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    All Forums | College Football

    Oregon total and weather

    NFLJOE
    GameHunter
    padre16
    best_bets
    casheasy
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    NFLJOE
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2013 - 1:42 AM ET #1

    It's raining hard in Eugene and there is no sign of it easing up. 
    However, I still like the over 1st half here despite the weather.
    Rain or no rain, I just don't see how Cal will stop Oregon from putting up 42 plus in the 1st half. 
    The field won't be muddy, it's turf so I don't really see it causing too many problems. This isn't soldier field. 

    Now Cal on the other hand likes to throw the ball and take their shots down the field. 
    I see them scoring around 10 to 17 in the 1st half themselves.
    Oregon defense is okay but teams have moved the ball on them. Tennessee moved it okay and I think Cal has a better offense. 

    I keep watching game film on Oregon this year and they are amazingly efficient on offense. More so than last year I think. 
    So I cannot see this big play offense being tested even a little by quite possibly one of the worst defenses in the country. 
    Cal gives up big play after big play. And even if they don't score much they won't burn much time off the clock anyway. 

    I would love for someone to tell my why I shouldn't bet the over 1st half here. 
    Because I am seriously considering making this a HUGE HUGE play. Without a doubt this would be my biggest play of the year. 

    PREDICTION:
    Oregon 45
    Cal 17 
    Halftime score
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    It's raining hard in Eugene and there is no sign of it easing up. 
    However, I still like the over 1st half here despite the weather.
    Rain or no rain, I just don't see how Cal will stop Oregon from putting up 42 plus in the 1st half. 
    The field won't be muddy, it's turf so I don't really see it causing too many problems. This isn't soldier field. 

    Now Cal on the other hand likes to throw the ball and take their shots down the field. 
    I see them scoring around 10 to 17 in the 1st half themselves.
    Oregon defense is okay but teams have moved the ball on them. Tennessee moved it okay and I think Cal has a better offense. 

    I keep watching game film on Oregon this year and they are amazingly efficient on offense. More so than last year I think. 
    So I cannot see this big play offense being tested even a little by quite possibly one of the worst defenses in the country. 
    Cal gives up big play after big play. And even if they don't score much they won't burn much time off the clock anyway. 

    I would love for someone to tell my why I shouldn't bet the over 1st half here. 
    Because I am seriously considering making this a HUGE HUGE play. Without a doubt this would be my biggest play of the year. 

    PREDICTION:
    Oregon 45
    Cal 17 
    Halftime score
     
    GameHunter
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2013 - 2:16 AM ET #2

    Not opposed to your play or reasoning but here are my concerns. Rain will slow down Cal's passing offense and you may need 5 Oregon first half TD's to get this over. The L8 times they have played, the first half total points scored were: 34, 29, 15, 28, 22, 13, 38 and 20. The L6 times they have played in Oregon, it is 6-0 UNDER and the L6 times they have played overall, it is 5-1 UNDER.

    Having stated all that, I am not playing the total.

    Just food for thought.

    Best of luck!
    Reply
    Not opposed to your play or reasoning but here are my concerns. Rain will slow down Cal's passing offense and you may need 5 Oregon first half TD's to get this over. The L8 times they have played, the first half total points scored were: 34, 29, 15, 28, 22, 13, 38 and 20. The L6 times they have played in Oregon, it is 6-0 UNDER and the L6 times they have played overall, it is 5-1 UNDER.

    Having stated all that, I am not playing the total.

    Just food for thought.

    Best of luck!
     
    NFLJOE
    NFLJOE
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2013 - 2:25 AM ET #3

    Thanks for the response.
    The only thing I would say about the last 8 times they've played is that it was under Jeff Tedford, not Sonny Dykes. 
    And that is a HUGE difference. 
    Tedford never ran a hurry up offense nor was it a real big play offense. 
    Dykes on the other hand likes to play at the same pace as Oregon. 
    So I see around 15 possessions in the first half, which is a lot. 
    And if their are that many that possessions than I can see Oregon scoring at least 42 without breaking a sweat. 
    Reply
    Thanks for the response.
    The only thing I would say about the last 8 times they've played is that it was under Jeff Tedford, not Sonny Dykes. 
    And that is a HUGE difference. 
    Tedford never ran a hurry up offense nor was it a real big play offense. 
    Dykes on the other hand likes to play at the same pace as Oregon. 
    So I see around 15 possessions in the first half, which is a lot. 
    And if their are that many that possessions than I can see Oregon scoring at least 42 without breaking a sweat. 
     
    padre16
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2013 - 2:28 AM ET #4

    hey nfljoe.

    have you given a thought to the Oregon team total?  How much is it?

