Good start to the season. Excited for the start of the season and eventually conference play. I'll start the post with my 2 official plays so far and then a few leans.
Friday 8/30 - CSU @ Col - Agree with DoubleUp here aka track meet over 56.6 (-120) to win 1.5 units.
Saturday 8/31 - Georgia -20.5 @ vandy - UGA 35th on Phil steele exp chart vs #106 vandy. Yup. -115 for 1 unit.
Leans:
8/29:
Utah/BYU under 48 (already down to 47 this morning). With all the hype for Utah defense and Wittingham and being a early season rivalry, I kinda can see a defensive TOP battle.
UCLA/Cinc - Cinc -2.5. How could anyone back UCLA? Cinc may be best non power 5 team this year (sorry UCF).
Clemson -37. Only a lean and may play in game bc Clemson had a slow start tendency last year but I know Lawrence was learning. GT prob fade material most of the year for me with new system.
Texas St +33.5. AM lost some of their best players to NFL. Too big for me right now. TSU 2nd on Phil Steeles exp chart.
8/30:
Army -21.5. Obviously prefer 20.5 here, but I'm very high on Army this year. They maybe have a throwing QB in the works too .
Rutgers -15.5. This should be a blowout. Don't care how bad RU may be.
Nevada +10.5. I know i know, rondale moore. But Purdue only has 3 starters (i think) returning on Offense. Nevada coming off bowl win and 8 win season. If I'm Brohm I play that A** whooping of a bowl game on repeat all season. I'll take the home team in a two possession game getting that many.
8/31:
how do you not play Alabama 1q and 1h? I mean saban 10-1 (i think) ATS in opening games. I'll stick with the bama trend of covering these spreads early with an even bettern offense than last year off NCAA Champ loss.
NW / Stanford - Under 48 and NW catching 6.5-7. I just don't think Costello is that good or Shaw is a good coach. I'll take Fitzmagic as a dog any day of the week with the 5 star from Clemson xfer in a statement game. See a TOP low scoring game again.
Love mizzou -17. I think they should start the season 8-0. Return a bunch on both sides of ball, and possibly an upgrade in leadership at the QB position.
UVA -2.5. Pitt stinks.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Good start to the season. Excited for the start of the season and eventually conference play. I'll start the post with my 2 official plays so far and then a few leans.
Friday 8/30 - CSU @ Col - Agree with DoubleUp here aka track meet over 56.6 (-120) to win 1.5 units.
Saturday 8/31 - Georgia -20.5 @ vandy - UGA 35th on Phil steele exp chart vs #106 vandy. Yup. -115 for 1 unit.
Leans:
8/29:
Utah/BYU under 48 (already down to 47 this morning). With all the hype for Utah defense and Wittingham and being a early season rivalry, I kinda can see a defensive TOP battle.
UCLA/Cinc - Cinc -2.5. How could anyone back UCLA? Cinc may be best non power 5 team this year (sorry UCF).
Clemson -37. Only a lean and may play in game bc Clemson had a slow start tendency last year but I know Lawrence was learning. GT prob fade material most of the year for me with new system.
Texas St +33.5. AM lost some of their best players to NFL. Too big for me right now. TSU 2nd on Phil Steeles exp chart.
8/30:
Army -21.5. Obviously prefer 20.5 here, but I'm very high on Army this year. They maybe have a throwing QB in the works too .
Rutgers -15.5. This should be a blowout. Don't care how bad RU may be.
Nevada +10.5. I know i know, rondale moore. But Purdue only has 3 starters (i think) returning on Offense. Nevada coming off bowl win and 8 win season. If I'm Brohm I play that A** whooping of a bowl game on repeat all season. I'll take the home team in a two possession game getting that many.
8/31:
how do you not play Alabama 1q and 1h? I mean saban 10-1 (i think) ATS in opening games. I'll stick with the bama trend of covering these spreads early with an even bettern offense than last year off NCAA Champ loss.
NW / Stanford - Under 48 and NW catching 6.5-7. I just don't think Costello is that good or Shaw is a good coach. I'll take Fitzmagic as a dog any day of the week with the 5 star from Clemson xfer in a statement game. See a TOP low scoring game again.
Love mizzou -17. I think they should start the season 8-0. Return a bunch on both sides of ball, and possibly an upgrade in leadership at the QB position.
Thanks to DoubleUp for the sound expert Buffalo advice. Guy hits Buffalo games at like a 90% Clip !!! I Was certainly worried after that first quarter and then RMU took like 16-17 plays for a FG and chewed up 10-11 minutes of game clock to start the 2nd quarter.
Add for tonight:
Army -12.5 1H -115 1 unit
Wake Forest -3.5 -140 1 unit
*Also side note, not asking for any pity or anything but I live in the West Palm Beach area and looks like Dorian is going to make a direct hit and getting stronger and stronger. They're now calling for a Cat 4 140 mph. Oh boy .
