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Along with my visual and statistical analysis, i also look at a dozen - or so other cappers picks, and LINE MOVEMENTS.
Im not going to shout out Cappers that I follow... i troll here 20x a day. So I tend to look for "Orange Paws" "Mortgage Bets" "Asian Statues" "Hannibal Lecters" RainbowQBs" and the likes.
In-depth Line Movement Analysis is the topic i want some advice on. Bookie Assas and I had a few exchanges a couple bowl seasons ago, that I loved. Appreciate you taking the time to discuss with someone as low posting as myself.
Big Friday night line movement is the MEM / SFL game.
Opened at 12.5... now 7.
5.5 POINTS. I get what that means. Large amounts of money moves points large amounts of distance. But at what point is the public CRASHING the line? Like a small dip in the road, turns into a huge pot hole with everyone is stomping it.
For argument's sake
I will conceive that MEM is only 10.5 points better than SFL. So early movement Mon/Tues brought the line back to normal. now on Wed, 5Million "Johnny Computer Screens" realizes 2pts of movement and immediately thinks he can predict something. Wed and Thur, the public continues to coerce the line another 3 points.
I place bets 70% of my wagers on Mon and Fri night. Weather and Injury adjustments on Saturday (to correct units), and then a plethora of jackass parlays tying my GREAT IDEAS/READS together into an orgy of "on paper" winning combinations throughout the week.
At this point... has the MEM/SFL movement gotten out of control? and the value is gone... or better flipped, AGAIN??
At some point Linesmakes have to look and say, "SHITE, we're gonna get middled, deeper than those girls walking outside the Imperial Palace."
Thoughts, conversations appreciated by everyone...
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