    Reply

    hey nfljoe.

    have you given a thought to the Oregon team total?  How much is it?

     
    best_bets
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2013 - 2:30 AM ET #5

    Quote Originally Posted by GameHunter:

    Not opposed to your play or reasoning but here are my concerns. Rain will slow down Cal's passing offense and you may need 5 Oregon first half TD's to get this over. The L8 times they have played, the first half total points scored were: 34, 29, 15, 28, 22, 13, 38 and 20. The L6 times they have played in Oregon, it is 6-0 UNDER and the L6 times they have played overall, it is 5-1 UNDER.

    Having stated all that, I am not playing the total.

    Just food for thought.

    Best of luck!
    Rain will also cause db's to not have as tight of coverage....one false move and........... Ducks love the rain they get all wet and slippery
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by GameHunter:

    Not opposed to your play or reasoning but here are my concerns. Rain will slow down Cal's passing offense and you may need 5 Oregon first half TD's to get this over. The L8 times they have played, the first half total points scored were: 34, 29, 15, 28, 22, 13, 38 and 20. The L6 times they have played in Oregon, it is 6-0 UNDER and the L6 times they have played overall, it is 5-1 UNDER.

    Having stated all that, I am not playing the total.

    Just food for thought.

    Best of luck!
    Rain will also cause db's to not have as tight of coverage....one false move and........... Ducks love the rain they get all wet and slippery
     
    casheasy
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2013 - 2:31 AM ET #6

    WIND
    Reply
    WIND
     
    Danielk123
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2013 - 2:32 AM ET #7

    Oregon runs a lot.

    Rain won't stop them, only make Cal's D look even worse
    Reply
    Oregon runs a lot.

    Rain won't stop them, only make Cal's D look even worse
     
    NFLJOE
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2013 - 2:33 AM ET #8

    Quote Originally Posted by padre16:

    hey nfljoe.

    have you given a thought to the Oregon team total?  How much is it?


    That has to be around 63. 
    And to be honest I wouldn't take it because this game could get ugly. And you know what Oregon does in the 4th quarter with a giant lead. They no longer run hurry up and they stop throwing. 
    So if they're up 56 to 10 going into the 4th, I might lose. 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by padre16:

    hey nfljoe.

    have you given a thought to the Oregon team total?  How much is it?


    That has to be around 63. 
    And to be honest I wouldn't take it because this game could get ugly. And you know what Oregon does in the 4th quarter with a giant lead. They no longer run hurry up and they stop throwing. 
    So if they're up 56 to 10 going into the 4th, I might lose. 
     
    NFLJOE
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2013 - 2:41 AM ET #9

    Quote Originally Posted by Danielk123:

    Oregon runs a lot.

    Rain won't stop them, only make Cal's D look even worse

    Completely agree. 
    Besides, Oregon lines up so damn quickly that defenses are rarely in position to defend. 
    And Oregon always has a guy open somewhere on the field and when he gets the ball, goodbye in that weather. 
    My only real concerns are the grip of the ball for the QB's and the wind. 
    Otherwise I think it should fly over the total 1st half. 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Danielk123:

    Oregon runs a lot.

    Rain won't stop them, only make Cal's D look even worse

    Completely agree. 
    Besides, Oregon lines up so damn quickly that defenses are rarely in position to defend. 
    And Oregon always has a guy open somewhere on the field and when he gets the ball, goodbye in that weather. 
    My only real concerns are the grip of the ball for the QB's and the wind. 
    Otherwise I think it should fly over the total 1st half. 
     
    NuttCapper83
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2013 - 4:43 AM ET #10

    I will ever bet under on a Oregon. But I won't bet over on that number
    Reply
    I will ever bet under on a Oregon. But I won't bet over on that number
     
    mjm1012
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2013 - 5:01 AM ET #11

    GL JOE

    WENT FROM 84 TO 80.5

    MIGHT GO DOWN EVEN FURTHER

    THE WIND WILL BE THE DECIDING FACTOR

    Reply

    GL JOE

    WENT FROM 84 TO 80.5

    MIGHT GO DOWN EVEN FURTHER

    THE WIND WILL BE THE DECIDING FACTOR

     
    trust-me
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2013 - 6:05 AM ET #12

    Quote Originally Posted by NFLJOE:

    It's raining hard in Eugene and there is no sign of it easing up. 
    However, I still like the over 1st half here despite the weather.
    Rain or no rain, I just don't see how Cal will stop Oregon from putting up 42 plus in the 1st half. 
    The field won't be muddy, it's turf so I don't really see it causing too many problems. This isn't soldier field. 

