We'll start out with the ECU/Cinci game - the first point to make is that Cinci has been a letdown all year. Super easy schedule compared to last year. To me, they're allowing teams to keep it close that Vegas thinks they should be blowing out fairly easily.. especially these past four or five weeks. ECU is an interesting one, on the other hand. This team is hot right now and keeping every game close. I think they're a lot better than the committee/general public gives them credit for. They're on a 3 game win streak, coming off a huge one vs BYU at their home field. Wins over UCF, Memphis, and South Florida - note that UCF beat Cinci and South Florida should have.
I think ECU surprises here - a lot of people are riding the Cinci "must-win" narrative at home. 4.5 points is a lot to give to this ECU team. I also see both teams scoring 3 TDs each here no problem, given the nature of these conference matchups.
Picks:
ECU +4.5 -110 DK 2u
Cinci/ECU o51.5 -110 1u
Fresno State/UNLV u61 -110 0.5u : I'll keep this one short. I was originally leaning toward the large +9.5 spread for home dogs UNLV, but I'm not exactly sold they'll cover here. What I am sold on is the fact that they've lost 4 games in a row, and this will be one of their last home games to try and prove a point. Fresno St is certainly the better team, but I expect UNLV to do everything in its power to prevent a boatload of scoring from the opposing side. Could see this being a 30-20 or 34-20 type of game in favor of Fresno.
Best of luck everyone
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Covers fam, got a couple I like for tonight..
We'll start out with the ECU/Cinci game - the first point to make is that Cinci has been a letdown all year. Super easy schedule compared to last year. To me, they're allowing teams to keep it close that Vegas thinks they should be blowing out fairly easily.. especially these past four or five weeks. ECU is an interesting one, on the other hand. This team is hot right now and keeping every game close. I think they're a lot better than the committee/general public gives them credit for. They're on a 3 game win streak, coming off a huge one vs BYU at their home field. Wins over UCF, Memphis, and South Florida - note that UCF beat Cinci and South Florida should have.
I think ECU surprises here - a lot of people are riding the Cinci "must-win" narrative at home. 4.5 points is a lot to give to this ECU team. I also see both teams scoring 3 TDs each here no problem, given the nature of these conference matchups.
Picks:
ECU +4.5 -110 DK 2u
Cinci/ECU o51.5 -110 1u
Fresno State/UNLV u61 -110 0.5u : I'll keep this one short. I was originally leaning toward the large +9.5 spread for home dogs UNLV, but I'm not exactly sold they'll cover here. What I am sold on is the fact that they've lost 4 games in a row, and this will be one of their last home games to try and prove a point. Fresno St is certainly the better team, but I expect UNLV to do everything in its power to prevent a boatload of scoring from the opposing side. Could see this being a 30-20 or 34-20 type of game in favor of Fresno.
Cincy has won 10 of last 11 against ECU. Cincy has also won 31 straight at home. Cincy won last years game 35-13 Its been 21 years since ECU won @ Cincy I don't think this will be easy for either team! I dont see many taking Cincy against the spread..... which explains the line movement down to 4.5pts. Past history is no guarantee of future sucess...... but it can't be ignored either! Gl to all, no matter which side you are on.......
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Quote Originally Posted by HiTeKReDNek:
Cincy has won 10 of last 11 against ECU. Cincy has also won 31 straight at home. Cincy won last years game 35-13 Its been 21 years since ECU won @ Cincy I don't think this will be easy for either team! I dont see many taking Cincy against the spread..... which explains the line movement down to 4.5pts. Past history is no guarantee of future sucess...... but it can't be ignored either! Gl to all, no matter which side you are on.......
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