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Buffalo / RMU Under 65.5
Thanks to DoubleUp for the sound expert Buffalo advice. Guy hits Buffalo games at like a 90% Clip !!! I Was certainly worried after that first quarter and then RMU took like 16-17 plays for a FG and chewed up 10-11 minutes of game clock to start the 2nd quarter.
Add for tonight:
Army -12.5 1H -115 1 unit
Wake Forest -3.5 -140 1 unit
*Also side note, not asking for any pity or anything but I live in the West Palm Beach area and looks like Dorian is going to make a direct hit and getting stronger and stronger. They're now calling for a Cat 4 140 mph. Oh boy .
Ugh rough night with Army -2U and the hook in Wake. But thankfully colorado total soared over and easy cover for Rutgers after down 14-0 and 21-7. Not sure if Rutgers looked decent or UMass is really that bad. Anyway onto a day I've been waiting for for a while. Here is an updated plays and leans:
Buffalo/RMU Under 65.5 -175 1 unit
Army -12.5 1H -115 1 unit
Army -23 -130 1 Unit
Wake Forest -3.5 -140 1 unit
Rutgers -15.5 -110 1 unit
CSU/Col Over 56.5 -120 1.5 unit
8/31 Plays:
Nebraska -35.5 -110 1 unit
Coastal Carolina +6.5 -110 1 unit
East Carolina +17.5 -110 1 unit
Toledo/Kentucky Under 62 -110 1 unit
Memphis -4 -110 1 unit
NW +6.5 -110 1 unit
Georgia -20.5 -115 1 unit
Virginia -2.5 -115 1 unit
Michigan -33.5 -120 1 unit
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Ugh rough night with Army -2U and the hook in Wake. But thankfully colorado total soared over and easy cover for Rutgers after down 14-0 and 21-7. Not sure if Rutgers looked decent or UMass is really that bad. Anyway onto a day I've been waiting for for a while. Here is an updated plays and leans:
In summary, shouldn't have tossed that much on Army and Alabama. Michigan and Nebraska looked like crap. Bad Push on Kentucky/Toledo and awful beat on NW, but lucky w/ Memphis safety.
We live and learn.
May have play on ND and Under tonight.
Week: 7-10-1 for -4.36 units
YTD: 10-10-1 for -1.36 units
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Buffalo/RMU Under 65.5 -175 1 unit
Army -12.5 1H -115 1 unit
Army -23 -130 1 Unit
Wake Forest -3.5 -140 1 unit
Rutgers -15.5 -110 1 unit
CSU/Col Over 56.5 -120 1.5 unit
Nebraska -35.5 -110 1 unit
Coastal Carolina +6.5 -110 1 unit
East Carolina +17.5 -110 1 unit
Toledo/Kentucky Under 62 -110 1 unit
Memphis -4 -110 1 unit
NW +6.5 -110 1 unit
Georgia -20.5 -115 1 unit
Virginia -2.5 -115 1 unit
Michigan -33.5 -120 1 unit
Alabama TT Over 45 -120 1 unit
Alabama Over 55.5 -120 1 unit
Houston +23 -120 1 unit
In summary, shouldn't have tossed that much on Army and Alabama. Michigan and Nebraska looked like crap. Bad Push on Kentucky/Toledo and awful beat on NW, but lucky w/ Memphis safety.
FYI - still waiting on Dorian's path. Bahamas may not be in existence anymore. Praying this thing stays off the coast of our beloved Palm Beaches. It is moving so slowly and pretty unusual. If it shifts to make landfall it could be devastating.
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FYI - still waiting on Dorian's path. Bahamas may not be in existence anymore. Praying this thing stays off the coast of our beloved Palm Beaches. It is moving so slowly and pretty unusual. If it shifts to make landfall it could be devastating.
Stay safe down there. I am going to start driving that way at about 0300 Tuesday morning to get to Atlanta, but taking I85 should keep me off the coast enough that I should be fine. People down thwre need to hunker down or get outta dodge as this could be a monster, and a slow moving one at that.
May be on ND tonite as well, but perhaps just a 1st quarter or half bet to cap off a very fortunate week. Always worry about the backdoor in early season games when they want to get starters out to prevent injury. I can see the logic in betting Under on early season games but I just personally hate betting Under :)
Hail
Manowarfan1
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Stay safe down there. I am going to start driving that way at about 0300 Tuesday morning to get to Atlanta, but taking I85 should keep me off the coast enough that I should be fine. People down thwre need to hunker down or get outta dodge as this could be a monster, and a slow moving one at that.
May be on ND tonite as well, but perhaps just a 1st quarter or half bet to cap off a very fortunate week. Always worry about the backdoor in early season games when they want to get starters out to prevent injury. I can see the logic in betting Under on early season games but I just personally hate betting Under :)
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