    Now Cal on the other hand likes to throw the ball and take their shots down the field. 
    I see them scoring around 10 to 17 in the 1st half themselves.
    Oregon defense is okay but teams have moved the ball on them. Tennessee moved it okay and I think Cal has a better offense. 

    I keep watching game film on Oregon this year and they are amazingly efficient on offense. More so than last year I think. 
    So I cannot see this big play offense being tested even a little by quite possibly one of the worst defenses in the country. 
    Cal gives up big play after big play. And even if they don't score much they won't burn much time off the clock anyway. 

    I would love for someone to tell my why I shouldn't bet the over 1st half here. 
    Because I am seriously considering making this a HUGE HUGE play. Without a doubt this would be my biggest play of the year. 

    PREDICTION:
    Oregon 45
    Cal 17 
    Halftime score
    Biggest Play of the year on a over OMG Im on it NFL JOE
    Rain or shine get in line they will run the ball up and down the field like a sprinter on roids 
    Mr Evil.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by NFLJOE:

    It's raining hard in Eugene and there is no sign of it easing up. 
    However, I still like the over 1st half here despite the weather.
    Rain or no rain, I just don't see how Cal will stop Oregon from putting up 42 plus in the 1st half. 
    The field won't be muddy, it's turf so I don't really see it causing too many problems. This isn't soldier field. 

    Now Cal on the other hand likes to throw the ball and take their shots down the field. 
    I see them scoring around 10 to 17 in the 1st half themselves.
    Oregon defense is okay but teams have moved the ball on them. Tennessee moved it okay and I think Cal has a better offense. 

    I keep watching game film on Oregon this year and they are amazingly efficient on offense. More so than last year I think. 
    So I cannot see this big play offense being tested even a little by quite possibly one of the worst defenses in the country. 
    Cal gives up big play after big play. And even if they don't score much they won't burn much time off the clock anyway. 

    I would love for someone to tell my why I shouldn't bet the over 1st half here. 
    Because I am seriously considering making this a HUGE HUGE play. Without a doubt this would be my biggest play of the year. 

    PREDICTION:
    Oregon 45
    Cal 17 
    Halftime score
    Biggest Play of the year on a over OMG Im on it NFL JOE
    Rain or shine get in line they will run the ball up and down the field like a sprinter on roids 
     
    trust-me
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2013 - 6:06 AM ET #13

    65 - 27 final 
    Mr Evil.
    Reply
    65 - 27 final 
     
    Sabanade
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2013 - 8:36 AM ET #14

    1st H TT is 42.5 right now on 5D
    Reply
    1st H TT is 42.5 right now on 5D
     
    its_1999_my
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2013 - 9:15 AM ET #15

    Why not just take the Ducks -23 first half spread. The rain and wind will have more of an impact on Cal since there offense is mostly in the air compared to Oregon who runs the ball. 
    Reply
    Why not just take the Ducks -23 first half spread. The rain and wind will have more of an impact on Cal since there offense is mostly in the air compared to Oregon who runs the ball. 
     
    capskip
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2013 - 9:29 AM ET #16

    Best of Luck
    Reply
    Best of Luck
     
    billythepollock
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2013 - 9:31 AM ET #17

    Quote Originally Posted by casheasy:

    WIND

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by casheasy:

    WIND

     
    BandosWB
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2013 - 9:48 AM ET #18

    Or look at the other game affected by this wind. U 28.5 in Corvallis for me
    Reply
    Or look at the other game affected by this wind. U 28.5 in Corvallis for me
     
    yysmer
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2013 - 10:10 AM ET #19

    Mariota tends to play poorly under rainy and cold weather. Last year they lost straight to Stanford as a 20 point favorite, and that weather was similar to the current one.
    Reply
    Mariota tends to play poorly under rainy and cold weather. Last year they lost straight to Stanford as a 20 point favorite, and that weather was similar to the current one.
     
     
    thorpe
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2013 - 10:36 AM ET #20

    Quote Originally Posted by yysmer:

    Mariota tends to play poorly under rainy and cold weather. Last year they lost straight to Stanford as a 20 point favorite, and that weather was similar to the current one.

    It won't be too cold today.  around 55 to 60 degrees


    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by yysmer:

    Mariota tends to play poorly under rainy and cold weather. Last year they lost straight to Stanford as a 20 point favorite, and that weather was similar to the current one.

    It won't be too cold today.  around 55 to 60 degrees


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