Keeping this one short and sweet. Earlier in the week, we were eyeing this over at 70.5. Now it has moved 1-1.5 points, but who is honestly betting this over? We noticed that the OVER had 92% of the tickets on Tuesday, and as we type this, it is now sitting at 54%. So, people flew into Vegas, saw this OVER and is thinking the same thing. Why so high? Take the UNDER! Bo Nix looks HORRIBLE! WHAT COME ON GUYS!
Is this his bounce back spot? Sometimes does not feel right with this OVER. It implies both teams to play no defense at all and go to war. Good for Bo Nix, Ole Miss has no defense. Ole miss gave up 51 to Florida, 41 to Kentucky, 63 to Bama and 33 to Arkansas. This defense is SOFT and the over under is MASSIVE which implies Auburn to bounce back and exceed their expectations this week. They scored 22 last week, Ole Miss scored 21 last week...this over under is 71.5 you kidding? Both teams off a loss, sitting 2-2 and 1-3, no ranking involved, this will be a crap shoot. Take the Over. Lets go! Good Luck.
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Auburn/Ole Miss Over 71.5 -110 <1 unit>
Keeping this one short and sweet. Earlier in the week, we were eyeing this over at 70.5. Now it has moved 1-1.5 points, but who is honestly betting this over? We noticed that the OVER had 92% of the tickets on Tuesday, and as we type this, it is now sitting at 54%. So, people flew into Vegas, saw this OVER and is thinking the same thing. Why so high? Take the UNDER! Bo Nix looks HORRIBLE! WHAT COME ON GUYS!
Is this his bounce back spot? Sometimes does not feel right with this OVER. It implies both teams to play no defense at all and go to war. Good for Bo Nix, Ole Miss has no defense. Ole miss gave up 51 to Florida, 41 to Kentucky, 63 to Bama and 33 to Arkansas. This defense is SOFT and the over under is MASSIVE which implies Auburn to bounce back and exceed their expectations this week. They scored 22 last week, Ole Miss scored 21 last week...this over under is 71.5 you kidding? Both teams off a loss, sitting 2-2 and 1-3, no ranking involved, this will be a crap shoot. Take the Over. Lets go! Good Luck.
Earlier this week, they were +6.5 and sharp money brought this down. We were hoping public money would go on Coastal Carolina, but there wont be enough pub money on this game to bring it up, that’s why we are posting it now. When we first saw this line, we thought it was too many points. If Coastal Carolina did not upset Lafayette, they would not be ranked, would both be sitting 3-1. This line would probably be closer to 3.
When has Coastal Carolina ever been ranked? They win a big national TV game, now ranked 25, on a high, living life, and now you are favored for the first time ever. It will be interesting how they respond here vs a team who is ranked 7 in the nation in rushing and is also 23 in total defense. Coastal Carolina also has a solid defense, ranking 30 in total defense. However, Coastal gives up 164 rush yards per game, so G Southern will get their looks here. On the other hand, G Southern has done a good job limiting opponents to 120 yards rushing per game.
G Southern would love to upset Coastal here. When they played Lafayette, they were up 18-17 with 54 seconds left. Lafayette made two long passes and kicked a 53 yarder to win 20-18 in a nail biter. Coastal Carolina did the same exact thing to Lafayette, tied game, converted some 3 downs, and kicked a field goal with 8 seconds left to win 30-27. These teams all tend to play very close, and we see that type of game here where two teams will go back and forth, and the points will matter. Take G Southern, good luck!
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Georgia Southern +5 -110 <1 unit>
Earlier this week, they were +6.5 and sharp money brought this down. We were hoping public money would go on Coastal Carolina, but there wont be enough pub money on this game to bring it up, that’s why we are posting it now. When we first saw this line, we thought it was too many points. If Coastal Carolina did not upset Lafayette, they would not be ranked, would both be sitting 3-1. This line would probably be closer to 3.
When has Coastal Carolina ever been ranked? They win a big national TV game, now ranked 25, on a high, living life, and now you are favored for the first time ever. It will be interesting how they respond here vs a team who is ranked 7 in the nation in rushing and is also 23 in total defense. Coastal Carolina also has a solid defense, ranking 30 in total defense. However, Coastal gives up 164 rush yards per game, so G Southern will get their looks here. On the other hand, G Southern has done a good job limiting opponents to 120 yards rushing per game.
