No. Plays are ON those teams. Just getting out ahead of line movement.
On the A&M play the off shores opened below 20 and they quickly moved in A&M's direction. On Top 10 teams, according to the system, there is a greater than 60% chance the top 10 will cover in that situation. Add to the fact that there is no way Mizzou will be able to stop Manziel, who is now playing for a Heisman, and this could get ugly real fast. My only concern is a backdoor cover from Mizzou on that line, but I don't expect Sumlin to completely shut it down like he did against Sam Houston St. This line could be 24 by kickoff, just trying to get the best numbers I can.
The UNC play is a fade on the Terps. There is no way to run an accurate system projection right now on Maryland because all the offensive stats are shot because they are on their 4th QB of the season, and the defensive stats are shot because so many of their starters are injured. UNC has been clicking on offense the last couple weeks, and they are at home. I'm not crazy about the number, that's why it's only a 2u play, but it's not gonna get any better so I'll just take it now.
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No. Plays are ON those teams. Just getting out ahead of line movement.
On the A&M play the off shores opened below 20 and they quickly moved in A&M's direction. On Top 10 teams, according to the system, there is a greater than 60% chance the top 10 will cover in that situation. Add to the fact that there is no way Mizzou will be able to stop Manziel, who is now playing for a Heisman, and this could get ugly real fast. My only concern is a backdoor cover from Mizzou on that line, but I don't expect Sumlin to completely shut it down like he did against Sam Houston St. This line could be 24 by kickoff, just trying to get the best numbers I can.
The UNC play is a fade on the Terps. There is no way to run an accurate system projection right now on Maryland because all the offensive stats are shot because they are on their 4th QB of the season, and the defensive stats are shot because so many of their starters are injured. UNC has been clicking on offense the last couple weeks, and they are at home. I'm not crazy about the number, that's why it's only a 2u play, but it's not gonna get any better so I'll just take it now.
I almost fell out of my chair when I saw that line open. This game should be a pick em, give me the points all day.
Florida is playing for an outside chance at the BCS Title Game and FSU is playing for relevance. They couldn't move the ball against VaTech, don't see how it's gonna be any easier against that Gator defense. Think I'll ML the better team here.
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Quote Originally Posted by wtfe:
3u Akron +18.5
Always good to start the week with a win.
Adding another system plays:
4u Florida +8 1u Florida ML +255
I almost fell out of my chair when I saw that line open. This game should be a pick em, give me the points all day.
Florida is playing for an outside chance at the BCS Title Game and FSU is playing for relevance. They couldn't move the ball against VaTech, don't see how it's gonna be any easier against that Gator defense. Think I'll ML the better team here.
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