There was a good deal of controversy surrounding the UL quarterback situation over the past few weeks, at least to those close to the program. RS Sophomore Will Gardner won the position battle this Summer, but struggled mightily with his reads, checks, decision making, protecting the football, and overall throwing accuracy during the first three games. Gardner went down with an alleged torn meniscus(The University released a statement yesterday, but was extremely vague - I have heard from a fairly reliable source he should be out 4-6 weeks), which makes Reggie Bonnafon the starter this week...
Bonnafon played for Louisville Trinity as a WR for his first three years, but was moved to QB his senior year. He has all of the talent to be a star - speed, a very strong arm, and size, but Trinity already had a D2 prospect at QB and Reggie's talent could be used elsewhere on the field. Bonnafon is raw at this stage, but there's no denying his ability. Given that he's still fairly new to the position(despite being a 4 star QB recruit coming out), he has been groomed as the heir apparent to the QB position for the foreseeable future, but the Gardner injury sped up the entire process.
There's obviously much more to this matchup than QB play, but the reason I'm harping on this so adamantly is that Bonnafon has something Gardner doesn't - speed and the ability to scramble. This is huge for UL because the offensive line leaves much to be desired. Gardner has been beaten up against virtually every team that he's faced, and this has led to multiple fumbles(2 in the red zone vs Miami), interceptions, and rushed throws. Bonnafon was actually inserted as the 2nd half starter at Virginia, but was put in an impossible spot as the first two drives started inside UL's 5 yard line, and in a conference game on the road(as a true freshman). Reggie's arm strength opens up the downfield passing game, especially with play action. Gardner's limitations virtually eliminated the downfield play ability of the offense, but I would fully expect multiple big plays in this game, especially on play action rollouts that Petrino has made a staple of his offense.
Wake is, well Wake Forest. The same team that scored 10 points against UL Monroe and 23 against Gardner Webb. Louisville's defense has been rock solid this year, and Wake should struggle to put points on the board. Petrino has been very vocal this week about his disappointment with the offense, and the Cardinals return home after disappointing showings on the road against UVA and Florida International. Petrino is lifetime 23-1 at home during his career at Louisville, and I certainly don't see this game being his second loss.
Homer disclaimer - this is the first UL game that I've bet this year
Cards roll 38-7 and Bonnafon becomes the new full-time starter, likely for the remainder of his career. I hate making the(unfair) comparison at this stage, but he looks an awful lot like Bridgewater did as a freshman.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
There was a good deal of controversy surrounding the UL quarterback situation over the past few weeks, at least to those close to the program. RS Sophomore Will Gardner won the position battle this Summer, but struggled mightily with his reads, checks, decision making, protecting the football, and overall throwing accuracy during the first three games. Gardner went down with an alleged torn meniscus(The University released a statement yesterday, but was extremely vague - I have heard from a fairly reliable source he should be out 4-6 weeks), which makes Reggie Bonnafon the starter this week...
Bonnafon played for Louisville Trinity as a WR for his first three years, but was moved to QB his senior year. He has all of the talent to be a star - speed, a very strong arm, and size, but Trinity already had a D2 prospect at QB and Reggie's talent could be used elsewhere on the field. Bonnafon is raw at this stage, but there's no denying his ability. Given that he's still fairly new to the position(despite being a 4 star QB recruit coming out), he has been groomed as the heir apparent to the QB position for the foreseeable future, but the Gardner injury sped up the entire process.
There's obviously much more to this matchup than QB play, but the reason I'm harping on this so adamantly is that Bonnafon has something Gardner doesn't - speed and the ability to scramble. This is huge for UL because the offensive line leaves much to be desired. Gardner has been beaten up against virtually every team that he's faced, and this has led to multiple fumbles(2 in the red zone vs Miami), interceptions, and rushed throws. Bonnafon was actually inserted as the 2nd half starter at Virginia, but was put in an impossible spot as the first two drives started inside UL's 5 yard line, and in a conference game on the road(as a true freshman). Reggie's arm strength opens up the downfield passing game, especially with play action. Gardner's limitations virtually eliminated the downfield play ability of the offense, but I would fully expect multiple big plays in this game, especially on play action rollouts that Petrino has made a staple of his offense.
Wake is, well Wake Forest. The same team that scored 10 points against UL Monroe and 23 against Gardner Webb. Louisville's defense has been rock solid this year, and Wake should struggle to put points on the board. Petrino has been very vocal this week about his disappointment with the offense, and the Cardinals return home after disappointing showings on the road against UVA and Florida International. Petrino is lifetime 23-1 at home during his career at Louisville, and I certainly don't see this game being his second loss.
Homer disclaimer - this is the first UL game that I've bet this year
Cards roll 38-7 and Bonnafon becomes the new full-time starter, likely for the remainder of his career. I hate making the(unfair) comparison at this stage, but he looks an awful lot like Bridgewater did as a freshman.
The only wildcard for this game is the WF defense which could definitely hold Louisville under 30 with their secondary. But WF hasn't really played all that well defensively and were beat pretty bad in the passing game against Utah State. Army also moved the ball pretty well..
Louisville should be playing a short field all game and the WF QB is prone to brutal turnovers.
If WF is able to move the ball with their little short passing game and put up a few points and Louisville doesn't improve offensively, this bet could definitely get flushed.
But Louisville seems like a solid bet at 21 or less playing at home and Petrino looking to get the offense on track..
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The only wildcard for this game is the WF defense which could definitely hold Louisville under 30 with their secondary. But WF hasn't really played all that well defensively and were beat pretty bad in the passing game against Utah State. Army also moved the ball pretty well..
Louisville should be playing a short field all game and the WF QB is prone to brutal turnovers.
If WF is able to move the ball with their little short passing game and put up a few points and Louisville doesn't improve offensively, this bet could definitely get flushed.
But Louisville seems like a solid bet at 21 or less playing at home and Petrino looking to get the offense on track..
Let me tell u Petrino was higher on my list than Gus( Now I think Gus is a better coach)to be Auburn's next coach.What he did in Atlanta was shady but Im convinced he would have got his behind kicked by one of the Atl. Players had he stayed.Petrino paid for his mistakes in Arkansas and the good lord teaches us to forgive.I like Clausen at Wake but he doesn't have much to work with.Like Louisville
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Let me tell u Petrino was higher on my list than Gus( Now I think Gus is a better coach)to be Auburn's next coach.What he did in Atlanta was shady but Im convinced he would have got his behind kicked by one of the Atl. Players had he stayed.Petrino paid for his mistakes in Arkansas and the good lord teaches us to forgive.I like Clausen at Wake but he doesn't have much to work with.Like Louisville
Excellent writeup! IMO, with Bonnafon's dad passing away this previous week, I think he will have an amazing game. Hos first start and it should be a magical one. It always seems like when a player faces a family tragedy, they have one of their best performances ever the following game. But I am not solely relying on that when I bet this game lol
Regardless, Louisville rolls!! 41-10!
Note: I saw a stat where Bobby Petrino has covered around last 19 of 20 at home with Louisville. So far this season: 3-1 ATS (2-0 at home, 1-1 away)
GO CARDS!
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Excellent writeup! IMO, with Bonnafon's dad passing away this previous week, I think he will have an amazing game. Hos first start and it should be a magical one. It always seems like when a player faces a family tragedy, they have one of their best performances ever the following game. But I am not solely relying on that when I bet this game lol
Regardless, Louisville rolls!! 41-10!
Note: I saw a stat where Bobby Petrino has covered around last 19 of 20 at home with Louisville. So far this season: 3-1 ATS (2-0 at home, 1-1 away)
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