One can only imagine what’s going on in Nick Saban’s mind as his former team, Alabama, takes on another of his former teams, LSU, and the Nicktator will not be standing on either sidelines. After winning six national championships with the Tide and one with the Bayou Bengals, we’re sure he’s got some stories to tell. Maybe he can explain why Bama is a road favorite today in Death Valley South when the Tide is saddled with so many bad numbers entering the game. Alabama is just 1-4 ATS off ahome shutout win and 2-4 ATS versus single conference revenge, while new coach Kalen DeBoer stands 2-5 ATS versus .500 or greater opponents coming off a loss, including 0-4 ATS verus foes who allow 23.2 or fewer points per game. On the opposite end of the spectrum, Brian Kelly’s Tigers are 6-1 ATS off a SU loss of 14 or more points, 11-2 ATS with single conference revenge, and 6-2 ATS versus a rested foe. LSU is also 25-6 SU and 18-7 ATS during the regular season when coming off one loss-exact, including 15-3 SUATS versus foes who allow more than 18.5 points per game. We sweeten the deal on this “BOD” (dog with the better offense and the better defense) with the TRIVIA TEASER on page 2. And the whipped cream comes courtesy of THE CLINCHER: LSU is 16-2-1 ATS as a dog off a SUATS loss versus a foe off a win as a favorite who allows more than 12 points per game, including 10-0 ATS the last ten games. BY PLAYBOOK
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One can only imagine what’s going on in Nick Saban’s mind as his former team, Alabama, takes on another of his former teams, LSU, and the Nicktator will not be standing on either sidelines. After winning six national championships with the Tide and one with the Bayou Bengals, we’re sure he’s got some stories to tell. Maybe he can explain why Bama is a road favorite today in Death Valley South when the Tide is saddled with so many bad numbers entering the game. Alabama is just 1-4 ATS off ahome shutout win and 2-4 ATS versus single conference revenge, while new coach Kalen DeBoer stands 2-5 ATS versus .500 or greater opponents coming off a loss, including 0-4 ATS verus foes who allow 23.2 or fewer points per game. On the opposite end of the spectrum, Brian Kelly’s Tigers are 6-1 ATS off a SU loss of 14 or more points, 11-2 ATS with single conference revenge, and 6-2 ATS versus a rested foe. LSU is also 25-6 SU and 18-7 ATS during the regular season when coming off one loss-exact, including 15-3 SUATS versus foes who allow more than 18.5 points per game. We sweeten the deal on this “BOD” (dog with the better offense and the better defense) with the TRIVIA TEASER on page 2. And the whipped cream comes courtesy of THE CLINCHER: LSU is 16-2-1 ATS as a dog off a SUATS loss versus a foe off a win as a favorite who allows more than 12 points per game, including 10-0 ATS the last ten games. BY PLAYBOOK
At 8-0 this season and now leading the Big 12 (a game ahead of Iowa State and Colorado), we sense that the “noose is getting tighter” on the Mormons. Yes, being in the driver’s seat in the conference is a good place to be, but we see that as added pressure. According to Austin Mock of The Athletic, BYU is the only Big 12 team with a larger than 50% chance of making the CFP. Coming off a bye week, the Cougars should be favored in all four of their remaining games, but the “Holy War” with Utah this week is the critical start of the home stretch. And while the Utes are on a rare 4-game losing streak and are clearly nowhere near the national contender we expected them to be entering the season, many good numbers are supporting them this week. Utah is 9-1 ATS as a dog in this series, 4-0 ATS in Game Nine, and 4-2 versus the number with rest. But here is the THE CLINCHER: The Utes are 20-2-1 ATS as a dog when coming off a SUATS loss, including 5-0 ATS versus undefeated foes.
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At 8-0 this season and now leading the Big 12 (a game ahead of Iowa State and Colorado), we sense that the “noose is getting tighter” on the Mormons. Yes, being in the driver’s seat in the conference is a good place to be, but we see that as added pressure. According to Austin Mock of The Athletic, BYU is the only Big 12 team with a larger than 50% chance of making the CFP. Coming off a bye week, the Cougars should be favored in all four of their remaining games, but the “Holy War” with Utah this week is the critical start of the home stretch. And while the Utes are on a rare 4-game losing streak and are clearly nowhere near the national contender we expected them to be entering the season, many good numbers are supporting them this week. Utah is 9-1 ATS as a dog in this series, 4-0 ATS in Game Nine, and 4-2 versus the number with rest. But here is the THE CLINCHER: The Utes are 20-2-1 ATS as a dog when coming off a SUATS loss, including 5-0 ATS versus undefeated foes.
