3-0 on the week so far with these writeups and plays for your review. My play on tonights Iowa State/UCONN play is listed below. Best of Luck tonight to everyone!
New England at Miami
Bill Belichick is not going to be satisfied with anything less than another Super Bowl win this year so he’s definitely not going to let the Dolphins stand in his way of that goal. Nothing short of a convincing win here is going to be good enough for him and Brady. The Patriots flat out owned Miami last year and that story is not going to be any different tonight. I mean New England has beefed up on both sides of the ball this year and even last year they outscored Miami in their 2 meeting 79-21. Welker is healthy, Ocho is eager to contribute, Haynesworth, despite past problems is still a dominating force up front on that defensive line still. Even without a whole lot of receiving help last year, Brady still managed to throw for 36 TD’s against only 4 interceptions and nearly 4,000 yards. Look Out is all I got to say! For the Dolphins, look for Henne to still be inconsistent. I think last year he threw more int’s than TD’s. They do have Marshall wanting to catch the ball if Chad can get it to him. Now that Ricky Williams and Ronnie Brown are gone we have Reggie Bush to look forward to. I like ol’ Reggie but to me, he’s better running outside and Miami is bound and determined to keep trying him running inside. He’s never been an every down back either so if they try to do too much with him during the course of the game then they’ll probably be sorry. I do like the Dolphins on defense as they return most of their starters from last year. But like I said earlier, Belicheck is no dummy and knew his defense needed some attention so now you’ve got, along with Albert, Andre Carter and Shaun Ellis, some pass rushing help. This will be interesting to see them in action tonight as Miami says they are gonna spread the field more and pass more on first down. The Pats also got more help in their backfield with the acquisitions of Stevan Ridley and Shane Vereen to go along with RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis. I think the game stays fairly close early on with maybe a lead change a time or two, but I expect the Pats to pull away late winning by 10 or more.
New England Patriots -7 WINNER
Oakland at Denver
Just as Oakland and HC Hue Jackson, for Denver, this will be John Fox’s HC debut in the regular season for them. Here again, we have another game where one team won both regular season games last year in Oakland. And just as the Patriots did against Miami, the Raiders won easily and rolled by winning one game by 16 and the other by 45. Oakland averaged 26 points per game last year and Fox is not going to have the answers to stopping an opponent like this with that type of momentum in his first game with the Broncos. Kyle Orton doesn’t have a whole lot of offensive weapons to work with either for Denver. I’m sure Fox will be able to help the defensive numbers somewhat but the Broncos did give up an NFL high 471 points last year. Look for Campbell and McFadden to have big games tonight. The Raiders have employed a power blocking scheme on the offensive line and got away from the zone blocking. That is the same scheme McFadden is used to from his college days. The Raiders have a very good running attack behind a good run blocking offensive line so they are going to use this to their advantage tonight. Denver’s run defense is just mediocre at best as is. Last year, the Broncos only accumulated 23 sacks for the season and only had 10 interceptions. HC Jackson for Oakland is pretty good at figuring out ways to put points on the board as last year, he brung up those offensive points from 197 the year before to 410 total points! Oakland still has a mean pass rush too so Orton had better be on his toes in this one. Denver has lost the past three home games to the Raiders and this one may not be any different. If Denver pulls it out then I think it will be a squeaker. I gotta take the points here.
Oakland Raiders +3 WINNER
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
3-0 on the week so far with these writeups and plays for your review. My play on tonights Iowa State/UCONN play is listed below. Best of Luck tonight to everyone!
