Michigan

Stay away !!!!!

Wisconsin looks to me like the Big10 West Champ.  Michigan has done poorly winning games as conference dogs under Harbaugh.  They still having a lot of difficulty in big conference games.  Since 2009 when the line is Michigan -7 to pick-em in Conference games Straight up Michigan is 7-10.  Since 2015 in these games (Harbaugh era) they are 2-2.  What this says is they are fades on the moneyline in competitive lined games.  Nice ROI.

Looking at Michigan as dogs.  Michigan is 13-43 SU.  If Michigan are small Conference dogs with a line from +1 to +5 they have only one win in these games in their last 14 attempts since 2007.

They have Rutgers on deck and if they lose this game like I expect them to they will pound Rutgers with the motivation to do so.  

Michigan has no history of doing well in this week situation and while I am a bit hesitant to lay points, there is no way I am taking the "Value" of the points.

After this Michigan loss most everyone will fly far away like bird heading south for the winter.  That's the Value of waiting.

I will be waiting.

I forgot to add one more:

Michigan as conference dog are 1-22 straight up last 23 since 2009

Public is also reading a lot into that Army game... Oklahoma went to the CFP after Army took them to OT as well.

The line looks like the books are trying to get a lot of public money on Wisconsin who has beaten opponents a combined 110-0 after 2 games. Problem is, they have played absolutely nobody.

Can't pull the trigger but I lean towards Michigan and the points. 

BoL gents! 

public is most definitely on wisco

s p o r t s d a t a b a s e d o t c o m 

ncaafb 

insert this >>>>>t:team=MICH and date >=20081110 and CD and line>3

which means:

team=Michigan and after this date and Conference Dog and line more than 3