One Very Interesting game Thursday

Like I said last week I will only post information for games that in the past have hit 68% or higher.

G Southern +3 12-5 ATS is worth a look if the line stays at +3.  If it move off of +3 either way pass the game.

Will post more Friday.

@Metzbets

 Metz, please check friend request. I have a question about the system. 

Not quite sure I understand this correctly.

If it is +3 it's "worth a look" - but if it moves off +3 to +3.5 then it is not worth a look?

For 1/2 point, your right doesn’t make sense. You thinking is not logical, but good luck

@robert4091

 Since when does sports betting have to be logical?  All I can tell you is over the 6 years I have tracked this angle a half point does make a big difference, based on the past results I have tracked.

If the line moves off of +3 then do not play the game.

I just noticed that Memphis went to -11, based on my tracking of actual results of the closing line that the favorite is 0-12 ATS over the years I tracked results.  I know it makes no sense but they are actual results.  If the line moves off -11 then Memphis is the lean.  It is not equal to or over the 68% ATS limit I put on this weeks games.

Remember we are testing this since I never used it for more than the first 5 weeks.  Last week the top plays were 8-1 ATS.  Will it keep working, I have no idea we are testing.  I think there is value in using this information to support a game you like.

Later today I will post more possible plays with 2 games were both teams have a new QB this season and the numbers are unbelievable.

Good luck

@Metzbets

 Does that mean that if the line stays at 11 navy is the play?

@Metzbets

 thanks for sharing my friend 

Best of Luck

@crafty_cockney

 Let's put it this way, would you want to play a team that is in a spot where the ATS is 0-12, no.  Navy has played well over the past 3 weeks.  For this strategy NAvy would be the play only if the line stays at -11 for Memphis. 

Sorry for the late post but was out all day and just got back home.

Good Luck whatever you decide to do on the games!!

@Metzbets

 South alabama -2.5.. So take South alabama?

@Bet15

 Pass the game

Like I said, a hole

The final score of this game, doesn’t matter, ok maybe logic isn’t the word, but the way you stated how you were going to play or not not play the game with the 1/2 point was just plain f ing stupid, ok, so there it is

??????!, crickets, ha

@robert4091

 Calm down do not have stroke.  Did you go 13-3 in week 4, I doubt it.  A half point makes a huge difference sometimes.  Please take your gutter brain to another post, do not need your kind at all.

Thanks for no future comments.

3 points being a strong play But 2.5 and 3.5 being NO PLAY strikes me as data mining... What if major books are split between 2.5 and 3 points?