G Southern would love to upset Coastal here. When they played Lafayette, they were up 18-17 with 54 seconds left. Lafayette made two long passes and kicked a 53 yarder to win 20-18 in a nail biter. Coastal Carolina did the same exact thing to Lafayette, tied game, converted some 3 downs, and kicked a field goal with 8 seconds left to win 30-27. These teams all tend to play very close, and we see that type of game here where two teams will go back and forth, and the points will matter. Take G Southern, good luck!
This line was 3.5 and now the hook is gone with majority of betting tickets on WVU. For starters, this matchup smells. Traditionally we have come to find that giving points on the road for West Virginia is a bad idea. They play a lot better at home. What’s interesting is that West Virginia just dominated their opponent 38-17, winning 3 in a row; with all 3 of their wins coming while playing at home. West Virginia lost their sole road game to a very good Oklahoma St. defense. Now let’s look at Texas Tech.
Tech has now lost 3 straight games, and are coming into this game after getting dominated on both sides of the ball by Iowa St losing 31-15. For starters, look who they have played. Ranked Texas, ranked Kansas st and ranked Iowa st in back to back to back games and losing their starting QB during that process. They have still fought hard in those games, and now after being on the road for the last two games, they are back at home with 14 days to prepare for this game. The line is low because Vegas knows Tech will come out and play hard today.
WVU played a bunch of lay ups, E Kentucky, Kansas, and who knows what Baylor is. They got dominated by Okie st. The fact that West Virginia isn't good on the road, and the line appears waaaayyyyy too low considering all the trends and the 3-1 vs 1-3 record, the home team looks good here. Take Texas Tech, Good luck!
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Texas Tech +3 -110 <1 unit>
This line was 3.5 and now the hook is gone with majority of betting tickets on WVU. For starters, this matchup smells. Traditionally we have come to find that giving points on the road for West Virginia is a bad idea. They play a lot better at home. What’s interesting is that West Virginia just dominated their opponent 38-17, winning 3 in a row; with all 3 of their wins coming while playing at home. West Virginia lost their sole road game to a very good Oklahoma St. defense. Now let’s look at Texas Tech.
Tech has now lost 3 straight games, and are coming into this game after getting dominated on both sides of the ball by Iowa St losing 31-15. For starters, look who they have played. Ranked Texas, ranked Kansas st and ranked Iowa st in back to back to back games and losing their starting QB during that process. They have still fought hard in those games, and now after being on the road for the last two games, they are back at home with 14 days to prepare for this game. The line is low because Vegas knows Tech will come out and play hard today.
WVU played a bunch of lay ups, E Kentucky, Kansas, and who knows what Baylor is. They got dominated by Okie st. The fact that West Virginia isn't good on the road, and the line appears waaaayyyyy too low considering all the trends and the 3-1 vs 1-3 record, the home team looks good here. Take Texas Tech, Good luck!
We believe Houston has a good defense, we watched that entire BYU game, they held an explosive BYU team to 21 points through 3 quarters, they got smashed in the 4th Q due to a ton of mistakes,. Navy only put up 27 on ECU and ECU gave up 51 and 49 to UCF and G State. Navy will not be able to go toe to toe with Houston here, especially since Houston is pissed off, they are -15 for a reason on the ROAD today. With such a big spread, it implies their defense stops Navy and Navy will struggle today with a 56 over under.
NAVY is more one dimensional and vs better competition, they scored 3 to BYU, 7 to Air Force and they were held to 0 points vs Tulane in the 1h until Tulane came out snoozing in the 2h to let up 27 unanswered points to lose that game. Houston played the same team Tulane, and they gave up 31. Why would you take this under? Well do you guys remember that was the first game of Houston’s delayed covid season? Do you remember that Tulane had a pick 6 to start the game and they recovered a fumble and scored another 6? Tulane went up 14-7 without having an offensive touchdown.
