MD vs MINN in running

Question

Maryland started 4-0 against bad teams and accumulated the #9 rushing attack in fbs. They got crushed at PSU but are home for a bounce back against a QB that has one pass attempt in three years, and a line missing their starting OT. Both running games are good but how good will Minnesota be at playing from behind?

Both teams have trouble getting to the qb and stopping the run, however I'd give the edge to MD in both. Neither team is suited to push back from a double digit deficit.

If Minnesota gets a big lead, the terps will be forced to play out of their element as they had to last week, and the pass protection was tested for the first time.

I'll be looking for in running opportunities in this one.

hute92 · Answer

Maryland started 4-0 against bad teams and accumulated the #9 rushing attack in fbs. They got crushed at PSU but are home for a bounce back against a QB that has one pass attempt in three years, and a line missing their starting OT. Both running games are good but how good will Minnesota be at playing from behind?

Both teams have trouble getting to the qb and stopping the run, however I'd give the edge to MD in both. Neither team is suited to push back from a double digit deficit.

If Minnesota gets a big lead, the terps will be forced to play out of their element as they had to last week, and the pass protection was tested for the first time.

I'll be looking for in running opportunities in this one.

hute92 · Answer

MINN HC calls out OLINE in the media this week. Through one quarter they&#x27;ve looked good. IMO MD hasn&#x27;t come out with the energy indicative of a home team that was embarrassed last week. The schedule gets real tough next week and wont let up any time soon. Let&#x27;s see if that changes now that the Gophers took the 7-0 lead. MD now &#x2B;3, &#x2B;150 total 40.5 at commercial.

hute92 · Answer

First electric run of the game by Pigrome called back on an absolute disgrace of a holding call on a perfectly legal pancake block.That followed by a false start and a 3 and out. Line now MD &#x2B;5.5, &#x2B;165, 39.5.

hute92 · Answer

Glad we&#x27;re not in play yet with these horrible holding calls going against MD on key plays. They can&#x27;t catch a break right now nor are they doing themselves any favors. WR/KR/PR W. Likely is a huge loss for MD. The fact the Gopher receivers are failing to get open has Rhoda standing in the pocket too long. LT Donell Green is making his first start and it&#x27;s showing early.

hute92 · Answer

Yeah the under got hammered this week down to 45.5 from 55.5. Looking good so far. I was hoping for a 21.5 or better at half right now it&#x27;s 21 -110. Both defenses have played well and both teams are a combined 4-17 on 3rd down. MINN 3.8 YPR MD 4.7 YPR. MINN was given two short fields on two turnovers, and turned it into a total of 7 points.

hute92 · Answer

Everything points to 2H MD -2.5. Given the fact the Gophers only have 10 sacks on the season, MD isn&#x27;t in a terrible spot right now. They will be forced to pass more than usual but if Durkin and his staff can stick to the ground game a bit, &#x2B;11.5 could be good value.

motowner · Answer

So are you playing 2H or not?

hute92 · Answer

Halftime action brought the &#x2B;11.5 to &#x2B;13.5 -125 which would have been a go for me for a quarter sized bet, but I chimed in a second too late. There was notable under action as well bringing the total from 21 to 20.

hute92 · Answer

The point is to maximize value, spot mismatches, and exploit them in games where there are so many question marks to make a confident bet before the game. Since the anatomy of each game is so unique, it&#x27;s nice to catch a glimpse before putting those hard earned dollars in play. In-running lines see far less action resulting in a greater variance in oddsmaker&#x27;s ability to set a sharp line with little time to prepare, thus more chances to make money at times when most bettors are watching commercials. With help from everyone, we can bounce ideas off each other in an effort to look at the market from a unique perspective . This is a test-run for me and I&#x27;ll do my best to improve the overall quality of this thread, but hopefully others who are familiar with this form of profiting can chime in as well.

MD vs MINN in running

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