1-0 in bowls so far with UNLV my only pick. I'm not as big a fan of betting on bowls any more with all the transfer BS.
Ohio -5.5 3 units
Also, I would say you have to be wary not to overreact to opt out reports. Last year all of Ohio's best players including the QB opted out and they still won, scoring 41 points.
This year they have everyone playing, so they should play even better.
Jax St has impressed me with their offense and I like Tyler Huff and Tre Stewart a lot. But, he has never played in a bowl. Jax St first FBS level bowl was last year (Huff wasn't there) and they won in OT.
I don't think this newly promoted team is gonna win their first 2 bowls, especially now playing a team that, despite playing in the MAC, has a nice bowl bowl pedigree AND, most importantly, a much, much better run defense than any team the Cocks would have faced in C USA. Even Sam houston who had the best rush d in the conf was not as good and most of their opponents are nowhere near Ohio in rush defense - and Jax St running is their bread and butter.
This is a bad matchup for them in that regard, this defense is nothing like WKY who the Cocks faced the last 2 times. Not only that but in terms of opt outs 2 of their top tacklers might be out.
Some teams go decades before winning a bowl, if a team that is sort of one dimensional is gonna win 2 in a row first 2 tries, vs a team that stuffs what they do best and has been outscoring teams by a wide margin lately, including beating an Eastern Michigan team easily that Jax St lost to, and a Miami Ohio team that had a much better defense, I'll be sort of surprised.
I always like to fade teams that are one dimensional in bowls anyway. Balanced teams tend to fare better, as running teams find it tough to make comebacks and pass heavy teams find it tough to work the clock and finish games off.
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