Tulane scored a true 17 points against Houston’s defense. We were also impressed with their defense vs BYU, that final score does not justify what they did to BYU in the first 3 quarters. We will take the under in this one, good luck!
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Houston/Navy Under 56 -110 <1 unit>
We believe Houston has a good defense, we watched that entire BYU game, they held an explosive BYU team to 21 points through 3 quarters, they got smashed in the 4th Q due to a ton of mistakes,. Navy only put up 27 on ECU and ECU gave up 51 and 49 to UCF and G State. Navy will not be able to go toe to toe with Houston here, especially since Houston is pissed off, they are -15 for a reason on the ROAD today. With such a big spread, it implies their defense stops Navy and Navy will struggle today with a 56 over under.
NAVY is more one dimensional and vs better competition, they scored 3 to BYU, 7 to Air Force and they were held to 0 points vs Tulane in the 1h until Tulane came out snoozing in the 2h to let up 27 unanswered points to lose that game. Houston played the same team Tulane, and they gave up 31. Why would you take this under? Well do you guys remember that was the first game of Houston’s delayed covid season? Do you remember that Tulane had a pick 6 to start the game and they recovered a fumble and scored another 6? Tulane went up 14-7 without having an offensive touchdown.
Tulane scored a true 17 points against Houston’s defense. We were also impressed with their defense vs BYU, that final score does not justify what they did to BYU in the first 3 quarters. We will take the under in this one, good luck!
This might be a tough bet today, but the backdoor should be open. Alabama off a MASSIVE game at home winning by 17 to Georgia. Now, they go on the road to Tennessee and this team just lost 34-7 to Kentucky. They dropped out of their ranking and now get a HUGE game at home. Why take Tennessee?
This game is all about covering the spread. In games that Alabama were double digit favorites this year, -29 vs Missouri and did not cover, -23.5 vs Ole Miss and did not cover. At home? They handled business. Now coming off their biggest game of their schedule, they seriously have nothing to look forward to besides just winning the rest of their games this year. Tennessee on the other hand has everything to play for in this spot.
When Tenn played Georgia, it was 30-21 going into the 4 Q. Tenn made a mistake, fumbled the ball, and Georgia ran it in. They also had a TD on their own and lost 44-21. They could have covered but those turnovers hurt. They were also only +12 on the ROAD in that game, and now getting +22 at home? They also made crazy mistakes last week vs Kentucky leading to 2 pick 6s so that final score is misleading.
This is a situational play, this will be Tennessee’s biggest game at home this year and Alabama is rolling in with the highest confidence knowing they are double digit favorites. We think the dog will do whatever they can to keep this close. Good Luck!
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Tennessee +22 (-110) <1 unit>
This might be a tough bet today, but the backdoor should be open. Alabama off a MASSIVE game at home winning by 17 to Georgia. Now, they go on the road to Tennessee and this team just lost 34-7 to Kentucky. They dropped out of their ranking and now get a HUGE game at home. Why take Tennessee?
This game is all about covering the spread. In games that Alabama were double digit favorites this year, -29 vs Missouri and did not cover, -23.5 vs Ole Miss and did not cover. At home? They handled business. Now coming off their biggest game of their schedule, they seriously have nothing to look forward to besides just winning the rest of their games this year. Tennessee on the other hand has everything to play for in this spot.
When Tenn played Georgia, it was 30-21 going into the 4 Q. Tenn made a mistake, fumbled the ball, and Georgia ran it in. They also had a TD on their own and lost 44-21. They could have covered but those turnovers hurt. They were also only +12 on the ROAD in that game, and now getting +22 at home? They also made crazy mistakes last week vs Kentucky leading to 2 pick 6s so that final score is misleading.
This is a situational play, this will be Tennessee’s biggest game at home this year and Alabama is rolling in with the highest confidence knowing they are double digit favorites. We think the dog will do whatever they can to keep this close. Good Luck!
Missouri is coming in off a huge upset victory over defending national champions LSU. They now have a home game against a Kentucky team that likes to run the ball and play hard hitting defense. In Missouri’s last game, the over under was 54 and it went WAY OVER. Now this line is a touchdown less, it stood out to us.
