Its not about what happen in one game vs Georgia to properly handicap this game. That would be tunnel vision to just isolate that particular game.. Its about the recent ( last 3-4 road games ie recent form) using an offensive and defensive pure points evaluation, AOPR and margin of victory vs that AOPR to determine a line.
If you want to do that ( isolate one game ) we can say that Penn State lost to Minnesta 20-25 a very much weaker team than ND that didnt even sniff a playoff birth. Penn St. was also crushed by Oregon and gave up what 45 pts..? ND ave score is 37+.. so even if we do a high low pure points defensive configuration on PSU last 3 games. Their PA in thier last 3 games vs Minny ( weak) Oregon ( strong ) and Boise St MWest paper tiger..their ave defesne is still on 25 pure pppg.
If you believe this game is rare easy money..you're in for a big surprise. Penn St has played weak competition on the road as well...Purdue..? Minny ?...I have ND by 7-14..maybe more..They have the horses on Defense and have been blowing away the weak comp by DD margins brother..no disrespect to you..just my evaluation
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