Nebraska -3.5 over Iowa

..Anyone surprised at this line...Asking Nebraska to WIN and cover the -3.5 line...Loser head coach and Qb that does not know how to win close games and chokes every close game...9-2 team catching 3.5 vs a 3-8 team WOW....

The writing is on the wall. I'm looking at this game as my largest wager of year 

@darren3472

Makes me want to hammer Nebraska based on the line..But I just can't..Iowa plays D and has the head coaching advantage...I can't trust Martinez...

@darren3472

 ......just like oregon@utah  last Sat.

@davemsh

 I've faded Iowa eight straight games.  This line is ridiculous.  I am on Iowa this week.

Yeah it surprised me too

Something's up. Trap range.

Iowa will pick Martinez and make him fumble like usual.  I'm saying 3 turnovers

This is Vegas trying to win their money back from Utah/Oregon. Everyone (but me lol) was on Utah. This is an easy stay away game for me, but if I had to play its Iowa +3.5 all day. 

Nebraska by double digits 

@HockeyNight11

 What's your reasoning on this?

@darren3472

 I put a lot of weight into the yardage stat for teams when capping games.  Nebraska #4 in the big10 at +92 yards per game & Iowa is -21 yet they’re 9-2.  I’ve been saying all season how overrated Iowa and MSU are, they’ve both been pretty fortunate to have 9 wins.  While these teams find ways to win, Nebraska has done the complete opposite.  Single digit losses @OU, @MSU, @Wisconsin, vs Michigan and vs Ohio state.  I’ve had this one circled since the UM game as the team the Huskers would finally pop and I’m sticking to it.  Line these teams up, and Nebraska is better. The underlying numbers through 11 games favor Nebraska. 

What’s not to like is that Iowa makes their living getting TO’s and Nebraska just loves to piss games away and Martinez is a TO machine.  I feel like if I bet Iowa here I’d be needing turnovers, and I just don’t like relying on stuff like that.  

Nebraska lines up and plays a clean game they’ll close on a high note, they are heading in a good direction going to 2022 and they’ll show up here I think. Going to be watching injury news before making the play though. Nebraska isn’t as bad as 3-8 and Iowa isn’t a good 9-2 team.  Line should tell you everything you need to know. In the end, nobody will be shocked if Martinez chokes it away though

***ALERT***

As many know, I'm in heart of Big Red country 

Adrian Martinez will miss Iowa game with shoulder injury

Logan Smothers, who appeared briefly in Saturday’s loss to Wisconsin and has played in five games this season, will likely be the starter for the Huskers

Confirmed Smothers starting

My book took game down. 

Interested to see now how much Iowa favored 

Yeah probably staying off this game now.  For as bad as A Martinez TOs have been, the QB change is too much of an unknown for me.  Oh well

Iowa now favored -1.5

With Martinez out this changes this bet from a no play to betting Iowa -1.5. Martinez threw too many interceptions but he was overall a very good QB passing for 2800 yards and a good scrambler as well, being this teams leading rusher. You replace him with a guy that has 11 passes for the year going up against a very stout defense, looks like a no brainer, Iowa -1.5. 

I completely understand betting on Nebraska before this news, Iowa is over rated and Nebraska is under rated, but not now. I don’t see how Nebraska moves the ball.

  Everybody and get those greedy stinkin books

I'm still mad at Iowa for three straight fumbles in the red zone 3 weeks back, but money is money and your words make sense. 

@lordzud

@davemsh

 Martinez not playing