I have wagered on football for the last 12 years. This September has been by far the worst month I have ever had. I spend hours a week researching college and NFL every week. It is like a second job. I have had profitable years and years in the negative, but I have never had a 4 week stretch like this.
This year football, for me, has been so frustrating. I feel like I have capped games well. Usually the 1st month is my strongest and then I regress back to the mean. Each week this month I have lost multiple units. Tonights MNF (Steelers/Bucs) is just icing on the cake.
After watching a few drives and seeing how each team moved the ball with ease. I took the live over at 59.5. After 30 1st half points, the Steelers provided 0 in the 2nd half, including a misssed fg. Game total falls 57.
I don't want to chase or go on tilt, but this September is really tempting me. How do you handle a cold streak? How do you break out of it?
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
I have wagered on football for the last 12 years. This September has been by far the worst month I have ever had. I spend hours a week researching college and NFL every week. It is like a second job. I have had profitable years and years in the negative, but I have never had a 4 week stretch like this.
This year football, for me, has been so frustrating. I feel like I have capped games well. Usually the 1st month is my strongest and then I regress back to the mean. Each week this month I have lost multiple units. Tonights MNF (Steelers/Bucs) is just icing on the cake.
After watching a few drives and seeing how each team moved the ball with ease. I took the live over at 59.5. After 30 1st half points, the Steelers provided 0 in the 2nd half, including a misssed fg. Game total falls 57.
I don't want to chase or go on tilt, but this September is really tempting me. How do you handle a cold streak? How do you break out of it?
If you consistently lose turnover battle by 2 or more then I don’t take that as a knock on me
If I’m just misreading teams & getting stomped I take a step back & relax for a week or more, just watching games without action is relaxing at times, you need to hit the refresh button, a full season is mentally exhausting for me & im generally collecting for the year , I need a break
Almost like a good colon cleanse
.
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Mine depends on whether it’s me or just bad luck
If you consistently lose turnover battle by 2 or more then I don’t take that as a knock on me
If I’m just misreading teams & getting stomped I take a step back & relax for a week or more, just watching games without action is relaxing at times, you need to hit the refresh button, a full season is mentally exhausting for me & im generally collecting for the year , I need a break
For me most my bets look great til the last qtr or so and then they fall apart... I've started to hedge part of my plays at great prices once the bets start to plummet. I had Steelers last night for the over and had Steelers, I was abke to hedge the under at 62.5 for 2-1 payout cause there was 60 points at gakf when I hedged it. I also got the buccs at +9.5, +13.5, +7.5 and +3.5. So it turned out to be a great night. But halfway through I was garunteed garunteedto make money regardless the outcome. So if youre losing bets like me where it happens late in games, ive just been putting like .25units against my bets live when i can get good prices on them
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For me most my bets look great til the last qtr or so and then they fall apart... I've started to hedge part of my plays at great prices once the bets start to plummet. I had Steelers last night for the over and had Steelers, I was abke to hedge the under at 62.5 for 2-1 payout cause there was 60 points at gakf when I hedged it. I also got the buccs at +9.5, +13.5, +7.5 and +3.5. So it turned out to be a great night. But halfway through I was garunteed garunteedto make money regardless the outcome. So if youre losing bets like me where it happens late in games, ive just been putting like .25units against my bets live when i can get good prices on them
Sorry of there's any typos or non punctuation I can't see what I'm writing on my phone, it doesn't show me my sentence I'm wruting as I write it for some reason
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Sorry of there's any typos or non punctuation I can't see what I'm writing on my phone, it doesn't show me my sentence I'm wruting as I write it for some reason
Bet everything you got on Ohio St this week !!! if you are meant to win you will win .. and Ohio St too will go up in ranking .. so that way , your play , your money and ohio st .. it's all on the same boat !! as a family !!! Good luck hope it helps
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Bet everything you got on Ohio St this week !!! if you are meant to win you will win .. and Ohio St too will go up in ranking .. so that way , your play , your money and ohio st .. it's all on the same boat !! as a family !!! Good luck hope it helps
I love putting everything i got on one good game !!!! win or lose !!!! i can be cold and haven't cash a ticket in 3 months .. but that one play , with everything on the line .. oh my god .. hit that one !!!! and your cold streak is gone !!!! all of a sudden , you gain ground .. instead of 4th and 4 punting the ball .. you are 2nd and 5 !!! and ready to run another play hahahaha , that is how a better suppose to look at game .. you got to have some balls in this business !!! if you don't then, this game is not for you !!!! so let's put your jersey on and get you ready for Saturday !!!!! instead of crying about a cold streak .. let's pound the ball and get 5 yards and run another play !!!!!!!!!
you can't look at it any other way .. my way is the only way you can break away from the cold streak !!! and if you're telling me Ohio St - 3.5 is not legit then you're a fool !!!! People can argue , ohhhh Penn St can get them cause they got home field .. blah blah blah .. play at night time .. !!!! Who the F care !!!! you think Ohio st care ???? they play this game to win !!!! To move up in Ranking .. to take out Alabama !!!! This game is it !!!! They're preparing to beat the crap out of Penn St as we are speaking !!! The better team is clearly Ohio St !!!! don't over think it !!! Just put the $ in and sit back , eat some wings and collect the cash after the game !!!!