New England at Miami
Bill Belichick is not going to be satisfied with anything less than another Super Bowl win this year so he’s definitely not going to let the Dolphins stand in his way of that goal. Nothing short of a convincing win here is going to be good enough for him and Brady. The Patriots flat out owned Miami last year and that story is not going to be any different tonight. I mean New England has beefed up on both sides of the ball this year and even last year they outscored Miami in their 2 meeting 79-21. Welker is healthy, Ocho is eager to contribute, Haynesworth, despite past problems is still a dominating force up front on that defensive line still. Even without a whole lot of receiving help last year, Brady still managed to throw for 36 TD’s against only 4 interceptions and nearly 4,000 yards. Look Out is all I got to say! For the Dolphins, look for Henne to still be inconsistent. I think last year he threw more int’s than TD’s. They do have Marshall wanting to catch the ball if Chad can get it to him. Now that Ricky Williams and Ronnie Brown are gone we have Reggie Bush to look forward to. I like ol’ Reggie but to me, he’s better running outside and Miami is bound and determined to keep trying him running inside. He’s never been an every down back either so if they try to do too much with him during the course of the game then they’ll probably be sorry. I do like the Dolphins on defense as they return most of their starters from last year. But like I said earlier, Belicheck is no dummy and knew his defense needed some attention so now you’ve got, along with Albert, Andre Carter and Shaun Ellis, some pass rushing help. This will be interesting to see them in action tonight as Miami says they are gonna spread the field more and pass more on first down. The Pats also got more help in their backfield with the acquisitions of Stevan Ridley and Shane Vereen to go along with RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis. I think the game stays fairly close early on with maybe a lead change a time or two, but I expect the Pats to pull away late winning by 10 or more.
New England Patriots -7 WINNER
Oakland at Denver
Just as Oakland and HC Hue Jackson, for Denver, this will be John Fox’s HC debut in the regular season for them. Here again, we have another game where one team won both regular season games last year in Oakland. And just as the Patriots did against Miami, the Raiders won easily and rolled by winning one game by 16 and the other by 45. Oakland averaged 26 points per game last year and Fox is not going to have the answers to stopping an opponent like this with that type of momentum in his first game with the Broncos. Kyle Orton doesn’t have a whole lot of offensive weapons to work with either for Denver. I’m sure Fox will be able to help the defensive numbers somewhat but the Broncos did give up an NFL high 471 points last year. Look for Campbell and McFadden to have big games tonight. The Raiders have employed a power blocking scheme on the offensive line and got away from the zone blocking. That is the same scheme McFadden is used to from his college days. The Raiders have a very good running attack behind a good run blocking offensive line so they are going to use this to their advantage tonight. Denver’s run defense is just mediocre at best as is. Last year, the Broncos only accumulated 23 sacks for the season and only had 10 interceptions. HC Jackson for Oakland is pretty good at figuring out ways to put points on the board as last year, he brung up those offensive points from 197 the year before to 410 total points! Oakland still has a mean pass rush too so Orton had better be on his toes in this one. Denver has lost the past three home games to the Raiders and this one may not be any different. If Denver pulls it out then I think it will be a squeaker. I gotta take the points here.
Coming in this week so far on a 2-0 run with my NFL wins Monday night taking the Patriots -7 and also taking Oakland +3. So let’s try and find us another winner. Here we go, a battle of two Ranked SEC teams! Just hearing that makes me want to play the "UNDER" right away lol. Lets break it down a little and try to find us a side to play first of all. For LSU, their named starting QB, Jordan Jefferson is still out for his role in that fight he was involved in. Plus their top notch receiver in Russell Shepard is still out too. For Mississippi State, they’ll either be without C Quentin Salusberry and LT James Cameron on their offensive line or they wont be 100% if they do play after being injured in the game against Auburn.
