Opinions on UCF- FAU

Several different angles, leaning laying the 13x, but thought I would throw it out for discussion. Thanks 

UCF is just to strong, should be an easy cover. I have them.

FAU gives up 28 and 29 to Bethune Cookman and Air Force.   What will UCF put on them in Orlando? 

Knights TT will likely be 44, 45..  I like that.

Weather looks fine.  

Wow..  The books set a huge O/U for this game at 76.  Truth is, the line opened at 70ish and moved all the way up to where it is now, 76.  Mr. Obvious is saying that odds makers a predicting a shootout between these two teams.  With that being said, the trend for scoring is usually higher in the first half than the second because all the players are rested and not tired.  The first half O/U for this game is set at 39.5 which is pretty standard considering that if you multiplied this first half by two, you would get a full game total of 79 which is higher than the original O/U.  This follows the standard formula for first half bets.  It gives a slight advantage to the under/dog bettors because they have more points and more cushion for the under.  Since all the math is explained with the first half O/U at 39.5, I can envision a first half total that will go:

OVER 39.5 (First half)

UCF can probably score around 3-4 td's whereas FAU will probably score around 2-3 td's and 1-2 fg's.  That's just my educated guess.  Tail or fade, it's up to you.  As usual, BOL in your wagers... 

Also to add onto my above post, I found the first half spread a little fishy/strange.  It's 7.   Now you may be asking, "Well, what's wrong with this?"  If you look at other first half point spreads, the first half spread when multiplied by two is usually slightly higher than the full game spread.  For example on 5dimes and my book at 3AM east coast in the morning, the current spreads are:

Penn State @ Illinois: Full Game 27.5 and first half 17 (17 x 2 = 34)

Washington @ USC: Full game 4.5 and first half 3 ( 3 x 2 = 6)

Since the current spread for this game is 13 and the first half spread is 7, it's not as high as the other games.  I'm interpreting this as bait for the first half UCF backers bc a spread of 7 is a little low.  I would have expected the first half spread to be in the range of 8-10.  Then again, that's just MY interpretation.  Take this opinion with a grain of salt.  I could be TOTALLY wrong and over analyzing.  Use your own judgement and go with your gut feeling.  Just remember, this is MY opinion.  That's why I didn't bet the first half spread due to this fish/strange first half spread.  As usual, BOL in whatever you decide...