RSW: *western Michigan under 4.5 -200. 3-6 CURRENT RECORD- should lose the remaining three *Central Michigan under 5.5 -120. 5-4 CURRENT RECORD NIU blew it for sure *San Jose St under 5.5 +120 4-5, BUT I have completely changed my position on this team. they are a PLAY ON the rest of the way. BETTING THEM TO WIN VS FRESNO. *Minnesota under 7.5 -160. 5-4 only a matter of time before this cashes.
*Indiana under 3.5 +140 3-6. *Cal over 4.5 -152. 3-6…Must beat wazzu this week to have a chance *BYU under 5.5 +113 5-4 team, could be TD dogs the rest of the way. They could lose out
WINNER*North Texas under 6.5 -120. 3-6 CURRENT RECORD. WINNER*East Carolina under 5.5 -150 soon to be winner WINNER *East Carolina under 6.5 -190. BIG WINNER. worst team in the conference WINNER *South Alabama under 8-130. 4-5, WINNER *MTSU under 6.5 +100
LOSS *UTEP over 5.5 -115 BIG. 3-7… LOSS Vanderbilt over 3.5 -150
1u UTEP 22-1 1u UTSA +360 1u FAU +950 1u EMU +790 1u San Diego state +650. 1.75u Washington +400
longshots to win their respective conference title .33u navy 45/1 .125u cal 80/1 .416u NIU 29/1 and 22/1 .33u .125u Texas State 80/1.
additions to the portfolio:
Toledo to win the mac: -150 3 units to win 2- holding an NIU 29/1 and 22/1, hope this Toledo wager loses, but I see either Toledo or NIU coming out of the MAC West, and if its toledo niether ohio or miami oh is going to beat them in Detroit.
San Jose St to win the MWC: 25/1 .33u risked.
Until the wallet is full.
0
futures portfolio update:
RSW: *western Michigan under 4.5 -200. 3-6 CURRENT RECORD- should lose the remaining three *Central Michigan under 5.5 -120. 5-4 CURRENT RECORD NIU blew it for sure *San Jose St under 5.5 +120 4-5, BUT I have completely changed my position on this team. they are a PLAY ON the rest of the way. BETTING THEM TO WIN VS FRESNO. *Minnesota under 7.5 -160. 5-4 only a matter of time before this cashes.
*Indiana under 3.5 +140 3-6. *Cal over 4.5 -152. 3-6…Must beat wazzu this week to have a chance *BYU under 5.5 +113 5-4 team, could be TD dogs the rest of the way. They could lose out
WINNER*North Texas under 6.5 -120. 3-6 CURRENT RECORD. WINNER*East Carolina under 5.5 -150 soon to be winner WINNER *East Carolina under 6.5 -190. BIG WINNER. worst team in the conference WINNER *South Alabama under 8-130. 4-5, WINNER *MTSU under 6.5 +100
LOSS *UTEP over 5.5 -115 BIG. 3-7… LOSS Vanderbilt over 3.5 -150
1u UTEP 22-1 1u UTSA +360 1u FAU +950 1u EMU +790 1u San Diego state +650. 1.75u Washington +400
longshots to win their respective conference title .33u navy 45/1 .125u cal 80/1 .416u NIU 29/1 and 22/1 .33u .125u Texas State 80/1.
additions to the portfolio:
Toledo to win the mac: -150 3 units to win 2- holding an NIU 29/1 and 22/1, hope this Toledo wager loses, but I see either Toledo or NIU coming out of the MAC West, and if its toledo niether ohio or miami oh is going to beat them in Detroit.
Always enjoy following your picks! Question: do you check public money on sides? Not sure if what I'm seeing on Scoresandodds is correct, but this year I've avoided picks that have above 80% of the money on my side and my winning % has increased. It's certainly not a sure thing, but I'm curious if a legit capper takes it into account.
0
@steponaduck
Always enjoy following your picks! Question: do you check public money on sides? Not sure if what I'm seeing on Scoresandodds is correct, but this year I've avoided picks that have above 80% of the money on my side and my winning % has increased. It's certainly not a sure thing, but I'm curious if a legit capper takes it into account.