It was a bloodbath Saturday for two of the top contenders in the Big 12. Not long after Iowa State fell to Texas Tech, with the Red Raiders scoring the winning touchdown with 19 seconds remaining, No. 15 Kansas State suffered an absolutely inexplicable 24-19 loss against a young Houston team still in the early stages of a rebuild behind fi rst-year coach Willie Fritz. A 1-3 spread mark after playing Texas Tech complicates matters even further for the Cyclones here. On the fl ip side, the Jayhawks are 14-8 SUATS at home in this series, including 3-0 ATS with rest over the last 3 years. KU head coach Lance Liepold is also 32-13-1 ATS at home, including 15-2-1 ATS versus .700 or greater opponents, and Kansas is 5-1 versus the number as home dogs of less than 8 points. Iowa State is 0-4 ATS as conference favorites against a foe that won 8 or greater games last season that allows fewer than 25 PPG. The Clones are still suffering from having such a heart-breaking ‘bubble burst” defeat, and we see Kansas capitalizing on that today. So does THE CLINCHER: See Marc’s AWESOME ANGLE OF THE WEEK on page 2. BY PLAYBOOK
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It was a bloodbath Saturday for two of the top contenders in the Big 12. Not long after Iowa State fell to Texas Tech, with the Red Raiders scoring the winning touchdown with 19 seconds remaining, No. 15 Kansas State suffered an absolutely inexplicable 24-19 loss against a young Houston team still in the early stages of a rebuild behind fi rst-year coach Willie Fritz. A 1-3 spread mark after playing Texas Tech complicates matters even further for the Cyclones here. On the fl ip side, the Jayhawks are 14-8 SUATS at home in this series, including 3-0 ATS with rest over the last 3 years. KU head coach Lance Liepold is also 32-13-1 ATS at home, including 15-2-1 ATS versus .700 or greater opponents, and Kansas is 5-1 versus the number as home dogs of less than 8 points. Iowa State is 0-4 ATS as conference favorites against a foe that won 8 or greater games last season that allows fewer than 25 PPG. The Clones are still suffering from having such a heart-breaking ‘bubble burst” defeat, and we see Kansas capitalizing on that today. So does THE CLINCHER: See Marc’s AWESOME ANGLE OF THE WEEK on page 2. BY PLAYBOOK
Michigan dropped to 38-17, losing to Oregon 38-17 last week. Davis Warren is expected to start again at quarterback as the Wolverines travel to Indiana to face the Hoosiers.
Indiana improved to 9-0 beating Michigan 47-10 on November 2. Kurtis Rourke threw for 263 yards and four touchdowns. The Hoosiers look to improve to 10-0 on the year.
Take Indiana. I want no part of Michigan for the rest of this season, especially against the Hoosiers who are destroying everyone. The Wolverines don’t have the offense to compete with the Hoosiers. Indiana looks extremely focused, I think they win this game by 20+ points.
Michigan vs. Indiana Prediction: Indiana -14
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Michigan dropped to 38-17, losing to Oregon 38-17 last week. Davis Warren is expected to start again at quarterback as the Wolverines travel to Indiana to face the Hoosiers.
Indiana improved to 9-0 beating Michigan 47-10 on November 2. Kurtis Rourke threw for 263 yards and four touchdowns. The Hoosiers look to improve to 10-0 on the year.
Take Indiana. I want no part of Michigan for the rest of this season, especially against the Hoosiers who are destroying everyone. The Wolverines don’t have the offense to compete with the Hoosiers. Indiana looks extremely focused, I think they win this game by 20+ points.
Iowa State dropped their first of the season against Texas Tech on November 2. Rocco Becht continued his nice season despite the loss, throwing for 299 yards and 2 TD’s and an INT. The Cyclones look for their 8 victory of the season.
Kansas dropped to 2-6 losing to Kansas State by 2 points on October 26. Jalon Daniels threw for 209 yards and recorded two touchdowns and 1 INT. The Jayhawks look to get back in the win column on Saturday.
