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    All Forums | College Football

    NCAA FB WEEK 11. 133-105 YTD

    steponaduck
    indy2
    SteamCave
    D-Town
    ChalkisGold
    ...
    Participants:
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    Posts: 22
     
    steponaduck
    steponaduck
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2023 - 10:11 AM ET #1

    Week 11:

    Tue: 

    Wed: Akron +18.5

    Thur: Virginia +20.5

    Fri: UNT/SMU o67

          UNLV -4

     

    Sat:

    FAU -7 -120

    GT +15

    Arkansas St +11.5

    Old Dominion +13.5

    Rutgers ML +108

    San Jose St ML +101

    West Virginia +12.5

    Tulsa +23.5

    New Mex St +4.5

     

     

     

    week 10 recap 

     

    TUE:   angryBUFFALO+16

              moneybagBuffalo +28.5 LIVE 

    WED: moneybagAKRON -3.5 

    THUR: angrySOUTH ALABAMA +7 -117

               moneybagWAKE FOREST +12.5

    FRI: 

    SAT:

    angrySOUTH CAROLINA -14.5

    moneybagNAVY + TEMPLE OVER 41 -120

    angryNAVY + TEMPLE OVER 54.5  +296 .33u

    moneybagNORTHWESTERN +6

    moneybagRICE +12.5

    moneybagFAU + UAB OVER 58.5

    moneybagUTEP +9.5

    angryOLD DOMINION ML -106

    angryVIRGINIA TECH +10 -111

    moneybagPURDUE +33.5 -112

    moneybagARIZONA +3.5 -120

    moneybagALABAMA -3 -101

    angryLA TECH +14.5

    moneybagCONNECTICUT + TENN over 54.5

    angryRUTGERS +18.5

    angryFCS- HOLY CROSS -20.5 -130

    moneybagFCS- DAVIDSON TT O 41

    angryFCS- SAM HOU STATE -16.5

     

    10-8 sat

    3-2 midweek

    13-10 full week

    Until the wallet is full.
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    Week 11:

    Tue: 

    Wed: Akron +18.5

    Thur: Virginia +20.5

    Fri: UNT/SMU o67

          UNLV -4

     

    Sat:

    FAU -7 -120

    GT +15

    Arkansas St +11.5

    Old Dominion +13.5

    Rutgers ML +108

    San Jose St ML +101

    West Virginia +12.5

    Tulsa +23.5

    New Mex St +4.5

     

     

     

    week 10 recap 

     

    TUE:   angryBUFFALO+16

              moneybagBuffalo +28.5 LIVE 

    WED: moneybagAKRON -3.5 

    THUR: angrySOUTH ALABAMA +7 -117

               moneybagWAKE FOREST +12.5

    FRI: 

    SAT:

    angrySOUTH CAROLINA -14.5

    moneybagNAVY + TEMPLE OVER 41 -120

    angryNAVY + TEMPLE OVER 54.5  +296 .33u

    moneybagNORTHWESTERN +6

    moneybagRICE +12.5

    moneybagFAU + UAB OVER 58.5

    moneybagUTEP +9.5

    angryOLD DOMINION ML -106

    angryVIRGINIA TECH +10 -111

    moneybagPURDUE +33.5 -112

    moneybagARIZONA +3.5 -120

    moneybagALABAMA -3 -101

    angryLA TECH +14.5

    moneybagCONNECTICUT + TENN over 54.5

    angryRUTGERS +18.5

    angryFCS- HOLY CROSS -20.5 -130

    moneybagFCS- DAVIDSON TT O 41

    angryFCS- SAM HOU STATE -16.5

     

    10-8 sat

    3-2 midweek

    13-10 full week

     
    indy2
    indy2
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    Posts: 10444
    Posted: Nov. 7, 2023 - 10:21 AM ET #2

    @steponaduck

     S/duck.....appreciate your updates and info /thought's buddy....

    BOL with all your week 11 action....indy

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    @steponaduck

     S/duck.....appreciate your updates and info /thought's buddy....