@steponaduck Always enjoy following your picks! Question: do you check public money on sides? Not sure if what I'm seeing on Scoresandodds is correct, but this year I've avoided picks that have above 80% of the money on my side and my winning % has increased. It's certainly not a sure thing, but I'm curious if a legit capper takes it into account.
I used to do that, but with the infusion of MILLIONS OF PEOPLE pouring into sportsbetting for the first time due to legalization, I feel that "public side/ sharp side" seems to be as watered down as ever before, and CLV movement getting to the window at a lower rate now than ever before seems to corroborate that. broad brush painting: it just doesnt matter because the PUBLIC is sooooo huge now with millions and millions of novice bettors.
what i DO WATCH, is movement throughout the week and on gameday. steams on tuesday, Friday can really mean sharp money is pounding a line and shoring up a position the experienced bettors want to be on for a particular game. "Same Day" steam is typically the result of one of three things: late breaking news, weather, or public day of the game flood of bets.
Until the wallet is full.
0
Quote Originally Posted by ChalkisGold:
@steponaduck Always enjoy following your picks! Question: do you check public money on sides? Not sure if what I'm seeing on Scoresandodds is correct, but this year I've avoided picks that have above 80% of the money on my side and my winning % has increased. It's certainly not a sure thing, but I'm curious if a legit capper takes it into account.
I used to do that, but with the infusion of MILLIONS OF PEOPLE pouring into sportsbetting for the first time due to legalization, I feel that "public side/ sharp side" seems to be as watered down as ever before, and CLV movement getting to the window at a lower rate now than ever before seems to corroborate that. broad brush painting: it just doesnt matter because the PUBLIC is sooooo huge now with millions and millions of novice bettors.
what i DO WATCH, is movement throughout the week and on gameday. steams on tuesday, Friday can really mean sharp money is pounding a line and shoring up a position the experienced bettors want to be on for a particular game. "Same Day" steam is typically the result of one of three things: late breaking news, weather, or public day of the game flood of bets.
@steponaduck Always enjoy following your picks! Question: do you check public money on sides? Not sure if what I'm seeing on Scoresandodds is correct, but this year I've avoided picks that have above 80% of the money on my side and my winning % has increased. It's certainly not a sure thing, but I'm curious if a legit capper takes it into account.
with that said, you could do alot worse than finding the betting percentages and if they are over 75%, blindly bet the other way all season. when the books get into a pinch and are due for a blood bath, they rarely take it...
Until the wallet is full.
0
Quote Originally Posted by ChalkisGold:
@steponaduck Always enjoy following your picks! Question: do you check public money on sides? Not sure if what I'm seeing on Scoresandodds is correct, but this year I've avoided picks that have above 80% of the money on my side and my winning % has increased. It's certainly not a sure thing, but I'm curious if a legit capper takes it into account.
with that said, you could do alot worse than finding the betting percentages and if they are over 75%, blindly bet the other way all season. when the books get into a pinch and are due for a blood bath, they rarely take it...
4-3 on the weekday plays with two losses by ONE POINT...and CMU live blew a 7 point lead in the 4th. capping has been decent. the results. meh...feel like i should be 6-1 this week...
Saturday Updated Card:
FAU -7 -120
GT +15
Arkansas St +11.5
Old Dominion +13.5
Rutgers ML +108
San Jose St ML +101
West Virginia +12.5
Tulsa +23.5
New Mex St +4.5
Temple + South Florida over 67.5
Georgia State ML -122
Kansas + TTU over 61.5
California ML -117
Until the wallet is full.
0
Tue: CMU +7.5 live
Wed: Akron +18.5
EMU +28.5 live
Thur: Virginia +20.5
Fri: UNT/SMU o67
UNLV -4
UNLV -3 -103
4-3 on the weekday plays with two losses by ONE POINT...and CMU live blew a 7 point lead in the 4th. capping has been decent. the results. meh...feel like i should be 6-1 this week...
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