Expect Tenny-Florida line to come back down

Question

I wrote about the revenge factor in my Four-play column today but I wanted to expand on the Tennessee-Florida game because spreads like this are so rare in the SEC.

Jay Kornegay, executive director of the Race and Sportsbook at the Las Vegas Hilton, couldn’t remember a spread off-hand that was this big recently in the conference. (As of Friday night, it was at 29.5 at Pinnacle.)

“The last time an SEC team laid more than four TDs that I found was all involving Miss State,” Kornegay said. “In 2006 Miss St was +33 at LSU (LSU 48-17), 2005 Miss State was +28 at Florida (FLA 35-9), and 2004 Miss State was like +31 at LSU (LSU 51-0).”

The record of 2-1 ATS doesn’t exactly suggest a lock here Saturday, but you get the point. This spread has gotten large.

Kornegay said the Hilton initially had Saturday’s game at 23 points and it’s been bet up to as high as 30 points at some places. However, he also said he guessed that bettors were intentionally pushing the line up to bet Tennessee when the line got high enough.

Looks like he’s right. The line is on the way back down again after reaching 30 at most books, so my advice is that if you like the Vols take ‘em early.

Jon_Campbell · Answer

I wrote about the revenge factor in my Four-play column today but I wanted to expand on the Tennessee-Florida game because spreads like this are so rare in the SEC.

Jay Kornegay, executive director of the Race and Sportsbook at the Las Vegas Hilton, couldn’t remember a spread off-hand that was this big recently in the conference. (As of Friday night, it was at 29.5 at Pinnacle.)

“The last time an SEC team laid more than four TDs that I found was all involving Miss State,” Kornegay said. “In 2006 Miss St was +33 at LSU (LSU 48-17), 2005 Miss State was +28 at Florida (FLA 35-9), and 2004 Miss State was like +31 at LSU (LSU 51-0).”

The record of 2-1 ATS doesn’t exactly suggest a lock here Saturday, but you get the point. This spread has gotten large.

Kornegay said the Hilton initially had Saturday’s game at 23 points and it’s been bet up to as high as 30 points at some places. However, he also said he guessed that bettors were intentionally pushing the line up to bet Tennessee when the line got high enough.

Looks like he’s right. The line is on the way back down again after reaching 30 at most books, so my advice is that if you like the Vols take ‘em early.

TimTowner · Answer

Yeah, that line is insane but Tennessee doesn&#x27;t have much on its side in this game.

The_BigDog · Answer

It is a ton of chalk to lay.. but if it gets to -27.5&#xD;&#xA;I am going to have to make a fool out of myself. I won&#x27;t bet the farm, but the south 40 is probably going to be in play.

AceofKings · Answer

crazy spread but I expect the gators to cover

Expect Tenny-Florida line to come back down

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