Kentucky scored a lot last week via their defense. The fact that this is the lowest total of the weekend is very telling to us. Missouri hasn't been able to stop anybody; they have now given up at least 35 points in all three of their games this season, yet the TOTAL is 47. Makes you think.
Missouri had covid issues that forced them to postpone their game vs Vandy as well. Starting a Freshman QB against this Kentucky defense is going to be rough for Missouri. Don’t let the big LSU win scoring 45 points skew you, LSU gave up 44 to Miss st as well. They do not have a defense this year.
Tennessee beat Missouri by 23 and held them to 12 points. Kentucky just beat the crap out of the Vols and kept them to 7. They also kept Miss st to 2 points. This total implies a super low scoring game. 27-20 seems too high to us considering the Freshman Missouri QB is starting against a solid defense. Over the last two seasons Kentucky inched out a 15-14 win on the road vs Missouri in 2018 and laid the wood on them last season in 2019 at home beating Missouri 29-7. The total in 2019 was 43.5. Take the Under, Lets go!
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Kentucky/Missouri Under 47 -110 <1 unit>
Missouri is coming in off a huge upset victory over defending national champions LSU. They now have a home game against a Kentucky team that likes to run the ball and play hard hitting defense. In Missouri’s last game, the over under was 54 and it went WAY OVER. Now this line is a touchdown less, it stood out to us.
Kentucky scored a lot last week via their defense. The fact that this is the lowest total of the weekend is very telling to us. Missouri hasn't been able to stop anybody; they have now given up at least 35 points in all three of their games this season, yet the TOTAL is 47. Makes you think.
Missouri had covid issues that forced them to postpone their game vs Vandy as well. Starting a Freshman QB against this Kentucky defense is going to be rough for Missouri. Don’t let the big LSU win scoring 45 points skew you, LSU gave up 44 to Miss st as well. They do not have a defense this year.
Tennessee beat Missouri by 23 and held them to 12 points. Kentucky just beat the crap out of the Vols and kept them to 7. They also kept Miss st to 2 points. This total implies a super low scoring game. 27-20 seems too high to us considering the Freshman Missouri QB is starting against a solid defense. Over the last two seasons Kentucky inched out a 15-14 win on the road vs Missouri in 2018 and laid the wood on them last season in 2019 at home beating Missouri 29-7. The total in 2019 was 43.5. Take the Under, Lets go!
We told ourselves we were going to tread softly as the BIG TEN teams make their season debut, but this line and matchup seemed too good to pass up. Let’s break it down and hopefully we can share with you exactly why this game caught our eye.
Maryland was a 3-9 team last season and so was Northwestern... Northwestern was 1-8 in conference play... and now are 12 pt favorites... why? This makes absolutely no sense on the surface. It isn't announced yet who the starting QB for Maryland will be... Their starter last season opted out this season... so it is between Alabama transfer Taulia Tagovailoa and Lance LeGendre. Both of Tagovailoa and LeGendre combined for 12 passes thrown on the field last season. One of these two are going to be making their first collegiate start on the road against a Northwestern team that recently got a bigtime offensive injection. Peyton Ramsey, a SENIOR transfer from Indiana is now the starting QB for Northwestern.
12 is a huge number for a team that was 3-9 last year to cover, but with their newly acquired senior QB transfer this team should be able to exploit a likely still weak Maryland secondary. He also gets most all of NW’s starting offensive weapons back from last year. You don’t completely flip a team like Maryland around with everything between covid and their starting QB opting out. Maryland on the road last season didn't score more than 17 points except for a game against a shit RUTGERS team. Maryland was dead last in passing defense last year and considering this total is 54.5; it’s implied that NW will score and if Maryland is to cover this game, they will need to score 22+ which we don’t see. Let’s Go! Good Luck!
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Northwestern -12 -110 <1 unit>
We told ourselves we were going to tread softly as the BIG TEN teams make their season debut, but this line and matchup seemed too good to pass up. Let’s break it down and hopefully we can share with you exactly why this game caught our eye.