    BOL with all your week 11 action....indy

     
    SteamCave
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2023 - 10:49 AM ET #3

    an_cheers

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    an_cheers

     
    D-Town
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2023 - 12:10 PM ET #4

    Good luck this week Duck.  an_cheers

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    Good luck this week Duck.  an_cheers

     
    steponaduck
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2023 - 1:49 PM ET #5

    futures portfolio update:

     
    RSW:
    *western Michigan under 4.5 -200. 3-6 CURRENT RECORD- should lose the remaining three
    *Central Michigan under 5.5 -120. 5-4 CURRENT RECORD NIU blew it for sure
    *San Jose St under 5.5 +120  4-5, BUT I have completely changed my position on this team. they are a PLAY ON the rest of the way. BETTING THEM TO WIN VS FRESNO.
    *Minnesota under 7.5 -160. 5-4 only a matter of time before this cashes.

    *Indiana under 3.5 +140 3-6.
    *Cal over 4.5 -152. 3-6…Must beat wazzu this week to have a chance
    *BYU under 5.5 +113  5-4 team, could be TD dogs the rest of the way. They could lose out

    WINNER*North Texas under 6.5 -120. 3-6 CURRENT RECORD.
    WINNER*East Carolina under 5.5 -150 soon to be winner
    WINNER *East Carolina under 6.5 -190. BIG WINNER. worst team in the conference 
    WINNER *South Alabama under 8-130. 4-5,
    WINNER *MTSU under 6.5 +100

    LOSS *UTEP over 5.5 -115 BIG. 3-7…
    LOSS Vanderbilt over 3.5 -150  

     

    1u UTEP 22-1
    1u UTSA +360
    1u FAU +950
    1u EMU +790
    1u San Diego state +650.
    1.75u Washington +400

    longshots to win their respective conference title
    .33u navy 45/1
    .125u cal 80/1 
    .416u NIU 29/1 and 22/1 .33u
    .125u Texas State 80/1.

     

    additions to the portfolio:

    Toledo to win the mac: -150  3 units to win 2- holding an NIU 29/1 and 22/1, hope this Toledo wager loses, but I see either Toledo or NIU coming out of the MAC West, and if its toledo niether ohio or miami oh is going to beat them in Detroit. 

    San Jose St to win the MWC: 25/1 .33u risked. 

    Until the wallet is full.
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    futures portfolio update:

     
    RSW:
    *western Michigan under 4.5 -200. 3-6 CURRENT RECORD- should lose the remaining three
    *Central Michigan under 5.5 -120. 5-4 CURRENT RECORD NIU blew it for sure
    *San Jose St under 5.5 +120  4-5, BUT I have completely changed my position on this team. they are a PLAY ON the rest of the way. BETTING THEM TO WIN VS FRESNO.
    *Minnesota under 7.5 -160. 5-4 only a matter of time before this cashes.

    *Indiana under 3.5 +140 3-6.
    *Cal over 4.5 -152. 3-6…Must beat wazzu this week to have a chance
    *BYU under 5.5 +113  5-4 team, could be TD dogs the rest of the way. They could lose out

    WINNER*North Texas under 6.5 -120. 3-6 CURRENT RECORD.
    WINNER*East Carolina under 5.5 -150 soon to be winner
    WINNER *East Carolina under 6.5 -190. BIG WINNER. worst team in the conference 
    WINNER *South Alabama under 8-130. 4-5,
    WINNER *MTSU under 6.5 +100

    LOSS *UTEP over 5.5 -115 BIG. 3-7…
    LOSS Vanderbilt over 3.5 -150  

     

    1u UTEP 22-1
    1u UTSA +360
    1u FAU +950
    1u EMU +790
    1u San Diego state +650.
    1.75u Washington +400

    longshots to win their respective conference title
    .33u navy 45/1
    .125u cal 80/1 
    .416u NIU 29/1 and 22/1 .33u
    .125u Texas State 80/1.

     

    additions to the portfolio:

    Toledo to win the mac: -150  3 units to win 2- holding an NIU 29/1 and 22/1, hope this Toledo wager loses, but I see either Toledo or NIU coming out of the MAC West, and if its toledo niether ohio or miami oh is going to beat them in Detroit. 

    San Jose St to win the MWC: 25/1 .33u risked. 

     
    ChalkisGold
    ChalkisGold
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2023 - 1:53 PM ET #6

    @steponaduck

     Always enjoy following your picks! Question: do you check public money on sides? Not sure if what I'm seeing on Scoresandodds is correct, but this year I've avoided picks that have above 80% of the money on my side and my winning % has increased. It's certainly not a sure thing, but I'm curious if a legit capper takes it into account.

