckered by the late season numbers Wisky put up against shitty teams... they are too vanilla to do all that much against that TCU defense...
not saying the game will go under, but the Badgers will have to be on their A game to hit 30 in that game... much more likely that they settle around 21-27...
this is just my opinion, and i assure you 90% of the people here will disagree, and about half of those will call me an idiot...
Wisconsin is not going to have a lot of success on offense in this game... people are being suckered by the late season numbers Wisky put up against shitty teams... they are too vanilla to do all that much against that TCU defense...
not saying the game will go under, but the Badgers will have to be on their A game to hit 30 in that game... much more likely that they settle around 21-27...
27-3 win, or 21-3 win
I like it
Also, it's Wisconsin, no one calls it Wisky
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Quote Originally Posted by ApocalypseLater:
this is just my opinion, and i assure you 90% of the people here will disagree, and about half of those will call me an idiot...
Wisconsin is not going to have a lot of success on offense in this game... people are being suckered by the late season numbers Wisky put up against shitty teams... they are too vanilla to do all that much against that TCU defense...
not saying the game will go under, but the Badgers will have to be on their A game to hit 30 in that game... much more likely that they settle around 21-27...
Really? thats a pretty bold assertion with the way Wisconsin played towards the end of the season but i can respect it. The line has moved from 56.5 to 58.5. so one can see that alot of people like the over. I think you are right that TCU defense is alot tougher than those Wisc. faced towards the end of the season. But the way they played...i cant see them not putting up at least 20pts. Wisc. offense is a totally diff dynamic from what TCU is used to. On other things...any opinion on the 74pt line in the national championship game? that to me is just too ridiculous
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Really? thats a pretty bold assertion with the way Wisconsin played towards the end of the season but i can respect it. The line has moved from 56.5 to 58.5. so one can see that alot of people like the over. I think you are right that TCU defense is alot tougher than those Wisc. faced towards the end of the season. But the way they played...i cant see them not putting up at least 20pts. Wisc. offense is a totally diff dynamic from what TCU is used to. On other things...any opinion on the 74pt line in the national championship game? that to me is just too ridiculous
aallen... just giving my opinion on why this total is where it is... obviously i don't think either team is winning this game 21-3 or 27-3, like rs12321 suggested... but i think the strength of both teams lies on the defensive side of the ball...
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aallen... just giving my opinion on why this total is where it is... obviously i don't think either team is winning this game 21-3 or 27-3, like rs12321 suggested... but i think the strength of both teams lies on the defensive side of the ball...
aallen... just giving my opinion on why this total is where it is... obviously i don't think either team is winning this game 21-3 or 27-3, like rs12321 suggested... but i think the strength of both teams lies on the defensive side of the ball...
I was kidding...
This game is going way over
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Quote Originally Posted by ApocalypseLater:
aallen... just giving my opinion on why this total is where it is... obviously i don't think either team is winning this game 21-3 or 27-3, like rs12321 suggested... but i think the strength of both teams lies on the defensive side of the ball...
The number appears high to me, and they see it as the highest scoring game of all the bowls. Then again, many times when a number appears "too high," the game seems to sail over it with ease.
It is a typical line setting paradox: The linesmakers fear a rush of over bettors will make the action lopsided, so they put the number higher than normal. Yet they risk acually setting people up for an easier time to cashing their ticket, if the under comes in. Very few games percentage-wise are played in the 80s.
Therefore, a teaser of 6-7 points with the under 80 to Oregon (+10 or +11)--seeing as how you like Oregon's rushing game...looks like another option.
Then again, you stated that you already bet, so what is the point now? To make you feel good (comfortable) or bad (remorseful) about the wager?
It's done now, so good luck
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The number appears high to me, and they see it as the highest scoring game of all the bowls. Then again, many times when a number appears "too high," the game seems to sail over it with ease.
It is a typical line setting paradox: The linesmakers fear a rush of over bettors will make the action lopsided, so they put the number higher than normal. Yet they risk acually setting people up for an easier time to cashing their ticket, if the under comes in. Very few games percentage-wise are played in the 80s.
Therefore, a teaser of 6-7 points with the under 80 to Oregon (+10 or +11)--seeing as how you like Oregon's rushing game...looks like another option.
Then again, you stated that you already bet, so what is the point now? To make you feel good (comfortable) or bad (remorseful) about the wager?
yeah Quantum_Leap....ur absoultely right its done and i feel comfortable with the wager so there is nothing else that can be done. Thanks for your input though..and goodlluck with your bowl game bets too
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yeah Quantum_Leap....ur absoultely right its done and i feel comfortable with the wager so there is nothing else that can be done. Thanks for your input though..and goodlluck with your bowl game bets too
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