Now i don't want to hear no more crying about a god damn cold streak !!! let's get you Gear up and ready for Saturday !!!!!
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I love putting everything i got on one good game !!!! win or lose !!!! i can be cold and haven't cash a ticket in 3 months .. but that one play , with everything on the line .. oh my god .. hit that one !!!! and your cold streak is gone !!!! all of a sudden , you gain ground .. instead of 4th and 4 punting the ball .. you are 2nd and 5 !!! and ready to run another play hahahaha , that is how a better suppose to look at game .. you got to have some balls in this business !!! if you don't then, this game is not for you !!!! so let's put your jersey on and get you ready for Saturday !!!!! instead of crying about a cold streak .. let's pound the ball and get 5 yards and run another play !!!!!!!!!
you can't look at it any other way .. my way is the only way you can break away from the cold streak !!! and if you're telling me Ohio St - 3.5 is not legit then you're a fool !!!! People can argue , ohhhh Penn St can get them cause they got home field .. blah blah blah .. play at night time .. !!!! Who the F care !!!! you think Ohio st care ???? they play this game to win !!!! To move up in Ranking .. to take out Alabama !!!! This game is it !!!! They're preparing to beat the crap out of Penn St as we are speaking !!! The better team is clearly Ohio St !!!! don't over think it !!! Just put the $ in and sit back , eat some wings and collect the cash after the game !!!!
Now i don't want to hear no more crying about a god damn cold streak !!! let's get you Gear up and ready for Saturday !!!!!
all these advises are soooo faulty !!!!!! i'm going to keep it a 100 with you guys ...
when i started betting .. i bet $ 500 sometime , i win at times , i lose at times ... here's a thing !!!! Everytime i bet $ 1000 or more , i lose !!!!! i believe i was like 0 - 7 betting $ 1000 or more !!!! so peep this , at this time i am 0 - 7 in $ 1000 bets alright , never won a $ 1000 straight bet in my career yet !!!!
So i sit back , and decided to do my own little research !!!!!!
the year is 2017 .. i'm doing my research !!! eagles signed Jeffery , Blount , couple of few guys in the winter !!!! i go on youtube watch their traning camp ,.. they looking good for the season opener !!!!
for the season opener , they play the redskins !!!!! they lost to the redskins twice in 2016 .. wentz rookie year ..
I decided 3 months before the season opener , i'ma drop $ 15000 on the eagles against the redskin !!! for the 2017 season opener !!!! That ML was nice , around + 125 !!!! i had 3 months to get my money together .. Eagles had 3 months to prepare , get their new players together !!!
Every months i make $ 5000 .. I dropped $ 5000 each month on the Eagles ML !!!! times 3 !!!! that's $ 15000 ....
And game time come !!!! oh my goodness boy .. that is the best game i had ever watch in my damn life !!!! hahahaha Eagles was losing at half time i believe haha , i was sweating for a lil bit !! But 2nd half they came out strong .. ohhhhhh boy !!!! when they seal the deal to beat the Redskins .. i had never been happier in my life hahahaha from going 0 - 7 in $ 1000 bets .. to winning $ 15, 000 in one straight bet !!!!!!!!! if you don't call that a cold streak 0 - 7 in $ 1000 bets .. i don't know what you would call it ....
Boy my hand was shaking when i touched those $ 100 bills in 2017 Week 1 Opener !!!!! it was literally shaking lol
That is how i broke my 0 - 7 Cold streaks !!!!! and ever since that game .. i preform like a pro bowl player going to Hawaii every single year hahahahha !!!!!!
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all these advises are soooo faulty !!!!!! i'm going to keep it a 100 with you guys ...
when i started betting .. i bet $ 500 sometime , i win at times , i lose at times ... here's a thing !!!! Everytime i bet $ 1000 or more , i lose !!!!! i believe i was like 0 - 7 betting $ 1000 or more !!!! so peep this , at this time i am 0 - 7 in $ 1000 bets alright , never won a $ 1000 straight bet in my career yet !!!!
So i sit back , and decided to do my own little research !!!!!!
the year is 2017 .. i'm doing my research !!! eagles signed Jeffery , Blount , couple of few guys in the winter !!!! i go on youtube watch their traning camp ,.. they looking good for the season opener !!!!
for the season opener , they play the redskins !!!!! they lost to the redskins twice in 2016 .. wentz rookie year ..