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    @steponaduck

     Always enjoy following your picks! Question: do you check public money on sides? Not sure if what I'm seeing on Scoresandodds is correct, but this year I've avoided picks that have above 80% of the money on my side and my winning % has increased. It's certainly not a sure thing, but I'm curious if a legit capper takes it into account.

     
    steponaduck
    steponaduck
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    Posts: 5103
    Posted: Nov. 7, 2023 - 3:45 PM ET #7

    Quote Originally Posted by ChalkisGold:

    @steponaduck  Always enjoy following your picks! Question: do you check public money on sides? Not sure if what I'm seeing on Scoresandodds is correct, but this year I've avoided picks that have above 80% of the money on my side and my winning % has increased. It's certainly not a sure thing, but I'm curious if a legit capper takes it into account.
    I used to do that, but with the infusion of MILLIONS OF PEOPLE pouring into sportsbetting for the first time due to legalization, I feel that "public side/ sharp side" seems to be as watered down as ever before, and CLV movement getting to the window at a lower rate now than ever before seems to corroborate that. broad brush painting: it just doesnt matter because the PUBLIC is sooooo huge now with millions and millions of novice bettors. 

    what i DO WATCH, is movement throughout the week and on gameday. steams on tuesday, Friday can really mean sharp money is pounding a line and shoring up a position the experienced bettors want to be on for a particular game. "Same Day" steam is typically the result of one of three things: late breaking news, weather, or public day of the game flood of bets. 

    Until the wallet is full.
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    Quote Originally Posted by ChalkisGold:

    @steponaduck  Always enjoy following your picks! Question: do you check public money on sides? Not sure if what I'm seeing on Scoresandodds is correct, but this year I've avoided picks that have above 80% of the money on my side and my winning % has increased. It's certainly not a sure thing, but I'm curious if a legit capper takes it into account.
    I used to do that, but with the infusion of MILLIONS OF PEOPLE pouring into sportsbetting for the first time due to legalization, I feel that "public side/ sharp side" seems to be as watered down as ever before, and CLV movement getting to the window at a lower rate now than ever before seems to corroborate that. broad brush painting: it just doesnt matter because the PUBLIC is sooooo huge now with millions and millions of novice bettors. 

    what i DO WATCH, is movement throughout the week and on gameday. steams on tuesday, Friday can really mean sharp money is pounding a line and shoring up a position the experienced bettors want to be on for a particular game. "Same Day" steam is typically the result of one of three things: late breaking news, weather, or public day of the game flood of bets. 

     
    steponaduck
    steponaduck
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2023 - 3:46 PM ET #8

    Quote Originally Posted by ChalkisGold:

    @steponaduck  Always enjoy following your picks! Question: do you check public money on sides? Not sure if what I'm seeing on Scoresandodds is correct, but this year I've avoided picks that have above 80% of the money on my side and my winning % has increased. It's certainly not a sure thing, but I'm curious if a legit capper takes it into account.

     

    with that said, you could do alot worse than finding the betting percentages and if they are over 75%, blindly bet the other way all season. when the books get into a pinch and are due for a blood bath, they rarely take it...

    Until the wallet is full.
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    Quote Originally Posted by ChalkisGold:

    @steponaduck  Always enjoy following your picks! Question: do you check public money on sides? Not sure if what I'm seeing on Scoresandodds is correct, but this year I've avoided picks that have above 80% of the money on my side and my winning % has increased. It's certainly not a sure thing, but I'm curious if a legit capper takes it into account.

     

    with that said, you could do alot worse than finding the betting percentages and if they are over 75%, blindly bet the other way all season. when the books get into a pinch and are due for a blood bath, they rarely take it...

     
    ChalkisGold
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2023 - 3:58 PM ET #9

    Thanks duck!

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    Thanks duck!

     
    steponaduck
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2023 - 7:17 PM ET #10

    ***CMU +7.5 live bet. -120

    Until the wallet is full.
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    ***CMU +7.5 live bet. -120

     
    OSU4LYFE20
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    Posted: Nov. 8, 2023 - 8:31 AM ET #11

    Does anyone have any kind of update on SMU QB Stone being in concussion protocol?

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    Does anyone have any kind of update on SMU QB Stone being in concussion protocol?

