We think this game has Georgia tech hitting around 27-30, which implies Louisville to score 31-36 to stay within the range of the point spread. If Louisville was -10 tonight, we wouldn't love the over as much.
This line looks high at first look. G tech scored 16, 21 and 20 this year and the line is -4 to -6, this implies that G tech will probably get to 30 to help hit this over, why would Vegas put such a high total? Louisville scored 20 last game, so basically 20 and 20 from G tech vs Cuse, which totals 40, yet this line is 24 points higher.
Cunningham is playing a defense that is not as good as Miami or Pitt. He should finally have a field day and show on National TV what his hype is all about. Last time he was on National TV, they scored 34 on Miami’s defense, and Miami only allowed 10 to FSU and 14 to UAB. We know Lousiville can score, they were in a tough spot last week playing back to back top defenses, but today, he should have some fun against a defense that is allowing 441.3 yards per game.
Both teams are prone to turning it over, which should help put themselves in good field position. Louisville turned it over 3 times last week, and G Tech has turned it over 12 times this year, 5 each in back to back weeks.
Recency Bias tells you that G tech definitely can't score, and Louisville only scored 20 to Pitt, but tonight, we believe both Cunningham and Sims will give us some points on the board and entertain us. G Tech has put up over 400Y on offense in all 3 games, they just need to start converting some of those drives into points. Lets go! Good Luck!
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Gtech/Louisville Over 63.5 -110 <1 unit>
We think this game has Georgia tech hitting around 27-30, which implies Louisville to score 31-36 to stay within the range of the point spread. If Louisville was -10 tonight, we wouldn't love the over as much.
This line looks high at first look. G tech scored 16, 21 and 20 this year and the line is -4 to -6, this implies that G tech will probably get to 30 to help hit this over, why would Vegas put such a high total? Louisville scored 20 last game, so basically 20 and 20 from G tech vs Cuse, which totals 40, yet this line is 24 points higher.
Cunningham is playing a defense that is not as good as Miami or Pitt. He should finally have a field day and show on National TV what his hype is all about. Last time he was on National TV, they scored 34 on Miami’s defense, and Miami only allowed 10 to FSU and 14 to UAB. We know Lousiville can score, they were in a tough spot last week playing back to back top defenses, but today, he should have some fun against a defense that is allowing 441.3 yards per game.
Both teams are prone to turning it over, which should help put themselves in good field position. Louisville turned it over 3 times last week, and G Tech has turned it over 12 times this year, 5 each in back to back weeks.
Recency Bias tells you that G tech definitely can't score, and Louisville only scored 20 to Pitt, but tonight, we believe both Cunningham and Sims will give us some points on the board and entertain us. G Tech has put up over 400Y on offense in all 3 games, they just need to start converting some of those drives into points. Lets go! Good Luck!
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