I decided 3 months before the season opener , i'ma drop $ 15000 on the eagles against the redskin !!! for the 2017 season opener !!!! That ML was nice , around + 125 !!!! i had 3 months to get my money together .. Eagles had 3 months to prepare , get their new players together !!!
Every months i make $ 5000 .. I dropped $ 5000 each month on the Eagles ML !!!! times 3 !!!! that's $ 15000 ....
And game time come !!!! oh my goodness boy .. that is the best game i had ever watch in my damn life !!!! hahahaha Eagles was losing at half time i believe haha , i was sweating for a lil bit !! But 2nd half they came out strong .. ohhhhhh boy !!!! when they seal the deal to beat the Redskins .. i had never been happier in my life hahahaha from going 0 - 7 in $ 1000 bets .. to winning $ 15, 000 in one straight bet !!!!!!!!! if you don't call that a cold streak 0 - 7 in $ 1000 bets .. i don't know what you would call it ....
Boy my hand was shaking when i touched those $ 100 bills in 2017 Week 1 Opener !!!!! it was literally shaking lol
That is how i broke my 0 - 7 Cold streaks !!!!! and ever since that game .. i preform like a pro bowl player going to Hawaii every single year hahahahha !!!!!!
Everybody can post .. Ohhhh $ 50 K on this game .. that game !!!!
hahahah go and actually put the $ 50 K cash at the sport book and get a win !!!! it is not all that simple !!!! a lot of you talk the talk .. but can't walk !!!!! all that 50 K is just all talk .. no walk !!!
hell put 5 K first !!!! anything over $ 10,000 ... they'll have you fill up their little tax form when you collect !!!! and your DL you need that !!! hahahaha i did that crap all season last year boy !!!
$ 500 bets are cupcakes for me !!!!!! just want to clear that up
when you have to fill up a tax form from william hill at the end of the year .. that's when they know you're " Relevant " !!!!
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Everybody can post .. Ohhhh $ 50 K on this game .. that game !!!!
hahahah go and actually put the $ 50 K cash at the sport book and get a win !!!! it is not all that simple !!!! a lot of you talk the talk .. but can't walk !!!!! all that 50 K is just all talk .. no walk !!!
hell put 5 K first !!!! anything over $ 10,000 ... they'll have you fill up their little tax form when you collect !!!! and your DL you need that !!! hahahaha i did that crap all season last year boy !!!
$ 500 bets are cupcakes for me !!!!!! just want to clear that up
when you have to fill up a tax form from william hill at the end of the year .. that's when they know you're " Relevant " !!!!
Another thing no one ever taught up in this forum when i first start betting is !!!!!
Worthiness of a bet !!!! how do you know which game is worthy for the sizes of your bet !!!
for example ...
Toledo + 7.5 !!! ok they might be worthy for a $ 500 bets .. maybe even $ 1000 size bets !!!! But not $ 5000 !!!!! $ 5000 is a lot of money for a MAAC team !!! They funds their program with these type of bets
Stanford + 4.5 !!! $ 500 bets no problem they can handle it .. big time game here !!! $ 1000 bets not a problem !!! worthy of a $ 5000 bet ??? Sure i believe so !!!!! 3 years in a row .. they been playing each other !!! Stanford beat them 3 - 0 even ND was ranked # 4 !!!!!
Ohio st - 3.5 !!! $ 1000 worthy , $ 5000 worthy , $ 10000 worthy ?? Sureeeeeee !!!!!! you bet chea .. it's worthy !!!! Top rank teams can take bets just as good as the Jaguars or the Eagles !!!!!
Buffalo - 8 !!! $ 500 size bet .. sure , they can handle it !!! $ 1000 - $ 5000 size bet for a MAAC team ??? No way !!!!! they'll find a way to blow that off 75 % of the time !!!!!! I guarantee you that my friends !!!!!
Hope you learn something new here today !!!!!!!! nobody taught me these things when i first start betting .. had to figure it out on my own learning it the hard way !!! losing many many bets to gain a small amount of knowledge !!!!!
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Another thing no one ever taught up in this forum when i first start betting is !!!!!
Worthiness of a bet !!!! how do you know which game is worthy for the sizes of your bet !!!
for example ...
Toledo + 7.5 !!! ok they might be worthy for a $ 500 bets .. maybe even $ 1000 size bets !!!! But not $ 5000 !!!!! $ 5000 is a lot of money for a MAAC team !!! They funds their program with these type of bets
Stanford + 4.5 !!! $ 500 bets no problem they can handle it .. big time game here !!! $ 1000 bets not a problem !!! worthy of a $ 5000 bet ??? Sure i believe so !!!!! 3 years in a row .. they been playing each other !!! Stanford beat them 3 - 0 even ND was ranked # 4 !!!!!