MSU will have a tough task in getting their running game going which will be key for them to do if they want to have a chance in winning here. Ballard is a stud RB but LSU’s rushing defense has been stingy only giving up 91 total rushing yards out of both games they’ve played so far. But, the Bulldogs do have the SEC’s leading rushing offense so we’ll have to see how the Tigers plan on slowing these big boys down. Is it possible to slow it up? Sure it is because to this point, LSU has the top ranked SEC rushing defense lol. Another factor will be has MSU had time to really recover from a physical game they just played against the Tigers from Auburn. They were in a dog fight there while LSU could sort of just save much of their energy while tip-toeing to a win in their game. And you got to believe that LSU is in the heads of their Bulldog opponents here as they have won 11 straight games against them. But can you say "motivation factor" for MSU to perform well? I mean LSU is only 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite and MSU is 4-1 ATS following a game where they didn’t cover! If Miss. State can cut back on penalties and stay away from throwing interceptions while maintaining some ball and clock control, then the Tigers better watch out. They will spread the field and try to open up the passing game at times but Oregon didn’t have a whole lot of success with that gameplan so you can bet they’ll be mixing in their running attack just as much. Meanwhile, the Tigers have outscored their two opponents to the beat of 89-30, granted one of them was Northwestern State but they had their 2nd stringers in for a lot of the second half too. LSU has a pretty good running attack also and they like to mix it up with different backs. Their stud is Michael Ford and will probably handle key runs.
The Bulldogs QB Chris Relf will definitely have to have an outstanding game tonight if they are to have a chance. He has close to 160 rushing yards already and has thrown for right at 400 yards on 33 of 54 attempts. If he can mix it up tonight and not allow any turnovers on his part, then he has the confidence to make this an interesting game. But, LSU does know how to create fumbles and turnovers. Just look at what they did against the Ducks causing them to cough it up 4 different times. This is one of the most talented teams that MSU has had in a while but I’m just concerned about how much they’ve recovered from that Auburn game, both physically and mentally. But on the other hand, this would be a HUGE win for them is they could pull off the upset in front of a rowdy home crowd! I like Lewis who has a catch for over 80 yards already and Bumphis who shows a lot of promise of having a great year too but MSU’s run defense is a little shaky and has allowed a couple of big runs this year. LSU knows this too and will key in on this fact. Spencer Ware and Michael Ford will likely see plenty of touches tonight. Mississippi State does have a couple of pretty good corners and a descent defensive secondary that can hold their own so you definitely wont see them getting walked all over. This may allow their safeties to come up and help out with run support.
This is what I think ladies and gentleman. I am going back and forth on the side in this game as on paper and knowing how tired the Bulldogs are coming into this game, LSU should probably cover. But, with a hungry MSU team with lots of motivation at home, I can’t rule out the cover or straight up win for them either. I look at the Tigers and the majority of the yards they have gained has come from their rushing attack. They have only even attempted 32 passes on the season so far. I feel like MSU will try and stick to their strengths too and keep pounding away with their rushing attack and trying to control the clock and keeping the ball away from LSU as much as they can. Plus I know that the "UNDER" is 28-7 since the early 2000's when the total is between 42½ and 50 after allowing slightly under 4 yards per play in their previous game. And it applies to teams that combined to return 8 or more offensive starters. MSU is returning 9 on offense and LSU is returning 8. Plus the "UNDER" is 7-2 in MSU’s last 9 conference games and is 6-2 in LSU’s last 8 SEC games. My lean, and a very small one at that is to play MSU +3½, but my recommendation is to play the "UNDER". BOL tonight!
LSU/MSU UNDER 50 WINNER
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Louisiana State(3) at Mississippi State(25)
Coming in this week so far on a 2-0 run with my NFL wins Monday night taking the Patriots -7 and also taking Oakland +3. So let’s try and find us another winner. Here we go, a battle of two Ranked SEC teams! Just hearing that makes me want to play the "UNDER" right away lol. Lets break it down a little and try to find us a side to play first of all. For LSU, their named starting QB, Jordan Jefferson is still out for his role in that fight he was involved in. Plus their top notch receiver in Russell Shepard is still out too. For Mississippi State, they’ll either be without C Quentin Salusberry and LT James Cameron on their offensive line or they wont be 100% if they do play after being injured in the game against Auburn.
