NCAA Foots Week 5

3* 1-3, -6.90

2* 6-2, +8.60

1* 6-4, +1.70

13-9, +3.40

Juiced out last week. First some notes for this week before I get to the games:

2* Eastern Michigan +6.5

1* Eastern Michigan ML +220

Winning on the road in the MAC is tough. Going into a stadium w/ a packed house on homecoming with a new QB and playing on the road is tough. EMU has the better offensive skill players at just about every position. Just b/c Northern hangs on the road w/ Big 10 cellar Minnesota means that they’re justifiable to being a favorite here? The game on the road at WMU they should have lost by more than what they did as well. The offense looks good at times, sputters at others. In a game lined at 57, gimme the team who’s won their last 3 homecoming games against better competition than what comes in on Saturday. And I’ll look for the outright as well.

2* Arkansas State/Memphis Over 56

Not sure why this game isn’t lined at 70. Arkansas State’s offense is just as good as Memphis. A lot of passes, a lot of stopped clockage, this one could be close to 56 by halftime, unless I’m missing something. I capped it at 68.

2* UL Lafayette +21

Back to the Illinois/ULL game. I had the opportunity to watch an entirely different ULL team from year’s past. This team’s offense is by far one of the most confusing offenses I have ever personally watched. Have you ever played NCAA Football on PS3 where you can choose an option pass? That’s the only way they throw the ball. You stack 8 in the box against the option and you’re burnt toast. They’re pretty balanced as far as rush and pass, and from watching Kansas State’s lackluster defense last week against Louisville, I’m not sure they’re smart enough to even defend this.  ULL’s defense is a bunch of beasts as well. Kansas State welcomes Texas Tech this next week. Can you say lookahead after the beating they took last week on national TV? I wouldn’t have even played this had I not seen how jacked ULL was to play at Illinois when they came out of the tunnel. They’re a smart club, the coaches know what they’re doing, and I’ll take my chances w/ three touchdowns.

1* New Mexico State +3.5

Gut tells me NMST outscores it’s counterpart, who’s starting a new QB this week. Home doggy

1* Northwestern +8.5

Sutton’s numbers are more impressive against Iowa than any other team he has faced. I’m playing an angle here of Iowa coming off a tough loss, finally naming a starting QB who hasn’t really been all that impressive, starting his first Big 10 game. Northwestern had this game in the bag last year until Iowa opened it up and threw about every pass. This year, I think Iowa starts out throwing first having watched last year’s film, and I’ll take my chances on a new QB in a new setting. Also noting, Iowa just finally named a starting K and a starting TE, who can’t block worth a piss-ant. They’re throwing the ball and hope the kicking game fails.

1* Virginia +7

Have beat Duke 7 straight times and are undervalued having played the #3 toughest schedule in the Nation. A touchdown is too much.

.5*Notre Dame ML –120

Purdue hasn’t won at Notre Dame since 1974. That’s worth half a unit.

Prepare for a massacre.

Good health, thanks for the insight.

Sutton will play. Not too worried, but i do like this over as well. I figured Illinois to be +9 to +11 range, but glad they're not. I feel like a sucker to be honest, but not too many people see it that way. I-L-L.

GL

2* Eastern Michigan +6.5

1* Eastern Michigan ML +220

Winning on the road in the MAC is tough. Going into a stadium w/ a packed house on homecoming with a new QB and playing on the road is tough.

the stadium looks empty.  lousy fans.

still on them all.  good luck!