Ohio st - 3.5 !!! $ 1000 worthy , $ 5000 worthy , $ 10000 worthy ?? Sureeeeeee !!!!!! you bet chea .. it's worthy !!!! Top rank teams can take bets just as good as the Jaguars or the Eagles !!!!!
Buffalo - 8 !!! $ 500 size bet .. sure , they can handle it !!! $ 1000 - $ 5000 size bet for a MAAC team ??? No way !!!!! they'll find a way to blow that off 75 % of the time !!!!!! I guarantee you that my friends !!!!!
Hope you learn something new here today !!!!!!!! nobody taught me these things when i first start betting .. had to figure it out on my own learning it the hard way !!! losing many many bets to gain a small amount of knowledge !!!!!
Wahoo, pep, tj. Thanks for the insights, it was much appreciated. I took last week off, got off the sites and blogs, away for football. It was a much needed recharge. I wound up having a great weekend. Now I am staying more level headed going into the next state of games. Hopefully the momentum keeps rolling.
Best of luck this weekend and the remainder of the season fellas!
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Wahoo, pep, tj. Thanks for the insights, it was much appreciated. I took last week off, got off the sites and blogs, away for football. It was a much needed recharge. I wound up having a great weekend. Now I am staying more level headed going into the next state of games. Hopefully the momentum keeps rolling.
Best of luck this weekend and the remainder of the season fellas!
Another thing no one ever taught up in this forum when i first start betting is !!!!!
Worthiness of a bet !!!! how do you know which game is worthy for the sizes of your bet !!!
for example ...
Toledo + 7.5 !!! ok they might be worthy for a $ 500 bets .. maybe even $ 1000 size bets !!!! But not $ 5000 !!!!! $ 5000 is a lot of money for a MAAC team !!! They funds their program with these type of bets
Stanford + 4.5 !!! $ 500 bets no problem they can handle it .. big time game here !!! $ 1000 bets not a problem !!! worthy of a $ 5000 bet ??? Sure i believe so !!!!! 3 years in a row .. they been playing each other !!! Stanford beat them 3 - 0 even ND was ranked # 4 !!!!!
Ohio st - 3.5 !!! $ 1000 worthy , $ 5000 worthy , $ 10000 worthy ?? Sureeeeeee !!!!!! you bet chea .. it's worthy !!!! Top rank teams can take bets just as good as the Jaguars or the Eagles !!!!!
Buffalo - 8 !!! $ 500 size bet .. sure , they can handle it !!! $ 1000 - $ 5000 size bet for a MAAC team ??? No way !!!!! they'll find a way to blow that off 75 % of the time !!!!!! I guarantee you that my friends !!!!!
Hope you learn something new here today !!!!!!!! nobody taught me these things when i first start betting .. had to figure it out on my own learning it the hard way !!! losing many many bets to gain a small amount of knowledge !!!!!
Not trying to be rude here but those picks went 0-4 by blowout margins. So why all the exclamation points !!!! and talking down to people all the time?
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Quote Originally Posted by ATSwinner510:
Another thing no one ever taught up in this forum when i first start betting is !!!!!
Worthiness of a bet !!!! how do you know which game is worthy for the sizes of your bet !!!
for example ...
Toledo + 7.5 !!! ok they might be worthy for a $ 500 bets .. maybe even $ 1000 size bets !!!! But not $ 5000 !!!!! $ 5000 is a lot of money for a MAAC team !!! They funds their program with these type of bets
Stanford + 4.5 !!! $ 500 bets no problem they can handle it .. big time game here !!! $ 1000 bets not a problem !!! worthy of a $ 5000 bet ??? Sure i believe so !!!!! 3 years in a row .. they been playing each other !!! Stanford beat them 3 - 0 even ND was ranked # 4 !!!!!
Ohio st - 3.5 !!! $ 1000 worthy , $ 5000 worthy , $ 10000 worthy ?? Sureeeeeee !!!!!! you bet chea .. it's worthy !!!! Top rank teams can take bets just as good as the Jaguars or the Eagles !!!!!
Buffalo - 8 !!! $ 500 size bet .. sure , they can handle it !!! $ 1000 - $ 5000 size bet for a MAAC team ??? No way !!!!! they'll find a way to blow that off 75 % of the time !!!!!! I guarantee you that my friends !!!!!
Hope you learn something new here today !!!!!!!! nobody taught me these things when i first start betting .. had to figure it out on my own learning it the hard way !!! losing many many bets to gain a small amount of knowledge !!!!!
Not trying to be rude here but those picks went 0-4 by blowout margins. So why all the exclamation points !!!! and talking down to people all the time?
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