MSU will have a tough task in getting their running game going which will be key for them to do if they want to have a chance in winning here. Ballard is a stud RB but LSU’s rushing defense has been stingy only giving up 91 total rushing yards out of both games they’ve played so far. But, the Bulldogs do have the SEC’s leading rushing offense so we’ll have to see how the Tigers plan on slowing these big boys down. Is it possible to slow it up? Sure it is because to this point, LSU has the top ranked SEC rushing defense lol. Another factor will be has MSU had time to really recover from a physical game they just played against the Tigers from Auburn. They were in a dog fight there while LSU could sort of just save much of their energy while tip-toeing to a win in their game. And you got to believe that LSU is in the heads of their Bulldog opponents here as they have won 11 straight games against them. But can you say "motivation factor" for MSU to perform well? I mean LSU is only 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite and MSU is 4-1 ATS following a game where they didn’t cover! If Miss. State can cut back on penalties and stay away from throwing interceptions while maintaining some ball and clock control, then the Tigers better watch out. They will spread the field and try to open up the passing game at times but Oregon didn’t have a whole lot of success with that gameplan so you can bet they’ll be mixing in their running attack just as much. Meanwhile, the Tigers have outscored their two opponents to the beat of 89-30, granted one of them was Northwestern State but they had their 2nd stringers in for a lot of the second half too. LSU has a pretty good running attack also and they like to mix it up with different backs. Their stud is Michael Ford and will probably handle key runs.
The Bulldogs QB Chris Relf will definitely have to have an outstanding game tonight if they are to have a chance. He has close to 160 rushing yards already and has thrown for right at 400 yards on 33 of 54 attempts. If he can mix it up tonight and not allow any turnovers on his part, then he has the confidence to make this an interesting game. But, LSU does know how to create fumbles and turnovers. Just look at what they did against the Ducks causing them to cough it up 4 different times. This is one of the most talented teams that MSU has had in a while but I’m just concerned about how much they’ve recovered from that Auburn game, both physically and mentally. But on the other hand, this would be a HUGE win for them is they could pull off the upset in front of a rowdy home crowd! I like Lewis who has a catch for over 80 yards already and Bumphis who shows a lot of promise of having a great year too but MSU’s run defense is a little shaky and has allowed a couple of big runs this year. LSU knows this too and will key in on this fact. Spencer Ware and Michael Ford will likely see plenty of touches tonight. Mississippi State does have a couple of pretty good corners and a descent defensive secondary that can hold their own so you definitely wont see them getting walked all over. This may allow their safeties to come up and help out with run support.
This is what I think ladies and gentleman. I am going back and forth on the side in this game as on paper and knowing how tired the Bulldogs are coming into this game, LSU should probably cover. But, with a hungry MSU team with lots of motivation at home, I can’t rule out the cover or straight up win for them either. I look at the Tigers and the majority of the yards they have gained has come from their rushing attack. They have only even attempted 32 passes on the season so far. I feel like MSU will try and stick to their strengths too and keep pounding away with their rushing attack and trying to control the clock and keeping the ball away from LSU as much as they can. Plus I know that the "UNDER" is 28-7 since the early 2000's when the total is between 42½ and 50 after allowing slightly under 4 yards per play in their previous game. And it applies to teams that combined to return 8 or more offensive starters. MSU is returning 9 on offense and LSU is returning 8. Plus the "UNDER" is 7-2 in MSU’s last 9 conference games and is 6-2 in LSU’s last 8 SEC games. My lean, and a very small one at that is to play MSU +3½, but my recommendation is to play the "UNDER". BOL tonight!
