"The Good:" CAL staying within double digits. Pick: CAL (+13.5)
CAL is 3-1 ATS as an underdog. SMU is 2-4 ATS as a double-digit fave. CAL has not lost by more than 8 points all season, including vs. #8 Miami and #22 Pitt.
"The Bad:" Defenses in Louisville/UK series. Pick: LOU/UK Over 49
The OVER 49 is 8-1 in the last 9 of this series. Those games included some bad versions of both of these teams over the years. Louisville is allowing 27.4 pts/game on the road. UK is 9-2 to the UNDER this season, but throw that out the window because they are starting a new QB in Cutter Boley to reinvigorate this offense. Expect some trick plays for big gains.
"The Ugly:" UTSA on the road. Pick: Army (-7)
UTSA has been outscored 210-109 on the road, with an 0-5 ATS record. Army got embarrassed by Notre Dame and will be looking for a bounceback performance at HOME. Army is 3-1-1 ATS at HOME. Army won outright @UTSA last season as a +7.5 underdog.
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