Take Kansas. Despite a poor season I still like this Jayhawks team. They have great tandem of Jalon Daniels and Devin Neal. This team is much better than their 2-6 record reflects. I think they are live to win this game outright, but we’ll take the three points.
Iowa State vs. Kansas Prediction: Kansas +3
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Iowa State dropped their first of the season against Texas Tech on November 2. Rocco Becht continued his nice season despite the loss, throwing for 299 yards and 2 TD’s and an INT. The Cyclones look for their 8 victory of the season.
Kansas dropped to 2-6 losing to Kansas State by 2 points on October 26. Jalon Daniels threw for 209 yards and recorded two touchdowns and 1 INT. The Jayhawks look to get back in the win column on Saturday.
Take Kansas. Despite a poor season I still like this Jayhawks team. They have great tandem of Jalon Daniels and Devin Neal. This team is much better than their 2-6 record reflects. I think they are live to win this game outright, but we’ll take the three points.
“We’re gonna fi nd out what it is all about,” sang J.J. Cale in his song “After Midnight,” and that’s what we’ll uncover today in unbeaten Indiana’s fi rst real game with a big bullseye on their uniforms. No less than the defending national champion Wolverines take the fi eld in Bloomington with only one thing in mind: destroying No. 8 IU’s bid for a perfect season. However, these ain’t your daddy’s Hoosiers under new head coach Curt Cignetti. Indiana was in a MAJOR letdown spot last week at Michigan State, but after trailing 10-0 after the fi rst quarter – the only time they’ve trailed the entire season – the Hoosiers stepped up and put the pedal to the metal rather than raise the white fl ag. Their body of work is spectacular, winning the stats by an average of 217 net yards per game, with only Ole Miss and Miami Fla owning larger margins. Despite losing all sense of national importance with an up-and-down 5-4 effort in 2024, the Wolverines can’t help but be insulted by today’s 14-point spread, especially since they own a 6-1 ATS record as a dog of nine or more points with a winning record and coming off a loss. Then there is Indiana’s appearance in this week’s INCREDIBLE STAT on page 3, which makes the Wolves the epitome of a DIA DIA dog (Dominating Dog in Action, Doing It Again). And speaking of which, it’s incredible that Indiana was picked 17th out of 18 teams in the Big Ten’s preseason media poll. If Indiana gets by Michigan to start 10-0 for the fi rst time in school history, they’ll face an even bigger obstacle in their next game versus mighty Ohio State. The Hoosiers are certainly enjoying a dream season, but they’re challenging Big Ten royalty today and might fi nd the going much tougher than anticipated. A solid take. BY PLAYBOOK
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“We’re gonna fi nd out what it is all about,” sang J.J. Cale in his song “After Midnight,” and that’s what we’ll uncover today in unbeaten Indiana’s fi rst real game with a big bullseye on their uniforms. No less than the defending national champion Wolverines take the fi eld in Bloomington with only one thing in mind: destroying No. 8 IU’s bid for a perfect season. However, these ain’t your daddy’s Hoosiers under new head coach Curt Cignetti. Indiana was in a MAJOR letdown spot last week at Michigan State, but after trailing 10-0 after the fi rst quarter – the only time they’ve trailed the entire season – the Hoosiers stepped up and put the pedal to the metal rather than raise the white fl ag. Their body of work is spectacular, winning the stats by an average of 217 net yards per game, with only Ole Miss and Miami Fla owning larger margins. Despite losing all sense of national importance with an up-and-down 5-4 effort in 2024, the Wolverines can’t help but be insulted by today’s 14-point spread, especially since they own a 6-1 ATS record as a dog of nine or more points with a winning record and coming off a loss. Then there is Indiana’s appearance in this week’s INCREDIBLE STAT on page 3, which makes the Wolves the epitome of a DIA DIA dog (Dominating Dog in Action, Doing It Again). And speaking of which, it’s incredible that Indiana was picked 17th out of 18 teams in the Big Ten’s preseason media poll. If Indiana gets by Michigan to start 10-0 for the fi rst time in school history, they’ll face an even bigger obstacle in their next game versus mighty Ohio State. The Hoosiers are certainly enjoying a dream season, but they’re challenging Big Ten royalty today and might fi nd the going much tougher than anticipated. A solid take. BY PLAYBOOK
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