UCONN is 1-1 on the year and are at home tonight giving up the points to an Iowa State squad that is 2-0 so far. The Huskies loss came from an SEC opponent in Vanderbilt and their win was over Fordham. Iowa State comes in on a high after their triple OT win over Iowa last week and Northern Iowa the week before. So their confidence will be high. UCONN is having issues at the QB position. I think last week they used two or three different signal callers and in this mix of QB merry-go-round, brought about another problem...turnovers. The O line isn’t able to protect their QB’s long enough for them to be able to get plays off and make plays down the field. This problem resulted in several picks last week. Now you’ve got an Iowa State offense that can put up points with you. But to even things out, Iowa States defense is not all that tough so they may not be able to get as much pressure as Vandy did. And, UCONN’s defense doesn’t look all that bad either. Now I expect the Huskies to be a little more together at home. The talent on both teams is somewhat comparable and Iowa State had their own issues with fumbles in their last outing. I just really like what I’ve seen out of the Cyclones QB Jantz to this point. He hasn’t really thrown any interceptions and knows how to spread the ball around. Plus they are good at picking up first downs to keep drives alive. I look for UCONN to run, run and run some more because of their fear of throwing int’s. They are going to try and keep the ball as long as they can and keep Iowa States offense off the field. I do like the special teams unit of the Huskies as I know they are capable of putting their team in good situations. I had the Huskies as being 3 to 3½ point favorites at home so I’m willing to take anything extra and go with the Cyclones as like I said earlier, their talent levels are not all that far apart IMO. The UNDER may also be a descent wager but I think I’m just going to stick with a small play on the side here as I see some value with the Cyclones and there are some better plays over the rest of the weekend. BOL to you!
Iowa State Cyclones +4½
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FRIDAY NIGHT NCAAF
Iowa State at Connecticut
UCONN is 1-1 on the year and are at home tonight giving up the points to an Iowa State squad that is 2-0 so far. The Huskies loss came from an SEC opponent in Vanderbilt and their win was over Fordham. Iowa State comes in on a high after their triple OT win over Iowa last week and Northern Iowa the week before. So their confidence will be high. UCONN is having issues at the QB position. I think last week they used two or three different signal callers and in this mix of QB merry-go-round, brought about another problem...turnovers. The O line isn’t able to protect their QB’s long enough for them to be able to get plays off and make plays down the field. This problem resulted in several picks last week. Now you’ve got an Iowa State offense that can put up points with you. But to even things out, Iowa States defense is not all that tough so they may not be able to get as much pressure as Vandy did. And, UCONN’s defense doesn’t look all that bad either. Now I expect the Huskies to be a little more together at home. The talent on both teams is somewhat comparable and Iowa State had their own issues with fumbles in their last outing. I just really like what I’ve seen out of the Cyclones QB Jantz to this point. He hasn’t really thrown any interceptions and knows how to spread the ball around. Plus they are good at picking up first downs to keep drives alive. I look for UCONN to run, run and run some more because of their fear of throwing int’s. They are going to try and keep the ball as long as they can and keep Iowa States offense off the field. I do like the special teams unit of the Huskies as I know they are capable of putting their team in good situations. I had the Huskies as being 3 to 3½ point favorites at home so I’m willing to take anything extra and go with the Cyclones as like I said earlier, their talent levels are not all that far apart IMO. The UNDER may also be a descent wager but I think I’m just going to stick with a small play on the side here as I see some value with the Cyclones and there are some better plays over the rest of the weekend. BOL to you!
Both teams are evenly matched IMO. However, Steele Jantz is a playmaker. He has the ability to scramble yet he keeps his eyes downfield looking to make plays. I'm taking the points as well!
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Both teams are evenly matched IMO. However, Steele Jantz is a playmaker. He has the ability to scramble yet he keeps his eyes downfield looking to make plays. I'm taking the points as well!