     
    Fuse
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    Posted: Nov. 8, 2023 - 5:37 PM ET #12

    DUCK peaceclover

    Learn, be content and stay disciplined.
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    DUCK peaceclover

     
    steponaduck
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    Posted: Nov. 8, 2023 - 8:08 PM ET #13

    Week 11:

     

    Tue: CMU +7.5 live  LOSS

    Wed: Akron +18.5

            EMU +28.5 live 

    Thur: Virginia +20.5

    Fri: UNT/SMU o67

          UNLV -4

     

    Sat:

    FAU -7 -120

    GT +15

    Arkansas St +11.5

    Old Dominion +13.5

    Rutgers ML +108

    San Jose St ML +101

    West Virginia +12.5

    Tulsa +23.5

    New Mex St +4.5

    Until the wallet is full.
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    Week 11:

     

    Tue: CMU +7.5 live  LOSS

    Wed: Akron +18.5

            EMU +28.5 live 

    Thur: Virginia +20.5

    Fri: UNT/SMU o67

          UNLV -4

     

    Sat:

    FAU -7 -120

    GT +15

    Arkansas St +11.5

    Old Dominion +13.5

    Rutgers ML +108

    San Jose St ML +101

    West Virginia +12.5

    Tulsa +23.5

    New Mex St +4.5

     
    steponaduck
    steponaduck
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2017
    Posts: 5103
    Posted: Nov. 8, 2023 - 10:51 PM ET #14

    Oh Akron. Unbelievable 

    so many chances to cover that. Ugh. 

     

    Until the wallet is full.
    Reply
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    Oh Akron. Unbelievable 

    so many chances to cover that. Ugh. 

     

     
    steponaduck
    steponaduck
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2017
    Posts: 5103
    Posted: Nov. 9, 2023 - 10:03 AM ET #15

    Week 11:

     

     

    Tue: angryCMU +7.5 live  LOSS

    Wed: angryAkron +18.5

            moneybagEMU +28.5 live 

    Thur: Virginia +20.5

    Fri: UNT/SMU o67

          UNLV -4

     

    Sat:

    FAU -7 -120

    GT +15

    Arkansas St +11.5

    Old Dominion +13.5

    Rutgers ML +108

    San Jose St ML +101

    West Virginia +12.5

    Tulsa +23.5

    New Mex St +4.5

    Temple + South Florida over 67.5

    Georgia State ML -122

     

    Until the wallet is full.
    Reply
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    0
    Report User

    Week 11:

     

     

    Tue: angryCMU +7.5 live  LOSS

    Wed: angryAkron +18.5

            moneybagEMU +28.5 live 

    Thur: Virginia +20.5

    Fri: UNT/SMU o67

          UNLV -4

     

    Sat:

    FAU -7 -120

    GT +15

    Arkansas St +11.5

    Old Dominion +13.5

    Rutgers ML +108

    San Jose St ML +101

    West Virginia +12.5

    Tulsa +23.5

    New Mex St +4.5

    Temple + South Florida over 67.5

    Georgia State ML -122

     

     
    Badger66
    Badger66
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2006
    Posts: 6252
    Posted: Nov. 9, 2023 - 3:19 PM ET #16

    Good Luck with your plays Duckthumbs_up

    Reply
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    Good Luck with your plays Duckthumbs_up

     
    steponaduck
    steponaduck
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2017
    Posts: 5103
    Posted: Nov. 10, 2023 - 8:35 AM ET #17

    Tue: angryCMU +7.5 live  LOSS

    Wed: angryAkron +18.5

            moneybagEMU +28.5 live 

    Thur:moneybag Virginia +20.5

    Fri: UNT/SMU o67

          UNLV -4

     

    Sat:

    FAU -7 -120

    GT +15

    Arkansas St +11.5

    Old Dominion +13.5

    Rutgers ML +108

    San Jose St ML +101

    West Virginia +12.5

    Tulsa +23.5

    New Mex St +4.5

    Temple + South Florida over 67.5

    Georgia State ML -122

     

    alright guys. Let’s go. Big day of games tonight 

    Until the wallet is full.
    Reply
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    1
    Report User

    Tue: angryCMU +7.5 live  LOSS

    Wed: angryAkron +18.5

            moneybagEMU +28.5 live 

    Thur:moneybag Virginia +20.5

    Fri: UNT/SMU o67

          UNLV -4

     

    Sat:

