All of these teams are the running dogs this week, along with Kansas St. But I'm waiting for a possible +3 with the Cats. I have a lean on LSU +17.5. UGA will finally be playing a decent defense. But I don't really like it when the only "edge" I have is the number is too high. Still looking at a few totals.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Last Week: 9-5
Season: 87-76
Akron +12
Utah +3
UCF +3.5
All of these teams are the running dogs this week, along with Kansas St. But I'm waiting for a possible +3 with the Cats. I have a lean on LSU +17.5. UGA will finally be playing a decent defense. But I don't really like it when the only "edge" I have is the number is too high. Still looking at a few totals.
Doc you got them K-State conference futures at 50-1 right?.. thought you said you did ... So glad we talked about them real early when we did because those odds squashed down to like 14 pretty quick, I prob passed at that point.. nothing but thanks for your early B12 posts bud .. I'm def gettin something out of it, hit TCU right away like -130ish figure the money would hit them pretty hard and bump those odds up .. but def leavin plenty on for a potential WILDCAT WINFALL .. Man o man what a ride haha thanks again and GO CATS!!! ..
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@DrStrangelove
Doc you got them K-State conference futures at 50-1 right?.. thought you said you did ... So glad we talked about them real early when we did because those odds squashed down to like 14 pretty quick, I prob passed at that point.. nothing but thanks for your early B12 posts bud .. I'm def gettin something out of it, hit TCU right away like -130ish figure the money would hit them pretty hard and bump those odds up .. but def leavin plenty on for a potential WILDCAT WINFALL .. Man o man what a ride haha thanks again and GO CATS!!! ..
@DrStrangelove Doc you got them K-State conference futures at 50-1 right?.. thought you said you did ... So glad we talked about them real early when we did because those odds squashed down to like 14 pretty quick, I prob passed at that point.. nothing but thanks for your early B12 posts bud .. I'm def gettin something out of it, hit TCU right away like -130ish figure the money would hit them pretty hard and bump those odds up .. but def leavin plenty on for a potential WILDCAT WINFALL .. Man o man what a ride haha thanks again and GO CATS!!! ..
Yep, we talked about this in the preseason. I've got KSU to win the Big 12. I'm not sure what odds I got them at. I know I got them early. I'll have to go back and look. But I think it was around 40-1 when I got them. I'll be hedging a little with TCU. But I would like to be able to post KSU +3 in my thread if possible. I had a good season with the Big 12 team win totals. I won on Kansas over 2.5. That was by far the quickest win I've ever had. OU under 9.5 was also an easy one. And had the KSU and TCU overs. I think TCU was just 6.5 or 7...Ha! The only one I missed on was the Iowa St over. I was dead wrong on them. It's just too bad they didn't have a good offense to go along with their great defense. It was pretty obvious last week with their bowl hopes gone that they were dead in the water against TCU. Campbell should have taken one of those Big 10 jobs a few years ago when they came open. Now he's dead man walking and stuck with the Clones.
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Quote Originally Posted by Bridge1:
@DrStrangelove Doc you got them K-State conference futures at 50-1 right?.. thought you said you did ... So glad we talked about them real early when we did because those odds squashed down to like 14 pretty quick, I prob passed at that point.. nothing but thanks for your early B12 posts bud .. I'm def gettin something out of it, hit TCU right away like -130ish figure the money would hit them pretty hard and bump those odds up .. but def leavin plenty on for a potential WILDCAT WINFALL .. Man o man what a ride haha thanks again and GO CATS!!! ..
Yep, we talked about this in the preseason. I've got KSU to win the Big 12. I'm not sure what odds I got them at. I know I got them early. I'll have to go back and look. But I think it was around 40-1 when I got them. I'll be hedging a little with TCU. But I would like to be able to post KSU +3 in my thread if possible. I had a good season with the Big 12 team win totals. I won on Kansas over 2.5. That was by far the quickest win I've ever had. OU under 9.5 was also an easy one. And had the KSU and TCU overs. I think TCU was just 6.5 or 7...Ha! The only one I missed on was the Iowa St over. I was dead wrong on them. It's just too bad they didn't have a good offense to go along with their great defense. It was pretty obvious last week with their bowl hopes gone that they were dead in the water against TCU. Campbell should have taken one of those Big 10 jobs a few years ago when they came open. Now he's dead man walking and stuck with the Clones.