Maryland was a 3-9 team last season and so was Northwestern... Northwestern was 1-8 in conference play... and now are 12 pt favorites... why? This makes absolutely no sense on the surface. It isn't announced yet who the starting QB for Maryland will be... Their starter last season opted out this season... so it is between Alabama transfer Taulia Tagovailoa and Lance LeGendre. Both of Tagovailoa and LeGendre combined for 12 passes thrown on the field last season. One of these two are going to be making their first collegiate start on the road against a Northwestern team that recently got a bigtime offensive injection. Peyton Ramsey, a SENIOR transfer from Indiana is now the starting QB for Northwestern.
12 is a huge number for a team that was 3-9 last year to cover, but with their newly acquired senior QB transfer this team should be able to exploit a likely still weak Maryland secondary. He also gets most all of NW’s starting offensive weapons back from last year. You don’t completely flip a team like Maryland around with everything between covid and their starting QB opting out. Maryland on the road last season didn't score more than 17 points except for a game against a shit RUTGERS team. Maryland was dead last in passing defense last year and considering this total is 54.5; it’s implied that NW will score and if Maryland is to cover this game, they will need to score 22+ which we don’t see. Let’s Go! Good Luck!
LSU is entering this came off a bad loss to a so so at best Missouri team, South Carolina on the other hand is entering this game off a BIG win vs Auburn. LSU had 2 weeks to prepare for this game, since SC won last week, we may see some LSU value here, especially because it opened at 6.5 and now it is 4.5 with the public betting on SC. Let’s dig into this one a little deeper. This is a big game for LSU that they desperately need a win to avoid further bad perception. Going from national champs to being 1-3 if they lose this game is pretty rough. Today, they will be starting a true freshman QB. Any other day, we would be on this play, but they 2 weeks to prepare for this game and it’s a big statement game for them. This freshman is listed 6 foot 6 and 242 pounds and per reports, can throw 70 yards with a flick of a wrist.
South Carolina is all about running the ball. Unfortunately, LSU is one of the best teams against the run, it's LSU’s secondary that has had issues and caused them to lose 2 games thus far this season. We noticed that the TOTAL is about 4 points higher than it was in LSU's last two games. LSU has put up 41 in back to back weeks and 34 against a Mississippi st team that exploited them with the AIR RAID! This is a bad matchup for SC who is now traveling on the road after a big win last week. The truth is that Coach O is all about his backup QB and thinks he is the real deal; a real talent that is more than capable of keeping this LSU offense exploding for big points the same way they have been all season.
We are laying the points and strongly believe that SC won’t be able to put up enough points to stay with LSU. The bread and butter of the Gamecocks is how they run the ball, and we are going to see LSU shut that run down enough to get the win today in a 10+ point victory. Let’s Go!!!
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LSU -4.5 -110 <1 unit>
LSU is entering this came off a bad loss to a so so at best Missouri team, South Carolina on the other hand is entering this game off a BIG win vs Auburn. LSU had 2 weeks to prepare for this game, since SC won last week, we may see some LSU value here, especially because it opened at 6.5 and now it is 4.5 with the public betting on SC. Let’s dig into this one a little deeper. This is a big game for LSU that they desperately need a win to avoid further bad perception. Going from national champs to being 1-3 if they lose this game is pretty rough. Today, they will be starting a true freshman QB. Any other day, we would be on this play, but they 2 weeks to prepare for this game and it’s a big statement game for them. This freshman is listed 6 foot 6 and 242 pounds and per reports, can throw 70 yards with a flick of a wrist.
South Carolina is all about running the ball. Unfortunately, LSU is one of the best teams against the run, it's LSU’s secondary that has had issues and caused them to lose 2 games thus far this season. We noticed that the TOTAL is about 4 points higher than it was in LSU's last two games. LSU has put up 41 in back to back weeks and 34 against a Mississippi st team that exploited them with the AIR RAID! This is a bad matchup for SC who is now traveling on the road after a big win last week. The truth is that Coach O is all about his backup QB and thinks he is the real deal; a real talent that is more than capable of keeping this LSU offense exploding for big points the same way they have been all season.
We are laying the points and strongly believe that SC won’t be able to put up enough points to stay with LSU. The bread and butter of the Gamecocks is how they run the ball, and we are going to see LSU shut that run down enough to get the win today in a 10+ point victory. Let’s Go!!!
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