UCONN is 1-1 on the year and are at home tonight giving up the points to an Iowa State squad that is 2-0 so far. The Huskies loss came from an SEC opponent in Vanderbilt and their win was over Fordham. Iowa State comes in on a high after their triple OT win over Iowa last week and Northern Iowa the week before. So their confidence will be high. UCONN is having issues at the QB position. I think last week they used two or three different signal callers and in this mix of QB merry-go-round, brought about another problem...turnovers. The O line isn’t able to protect their QB’s long enough for them to be able to get plays off and make plays down the field. This problem resulted in several picks last week. Now you’ve got an Iowa State offense that can put up points with you. But to even things out, Iowa States defense is not all that tough so they may not be able to get as much pressure as Vandy did. And, UCONN’s defense doesn’t look all that bad either. Now I expect the Huskies to be a little more together at home. The talent on both teams is somewhat comparable and Iowa State had their own issues with fumbles in their last outing. I just really like what I’ve seen out of the Cyclones QB Jantz to this point. He hasn’t really thrown any interceptions and knows how to spread the ball around. Plus they are good at picking up first downs to keep drives alive. I look for UCONN to run, run and run some more because of their fear of throwing int’s. They are going to try and keep the ball as long as they can and keep Iowa States offense off the field. I do like the special teams unit of the Huskies as I know they are capable of putting their team in good situations. I had the Huskies as being 3 to 3½ point favorites at home so I’m willing to take anything extra and go with the Cyclones as like I said earlier, their talent levels are not all that far apart IMO. The UNDER may also be a descent wager but I think I’m just going to stick with a small play on the side here as I see some value with the Cyclones and there are some better plays over the rest of the weekend. BOL to you!
Iowa State Cyclones +4½
I don't agree or disagree with your pick but that statment there is false. Jantz threw 3 picks in his first game vs Northern Iowa. So i wouldnt say that he hasn't really thrown any interceptions. 3 in 2 games is not so good. GL with your pick , i am on neither side. Gun to my head i probably take UConn at home but hopefully Iowa St. stays close.
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Quote Originally Posted by thenatural74:
FRIDAY NIGHT NCAAF
Iowa State at Connecticut
UCONN is 1-1 on the year and are at home tonight giving up the points to an Iowa State squad that is 2-0 so far. The Huskies loss came from an SEC opponent in Vanderbilt and their win was over Fordham. Iowa State comes in on a high after their triple OT win over Iowa last week and Northern Iowa the week before. So their confidence will be high. UCONN is having issues at the QB position. I think last week they used two or three different signal callers and in this mix of QB merry-go-round, brought about another problem...turnovers. The O line isn’t able to protect their QB’s long enough for them to be able to get plays off and make plays down the field. This problem resulted in several picks last week. Now you’ve got an Iowa State offense that can put up points with you. But to even things out, Iowa States defense is not all that tough so they may not be able to get as much pressure as Vandy did. And, UCONN’s defense doesn’t look all that bad either. Now I expect the Huskies to be a little more together at home. The talent on both teams is somewhat comparable and Iowa State had their own issues with fumbles in their last outing. I just really like what I’ve seen out of the Cyclones QB Jantz to this point. He hasn’t really thrown any interceptions and knows how to spread the ball around. Plus they are good at picking up first downs to keep drives alive. I look for UCONN to run, run and run some more because of their fear of throwing int’s. They are going to try and keep the ball as long as they can and keep Iowa States offense off the field. I do like the special teams unit of the Huskies as I know they are capable of putting their team in good situations. I had the Huskies as being 3 to 3½ point favorites at home so I’m willing to take anything extra and go with the Cyclones as like I said earlier, their talent levels are not all that far apart IMO. The UNDER may also be a descent wager but I think I’m just going to stick with a small play on the side here as I see some value with the Cyclones and there are some better plays over the rest of the weekend. BOL to you!
Iowa State Cyclones +4½
I don't agree or disagree with your pick but that statment there is false. Jantz threw 3 picks in his first game vs Northern Iowa. So i wouldnt say that he hasn't really thrown any interceptions. 3 in 2 games is not so good. GL with your pick , i am on neither side. Gun to my head i probably take UConn at home but hopefully Iowa St. stays close.
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