If you're considering betting on the UNDER in the Indiana vs. Nebraska football game, here’s why that could be the play:
Nebraska Defense: Built to Keep the Score Low
Nebraska’s defense is built to make stops, and they have shown they can limit opponents effectively. This unit has consistently held their ground against stronger competition, and there's every reason to believe they'll continue to control the game against Indiana. While Nebraska might not have an explosive offense, that actually works in favor of the UNDER. Their offensive struggles mean long, methodical drives without a ton of points on the board, which keeps the clock running and the scoring low.
Indiana’s Overinflated Success
Indiana has had an impressive run, covering the spread in five straight games. However, it's important to look at their competition. They’ve racked up these covers against lesser teams and haven’t truly faced a defensive challenge like Nebraska. Their schedule included home games where they were heavy favorites against teams like Florida International, Western Illinois, and Charlotte. Road games have been modest challenges, but nothing on the level of Nebraska.
Nebraska: The Best Team Indiana Has Faced
This week, Indiana is up against their toughest test yet in Nebraska, a team ranked as high as 25th in some polls. Nebraska is far more capable than any opponent Indiana has faced so far, which is why this line is similar to their matchup against Maryland. Indiana might be a quality team, but they haven’t been tested by an elite schedule that justifies them as a -7 favorite in this matchup.
The Bottom Line: Expect a Defensive Battle
With both teams showing limitations on offense and Nebraska’s defense ready to hold the line, this game has all the makings of a low-scoring battle. Indiana will need to play a nearly flawless game, and Nebraska’s best strategy is to keep things tight. I just can't see these two teams combining for over 50 points. Betting the UNDER looks like the smartest move in this one.
My pick:
Under 50
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