Yeah IA State woof .. gotta look into them that nix's campbell off some serious big time boards .. but he knew that risk I guess .. and man at least we kinda know the problem there so it won't be tooooo tough to spot if we see them make some serious changes .. didn't see enough of them this year to know all the problems I suspect you put a good coordinator and grab some offensive pieces to put around Dekkars you might have a pretty capable team .. defense's production got throttled and they were the best in the league so can certainly count on them going forward .. not super difficult to effect a big turnaround if I assume Heacock sticks around ..
Yeah I don't hate K-State +3 either hoping we get it to 3.5 .. nice job on the RSW's, talk about a year of mostly regressing or progressing .. bread n butter for me was hittin low numbers to go over .. luckily only took one low one to go under (Colorado) .. but Kansas, Vandy, GT, UNLV all got there fairly quick .. glad I stayed away from Duke only one direction I was gunna go w that one lol .. lotta big numbers hit under too Clem / Wisco were two I picked on .. loved that Clem/S.Car game lol .. but besides USC, Michigan or UGA think almost all of the big name big RSW totals were in trouble in just about every conferences .. anything touching 9+ was pretty much DOA I think .. sign of the times .. good luck this weekend bud!
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@DrStrangelove
Yeah IA State woof .. gotta look into them that nix's campbell off some serious big time boards .. but he knew that risk I guess .. and man at least we kinda know the problem there so it won't be tooooo tough to spot if we see them make some serious changes .. didn't see enough of them this year to know all the problems I suspect you put a good coordinator and grab some offensive pieces to put around Dekkars you might have a pretty capable team .. defense's production got throttled and they were the best in the league so can certainly count on them going forward .. not super difficult to effect a big turnaround if I assume Heacock sticks around ..
Yeah I don't hate K-State +3 either hoping we get it to 3.5 .. nice job on the RSW's, talk about a year of mostly regressing or progressing .. bread n butter for me was hittin low numbers to go over .. luckily only took one low one to go under (Colorado) .. but Kansas, Vandy, GT, UNLV all got there fairly quick .. glad I stayed away from Duke only one direction I was gunna go w that one lol .. lotta big numbers hit under too Clem / Wisco were two I picked on .. loved that Clem/S.Car game lol .. but besides USC, Michigan or UGA think almost all of the big name big RSW totals were in trouble in just about every conferences .. anything touching 9+ was pretty much DOA I think .. sign of the times .. good luck this weekend bud!
Yeah, the totals have killed me this season, especially since I'm more of an unders player and the overs have hit at an ungodly rate.. Analytics have hurt me a few times this season. So I'm going to have to adjust going forward, or else stick with the Big 10 sloggers...lol. I've heard rumors that Matt Campbell might be on the short list for Luke Fickell's job. Which I guess would be a slight move up. But since Cincy is moving to the Big 12 next year, he'll still be stuck in the same conference, except without the two big dogs ruling the roost.
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@Bridge1
Yeah, the totals have killed me this season, especially since I'm more of an unders player and the overs have hit at an ungodly rate.. Analytics have hurt me a few times this season. So I'm going to have to adjust going forward, or else stick with the Big 10 sloggers...lol. I've heard rumors that Matt Campbell might be on the short list for Luke Fickell's job. Which I guess would be a slight move up. But since Cincy is moving to the Big 12 next year, he'll still be stuck in the same conference, except without the two big dogs ruling the roost.
@DrStrangelove I like your picks doc. If k-state wins and Utah. Do you think this will put Ohio at and bama in the playoff ?
