Being a pitt fan...Ive watched this team literally give me a bunch of broken promises. Yes of course a few awesome things have occurred like larry fitzgerald/tyler palko era...McCoy running down every defense he came across and who can forget Dan marino?
Those days are gone. We suffered though Wannyball. The "high octane" todd graham offense. And losing to a division 1-A school in the first time since the program began.
That brings us to tonights game. A completely unproven pitt offense with a better than average defense that returns the bulk of its players versus a basically unproven florida state offense with a better than average defense once again returning the bulk of its players.
The game...to put it bluntly...should be a first class grade A Cluster F**** on offense. Interceptions, fumbles, dropped passes, muffed punts, you name it. But both defense should play well. Maybe each sides lets up a big play at some point in the game...but nothing awful.
As far as taking a side in the game, betting on pitt games is something quite hard to do. They lost last year to Youngstown state...but a few games later they beat a ranked Virginia tech team. They are quite unpredictable. Pitt defense should hold strong...but the offense is a different story. Pitt's main strength for years is at the rb position. Their starting rb...issac Bennett..a guy who has barely played and was a total afterthought. They also have a senior QB brought in from Wisconsin (I think). Experienced yes...but so is a 80 year old hooker...neither one looks attractive.
Flordia state has a better offense, but with a freshmen qb that is completely unproven. Florida state has the better recruiting program, and experts have them ranked for a reason...even with their losses of players to graduation and the NFL. Their new qb may be good, but he is going against a better than average pitt defense and he will struggle.
In conclusion, picking a side is difficult due to the 10 point spot. Pitt is going to lose this game. Its going to happen. The real question is by how much. Honestly, I think it will be by 10 points. I do not see any real value in taking florida state with a rebuilt offense. But I don't see taking pitt either that has NO offense.
The under...looks fantastic. 49 points is a lot for a game like this. In my opinion, it should be 40.5.
I like under 24 first half, under 10 first quarter, and under 49 for the game.
As far as a side goes, No action.
If you must have action...I see florida st -6 first half as a reasonable value.
Final score florida st 20 pitt 10
Good luck all