    FAU -7 -120

    GT +15

    Arkansas St +11.5

    Old Dominion +13.5

    Rutgers ML +108

    San Jose St ML +101

    West Virginia +12.5

    Tulsa +23.5

    New Mex St +4.5

    Temple + South Florida over 67.5

    Georgia State ML -122

     

    alright guys. Let’s go. Big day of games tonight 

     
    steponaduck
    steponaduck
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2017
    Posts: 5103
    Posted: Nov. 10, 2023 - 8:15 PM ET #18

    Tue: angryCMU +7.5 live  LOSS

     

    Wed: angryAkron +18.5

            moneybagEMU +28.5 live 

    Thur:moneybag Virginia +20.5

    Fri: UNT/SMU o67

          UNLV -4

          UNLV -3 -103 

     

    Sat:

    FAU -7 -120

    GT +15

    Arkansas St +11.5

    Old Dominion +13.5

    Rutgers ML +108

    San Jose St ML +101

    West Virginia +12.5

    Tulsa +23.5

    New Mex St +4.5

    Temple + South Florida over 67.5

    Georgia State ML -122

     

    added to UNLV. Not buying the head fake.   2 unit play one at -3 one at -4 go Rebs 

    Until the wallet is full.
    Reply
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    0
    Report User

    Tue: angryCMU +7.5 live  LOSS

     

    Wed: angryAkron +18.5

            moneybagEMU +28.5 live 

    Thur:moneybag Virginia +20.5

    Fri: UNT/SMU o67

          UNLV -4

          UNLV -3 -103 

     

    Sat:

    FAU -7 -120

    GT +15

    Arkansas St +11.5

    Old Dominion +13.5

    Rutgers ML +108

    San Jose St ML +101

    West Virginia +12.5

    Tulsa +23.5

    New Mex St +4.5

    Temple + South Florida over 67.5

    Georgia State ML -122

     

    added to UNLV. Not buying the head fake.   2 unit play one at -3 one at -4 go Rebs 

     
    TRAIN69
    TRAIN69
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2002
    Posts: 55618
    Posted: Nov. 10, 2023 - 8:24 PM ET #19

    Good lookin card brother!an_cheers

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    Good lookin card brother!an_cheers

     
    steponaduck
    steponaduck
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2017
    Posts: 5103
    Posted: Nov. 10, 2023 - 11:17 PM ET #20

    Vegas. Let’s goooooo

    Until the wallet is full.
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    Vegas. Let’s goooooo

     
    totter
    totter
    Hall of Fame
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2005
    Posts: 24897
    Posted: Nov. 10, 2023 - 11:50 PM ET #21

    good luck duck peace_5

    Reply
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    good luck duck peace_5

     
     
    steponaduck
    steponaduck
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2017
    Posts: 5103
    Posted: Nov. 11, 2023 - 10:09 AM ET #22

    Tue: angryCMU +7.5 live  

    Wed: angryAkron +18.5

            moneybagEMU +28.5 live 

    Thur:moneybag Virginia +20.5

    Fri: angryUNT/SMU o67

          moneybagUNLV -4

          moneybagUNLV -3 -103 

     4-3 on the weekday plays with two losses by ONE POINT...and CMU live blew a 7 point lead in the 4th. capping has been decent. the results. meh...feel like i should be 6-1 this week...

     

     

    Saturday Updated Card:

    FAU -7 -120

    GT +15

    Arkansas St +11.5

    Old Dominion +13.5

    Rutgers ML +108

    San Jose St ML +101

    West Virginia +12.5

    Tulsa +23.5

    New Mex St +4.5

    Temple + South Florida over 67.5

    Georgia State ML -122

    Kansas + TTU over 61.5

    California ML -117

    Until the wallet is full.
    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User

    Tue: angryCMU +7.5 live  

    Wed: angryAkron +18.5

            moneybagEMU +28.5 live 

    Thur:moneybag Virginia +20.5

    Fri: angryUNT/SMU o67

          moneybagUNLV -4

          moneybagUNLV -3 -103 

     4-3 on the weekday plays with two losses by ONE POINT...and CMU live blew a 7 point lead in the 4th. capping has been decent. the results. meh...feel like i should be 6-1 this week...

     

     

    Saturday Updated Card:

    FAU -7 -120

    GT +15

    Arkansas St +11.5

    Old Dominion +13.5

    Rutgers ML +108

    San Jose St ML +101

    West Virginia +12.5

    Tulsa +23.5

    New Mex St +4.5

    Temple + South Florida over 67.5

    Georgia State ML -122

    Kansas + TTU over 61.5

    California ML -117

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