More than likely it will. I've heard the argument that if TCU loses they are in regardless. I don't really buy that argument. They have a pretty weak strength of schedule, and everybody they beat has at least 3 losses. Plus we all know that the CFP loves Bama. It's going to be an interesting dilemma, especially if TCU loses a very tight game. I have a feeling that either USC or TCU will lose, but not both. My numbers are very tight with TCU/KSU with KSU barely being the running dog, but with a better defense. Same goes for Utah, except USC has the better and more explosive offense. If the Trojans win, the difference in that game could be USC's unbelievable turnover margin of +23. That's about 10 turnovers better than anybody in the country. But randomness plays a huge role in turnovers, and you have to wonder how long they can average 2 more takeaways than their opponents. Last time these two teams played each other Utah had just one turnover. And that happened when they were driving in for a score. If the Utes hadn't had that turnover, they wouldn't have needed the 2 point conversion to beat USC....Just saying. But every game plays out different. Absolutely nothing would surprise me with either game...Good luck!
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Quote Originally Posted by Joeyclerk18:
@DrStrangelove I like your picks doc. If k-state wins and Utah. Do you think this will put Ohio at and bama in the playoff ?
More than likely it will. I've heard the argument that if TCU loses they are in regardless. I don't really buy that argument. They have a pretty weak strength of schedule, and everybody they beat has at least 3 losses. Plus we all know that the CFP loves Bama. It's going to be an interesting dilemma, especially if TCU loses a very tight game. I have a feeling that either USC or TCU will lose, but not both. My numbers are very tight with TCU/KSU with KSU barely being the running dog, but with a better defense. Same goes for Utah, except USC has the better and more explosive offense. If the Trojans win, the difference in that game could be USC's unbelievable turnover margin of +23. That's about 10 turnovers better than anybody in the country. But randomness plays a huge role in turnovers, and you have to wonder how long they can average 2 more takeaways than their opponents. Last time these two teams played each other Utah had just one turnover. And that happened when they were driving in for a score. If the Utes hadn't had that turnover, they wouldn't have needed the 2 point conversion to beat USC....Just saying. But every game plays out different. Absolutely nothing would surprise me with either game...Good luck!
TCU/KSU under 61.5 (This one will be intense. All 5 Big 12 CG's have gone under)
Purdue/Michigan over 52
I would have posted KSU at +3 or more since they are one of my running dogs, but it never happened. But for the record, in the summer I bet KSU at 37-1 odds to win the Big 12 so I hedged a little with TCU today even though I think the Cats have a great chance to upset them.
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Akron +12
Utah +3
UCF +3.5
ML Parlay: Troy/Clemson (-124)
TCU/KSU under 61.5 (This one will be intense. All 5 Big 12 CG's have gone under)
Purdue/Michigan over 52
I would have posted KSU at +3 or more since they are one of my running dogs, but it never happened. But for the record, in the summer I bet KSU at 37-1 odds to win the Big 12 so I hedged a little with TCU today even though I think the Cats have a great chance to upset them.
I cashed my 37-1 KSU ticket to win the Big 12, so I'm going to spend a little of it tonight. I found a leftover lean in the garbage heap on Purdue +8.5 1H and going to make it an official play. I can see a little of a slow start for Michigan barring Purdue turnovers, and then the Wolves lighting it up in the 2nd half.
Purdue +8.5 1H
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I cashed my 37-1 KSU ticket to win the Big 12, so I'm going to spend a little of it tonight. I found a leftover lean in the garbage heap on Purdue +8.5 1H and going to make it an official play. I can see a little of a slow start for Michigan barring Purdue turnovers, and then the Wolves lighting it up in the 2nd half.
6-1 for the week and 93-77 for the regular season. The running dogs went 3-1 today. It's been a good last month. I'll be back for the bowl games. Good luck fellas!
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6-1 for the week and 93-77 for the regular season. The running dogs went 3-1 today. It's been a good last month. I'll be back for the bowl games. Good luck fellas!
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